tomwilson1986
Colt
Total Bets 28
Total Wins 12
Win Strike Rate 42.86%
Place Strike Rate 75.00%
P/L +5.5
Total Wins 12
Win Strike Rate 42.86%
Place Strike Rate 75.00%
P/L +5.5
Patternform Ran To method
- Thread starter tomwilson1986
- Start date
tomwilson1986
Colt
24/02/17
17:30 Dundalk Chestnut Fire 1.96
Liking the look of Chestnut Fire here in the Claimer. Based on his last 3 runs i think he could be FIRE FIRE FIRE against the rest of this field.
Looking forward to roasting some Chestnuts on an open fire after he wins!!!
The actual logic is that his last 3 form ratings are better than anyone in the race and I also like his speed rating (70) at Dundalk on 23rd December.
Also have him well clear on Class on HRB:
15:15 Exeter Wild West Wind 1.94
Uh, wickey wild wild
Wicky wicky wild
Wickey wild, wicky wicky wild wild wild west,
Jim West, desperado, rough rider
No you don't want nada
None of this, six gun in this, brotha runnin' this,
Buffalo soldier, look it's like I told ya
Any damsel that's in distress
Be out of that dress when she meet Jim West
Rough neck so go check the law and abide
Watch your step , we'll flex and get a hole in your side
Swallow your pride, don't let your lip react,
You don't wanna see my hand where my hip be at,
With all of this, from the start of this,
Runnin' the game, James West tamin' the west so remember the name
Now who ya gonna call?
Logic: like that 77 form rating at Hereford. Also has the highest win values from the field with £8k and £6k purses coming his way.
Also have him clear on Class Ratings:
16:10 Warwick – Act Now 6.6
William Money is a 1.93 favourite here. He's got the best form of this lot on recent figure. However, they are CHASE figures:
Last year he had a hurdle run and ran to the following figure:
I just can't take him!!!
I like Act Now's last two hurdle runs:
I've also got him clear on Class:
17:30 Dundalk Chestnut Fire 1.96
Liking the look of Chestnut Fire here in the Claimer. Based on his last 3 runs i think he could be FIRE FIRE FIRE against the rest of this field.
Looking forward to roasting some Chestnuts on an open fire after he wins!!!
The actual logic is that his last 3 form ratings are better than anyone in the race and I also like his speed rating (70) at Dundalk on 23rd December.
Also have him well clear on Class on HRB:
15:15 Exeter Wild West Wind 1.94
Uh, wickey wild wild
Wicky wicky wild
Wickey wild, wicky wicky wild wild wild west,
Jim West, desperado, rough rider
No you don't want nada
None of this, six gun in this, brotha runnin' this,
Buffalo soldier, look it's like I told ya
Any damsel that's in distress
Be out of that dress when she meet Jim West
Rough neck so go check the law and abide
Watch your step , we'll flex and get a hole in your side
Swallow your pride, don't let your lip react,
You don't wanna see my hand where my hip be at,
With all of this, from the start of this,
Runnin' the game, James West tamin' the west so remember the name
Now who ya gonna call?
Logic: like that 77 form rating at Hereford. Also has the highest win values from the field with £8k and £6k purses coming his way.
Also have him clear on Class Ratings:
16:10 Warwick – Act Now 6.6
William Money is a 1.93 favourite here. He's got the best form of this lot on recent figure. However, they are CHASE figures:
Last year he had a hurdle run and ran to the following figure:
I just can't take him!!!
I like Act Now's last two hurdle runs:
I've also got him clear on Class:
Attachments
tomwilson1986
Colt
24/02
Chestnut Fire - WON
Act Now - LOST
Wild West Wind - LOST
-1.04
Total Bets 31
Total Wins 13
Win Strike Rate 41.%
P/L +4.46
Chestnut Fire - WON
Act Now - LOST
Wild West Wind - LOST
-1.04
Total Bets 31
Total Wins 13
Win Strike Rate 41.%
P/L +4.46
tomwilson1986
Colt
25/02:
13:45 Fairyhouse - Dinaria Des Obeaux 2.04
14:25 Kempton - Frodon 1.7
16:05 Fairyhouse - Blackmail 2.58
16:40 Fairyhouse - Aupcharlie 2.7
16:45 Kempton - Champ 1.67
17:05 Newcastle - McGowans Pass 2.68
17:45 Wolv - Invincible Ridge 3.5
18:15 Wolv - Stonecoldsoba 4.9
13:45 Fairyhouse - Dinaria Des Obeaux 2.04
14:25 Kempton - Frodon 1.7
16:05 Fairyhouse - Blackmail 2.58
16:40 Fairyhouse - Aupcharlie 2.7
16:45 Kempton - Champ 1.67
17:05 Newcastle - McGowans Pass 2.68
17:45 Wolv - Invincible Ridge 3.5
18:15 Wolv - Stonecoldsoba 4.9
tomwilson1986
Colt
26/02:
14:00 Fontwell Killcrea Vale 1.97
14:20 Naas Kolumbus 1.97
15:00 Fontwell L'Ami Serge 3.55
15:10 Southwell Shantou Rock 1.52
16:00 Fontwell Current Exchange 5.9
16:20 Naas Clarcam 4.6
17:00 Fontwell Puppet Warrior 2.66
17:10 Southwell My Mate Mark 2.74
14:00 Fontwell Killcrea Vale 1.97
14:20 Naas Kolumbus 1.97
15:00 Fontwell L'Ami Serge 3.55
15:10 Southwell Shantou Rock 1.52
16:00 Fontwell Current Exchange 5.9
16:20 Naas Clarcam 4.6
17:00 Fontwell Puppet Warrior 2.66
17:10 Southwell My Mate Mark 2.74
tomwilson1986
Colt
Results after a brutal day yesterday:
Total Bets 47
Total Wins 19
Win Strike Rate 40.43%
Place Strike Rate 72.34%
P/L +2.29
Total Bets 47
Total Wins 19
Win Strike Rate 40.43%
Place Strike Rate 72.34%
P/L +2.29
tomwilson1986
Colt
27/02:
17:15 Ayr - Golden Jeffrey 2.24
I like the look of Golden Jeffrey's debut run at Catterick on 13th February, posting up a debut speed figure of 60 and a form figure of 56.
17:15 Ayr - Golden Jeffrey 2.24
I like the look of Golden Jeffrey's debut run at Catterick on 13th February, posting up a debut speed figure of 60 and a form figure of 56.
Last edited:
tomwilson1986
Colt
Total Bets 48
Total Wins 20
Win Strike Rate 41.67%
Place Strike Rate 72.92%
P/L +3.53
tomwilson1986
Colt
01/03
14:10 Wincanton Fountains Windfall 1.98 WIN
Fountains Windfall should take this Novice Hurdle at Wincanton.
14:10 Wincanton Fountains Windfall 1.98 WIN
Fountains Windfall should take this Novice Hurdle at Wincanton.
tomwilson1986
Colt
Total Bets 49
Total Wins 21
Win Strike Rate 42.86%
Place Strike Rate 75.51%
P/L +4.51
tomwilson1986
Colt
02/03
14:40 Newcastle - Ryan the Giant 4.6 (7/2)
Ryan the Giant has the best form ratings in the last 3 runs from this group today, both coming at Newcastle over the same distance. I’m hoping that he can continue his love for the Tapeta here and take the prize today.
14:40 Newcastle - Ryan the Giant 4.6 (7/2)
Ryan the Giant has the best form ratings in the last 3 runs from this group today, both coming at Newcastle over the same distance. I’m hoping that he can continue his love for the Tapeta here and take the prize today.
tomwilson1986
Colt
10/04:
15:40 Kelso - Berkshire Downs - 14/1 WIN, 5/2 PLACE (BF Exchange) 1pt each.
The 15:40 at Kelso looks like to me like a straight shoot out between Blue Hussar and Berkshire Downs. I think Blue Hussar wins this, but when I look at the difference in price I have to take an EW punt on Berkshire Downs. I have a slight worry that the ground might get too quick for him as he has done his best work so far on Heavy and Soft Going, but the price makes up for that.
16:10 Kelso - Vodka Wells - 15/1 WIN, 11/4 PLACE (BF Exchange) 1pt each.
Vodka Wells has been running over hurdles recently, and has been running poorly. He goes back over fences today and is down to a workable mark for this race.
Overall he has the best chasing form in the book, albeit from May 2016. He placed in a Class 4 at Hexham back then running off an OR of 120, today he runs off 107.
16:45 Tramore - Bracklin Princess 9/2 WIN (BF Exchange) 1pt
Bracklin Princess has ran well recently without being able to break her duck. I'm particularly encouraged by her last run at Limerick, finishing 2nd in a decent hurdle.
The price is pushed out by a Mullins / Walsh hurdles debutant in Easy Gold. So i'm happy to take a look at it.
14:50 Redcar - Gramercy 6/4 WIN (BF Exchange) 1pt
Old boy Gramercy has by far the best flat form of these running in a Seller at Redcar today. He's also MILES better off at the weights when compared to Official Ratings. (9-7, 76!)
He also has the best form at 6f over Good ground. I'm delighted to get 6/4 with Paul Hanagan on board.
15:40 Kelso - Berkshire Downs - 14/1 WIN, 5/2 PLACE (BF Exchange) 1pt each.
The 15:40 at Kelso looks like to me like a straight shoot out between Blue Hussar and Berkshire Downs. I think Blue Hussar wins this, but when I look at the difference in price I have to take an EW punt on Berkshire Downs. I have a slight worry that the ground might get too quick for him as he has done his best work so far on Heavy and Soft Going, but the price makes up for that.
16:10 Kelso - Vodka Wells - 15/1 WIN, 11/4 PLACE (BF Exchange) 1pt each.
Vodka Wells has been running over hurdles recently, and has been running poorly. He goes back over fences today and is down to a workable mark for this race.
Overall he has the best chasing form in the book, albeit from May 2016. He placed in a Class 4 at Hexham back then running off an OR of 120, today he runs off 107.
16:45 Tramore - Bracklin Princess 9/2 WIN (BF Exchange) 1pt
Bracklin Princess has ran well recently without being able to break her duck. I'm particularly encouraged by her last run at Limerick, finishing 2nd in a decent hurdle.
The price is pushed out by a Mullins / Walsh hurdles debutant in Easy Gold. So i'm happy to take a look at it.
14:50 Redcar - Gramercy 6/4 WIN (BF Exchange) 1pt
Old boy Gramercy has by far the best flat form of these running in a Seller at Redcar today. He's also MILES better off at the weights when compared to Official Ratings. (9-7, 76!)
He also has the best form at 6f over Good ground. I'm delighted to get 6/4 with Paul Hanagan on board.
tomwilson1986
Colt
12/04:
15:30 Catterick – Joey’s Destiny 13/5 (3.6) BF Exchange 1pt WIN
Joey’s Destiny has the best form figures of this lot on the Flat in the last two years.
Also comes out best in Last 5 runs.
Best on Good Ground…
Goes well fresh on his April re-appearance each year. (Discounted Victoire as he is now 10 and appears to be on the decline)
16:10 Fontwell – Old Harry Rocks 12/5 (3.4) BF Exchange 1pt WIN
I like the look of Old Harry Rocks’ debut run over Hurdles at Kempton. Hopefully he can improve beyond that today and take today’s race.
15:30 Catterick – Joey’s Destiny 13/5 (3.6) BF Exchange 1pt WIN
Joey’s Destiny has the best form figures of this lot on the Flat in the last two years.
Also comes out best in Last 5 runs.
Best on Good Ground…
Goes well fresh on his April re-appearance each year. (Discounted Victoire as he is now 10 and appears to be on the decline)
16:10 Fontwell – Old Harry Rocks 12/5 (3.4) BF Exchange 1pt WIN
I like the look of Old Harry Rocks’ debut run over Hurdles at Kempton. Hopefully he can improve beyond that today and take today’s race.
tomwilson1986
Colt
Results so far in this thread:
Total Bets 56
Total Wins 22
Win Strike Rate 39.29%
Place Strike Rate 66.07%
P/L +1.26
Total Bets 56
Total Wins 22
Win Strike Rate 39.29%
Place Strike Rate 66.07%
P/L +1.26
tomwilson1986
Colt
14/04:
3:00 Bath - Wordiness 9/1 BF Exchange 1pt WIN
4:00 Bath - Muthmir 6/5 BF Exchange 1pt WIN
5:00 Bath - Last Page 7/2 BF Exchange 1pt WIN
1:40 Ling War Glory 5/1 BF Exchange 1pt WIN
2:40 Ling Muffri’ha 6/5 BF Exchange 1pt WIN
3:55 Newc Masham Star 33/1 BF Exchange 1pt WIN
3:00 Bath - Wordiness 9/1 BF Exchange 1pt WIN
4:00 Bath - Muthmir 6/5 BF Exchange 1pt WIN
5:00 Bath - Last Page 7/2 BF Exchange 1pt WIN
1:40 Ling War Glory 5/1 BF Exchange 1pt WIN
2:40 Ling Muffri’ha 6/5 BF Exchange 1pt WIN
3:55 Newc Masham Star 33/1 BF Exchange 1pt WIN
tomwilson1986
Colt
18/04:
2:55 Newmarket Salsabeel 2.66
I like the look of Salsabeel’s run at Doncaster last September, coming in a Listed Contest.
The other market principle is Via Egnatia with Frankie on board. Via Egnatia posted a VERY GOOD speed figure at Newmarket last time out, but I’m hoping that the Class and Form posted by Salsabeel can take the prize here.
16:05 Newmarket – Salouen 2.88
Salouen is a Group 1 horse, running in a Listed race here at Newmarket today.
He has the best form and speed figures in the book and is clear on Official Ratings.
If we filter on Group Races only, you can see the Class that he is bringing to the table.
2:55 Newmarket Salsabeel 2.66
I like the look of Salsabeel’s run at Doncaster last September, coming in a Listed Contest.
The other market principle is Via Egnatia with Frankie on board. Via Egnatia posted a VERY GOOD speed figure at Newmarket last time out, but I’m hoping that the Class and Form posted by Salsabeel can take the prize here.
16:05 Newmarket – Salouen 2.88
Salouen is a Group 1 horse, running in a Listed race here at Newmarket today.
He has the best form and speed figures in the book and is clear on Official Ratings.
If we filter on Group Races only, you can see the Class that he is bringing to the table.
tomwilson1986
Colt
21/04:
15:05 Newbury - Raheen House 4.3 (100/30) BF Exchange 1pt WIN
Raheen House is coming from a decent performance (4th) in a Group 1 race at Doncaster to contest this Class 3 Conditions Stakes at Newbury.
The Form Rating of 65 is higher than any of these have ever achieved and i'm very happy with the price.
17:55 Dundalk - Rivellino 5/4 BF Sportsbook 1pt WIN
Rivellino should come on for his run 12 days ago and if returning to his old form can take this claiming race.
15:05 Newbury - Raheen House 4.3 (100/30) BF Exchange 1pt WIN
Raheen House is coming from a decent performance (4th) in a Group 1 race at Doncaster to contest this Class 3 Conditions Stakes at Newbury.
The Form Rating of 65 is higher than any of these have ever achieved and i'm very happy with the price.
17:55 Dundalk - Rivellino 5/4 BF Sportsbook 1pt WIN
Rivellino should come on for his run 12 days ago and if returning to his old form can take this claiming race.
