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personal preference

brian

Yearling
6:15 southwell 1mile

Only 7 runners but with multiple wins between them, and all runners raised in class
I think a good race is on the cards.

#1 thai terrier := after a string of 2nd's a rise to this trip made the difference, raised 5lb
for the win, first time at southwell, sandwiched between #4 and #5, may get a nice pull into
the race, has a positive draw (hopeful choice)

#2 alfredo := has not won in a couple of years and his OR is only 3lb less than his highest
winning mark, cosistent form figures, wind surgery, draw not positive.

#3 social city := four wins last year, suffered handicappers wrath, still 11lb above last
winning mark, draw is a positive.

#4 rafiot := up in trip, up in class, 8lb above last winning mark, draw not a positive.
7lb claimer.

#5 tynecastle park := would seem to be the front runner in the field, won this race last
year, 7lb higher. 7lb claimer

#6 artistc streak := raised 12lb for his last win, 60% win over course, 2 from 2 over CD
draw not positive, will the 5lb apprentice be up to the task.

#7 indigo times := 1st time over southwell, only raised 4lb for last win, he'll either love
it or hate it, draw not positive.
 
I run a number of HRB systems & come up strongly on the side of Thai Terrier my 2nd choice would be tynecastle park but the jockey doesn't instill me with confidence, she always rides the horse & won on it this time last year in a 3 runner race, I must admit TP is often tried in races out of it's comfort zone & needs to come down a few lbs to get back to its winning mark. Thai terrier comes into the race in good form with a top trainer & top jockey, Rafiot I suspect is being readied for a hurdling campaign, the same with artistic streak, indigo times could be anything & there's a little bit of money coming for it, I probably wrongly dismissed alfredo & social city but best of luck whichever you back B brian
 
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