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My Take On The Day

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  • Start date
Sunday 18th February

6.00 Kempton - Phoenix Star 6/1 (365) - Holbache 12/1 (Hills,Coral,Lads)

Like the look of a couple in this one , first one of those is PHOENIX STAR who has been in decent formthe last twice , coming third on penultimate run and was a length second to the inform Bonito Cavallo last time out at Newcastle , the third home that day Desert Swirl is the only one from that race thats run since and he won nicely on his next re appearance , beating Rockley Point at Chelmsford by 2 3/4 lengths , so , for me , thats helped towards franking the form a bit. Horse seems to like it here with four wins and a place to his name , and gets in here from just a 1lb higher than that lto run and the fact that hes won off higher in the past bodes well from my viewpoint. Jessica Macey has just this one here and the bang inform Tommie Jakes takes the ride , his 7lb claim cant hurt the horses chances any and he has two wins and a places from his five rides to date. The other one i think could well is HOLBACHE , who is yet to taste defeat over this evenings CD with two wins from two runs. Has been off for 71 days and looking through past runs of him first time up doesnt exactly inspire confidence tbh but the fact that he has a tongue strap on for the first time could work the oracle so fingers crossed. Tony Caroll has been amongst the winners of late and 7lb claimer Molly Gunn is onboard for the first time and she has a 20% strike rate when coming to Kempton. At the price i think hes worth a shot.

7.00 Kempton - Engineer 7/1 (365)
A number of runners in this one come into it in good form with any of them looking a potential winner but i like the look of ENGINEER who has yet to see outside of the first three in his four races to date (one win , two seconds and a third) , caught my eye that three of those runs came over this evenings CD and that hes placed in all three of them so im thinking surely its just a matter of time until he gets his head in front here at Kempton. Looks decently drawn and the addition of first time cheekpieces could aid his cause i think. Clive Cox has his string in good order (50% strike rate over the past fortnight) and he sends just this one to the meeting , whilst the inform Rossa Ryan takes the ride , has ridden him the last twice resulting in two seconds , and has a 33% strike rate when riding for the trainer over the last three weeks , can definatley make his presence felt and be involved.
 
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Sunday 18th February

6.00 Kempton - Phoenix Star 6/1 (365) - Holbache 12/1 (Hills,Coral,Lads)

Like the look of a couple in this one , first one of those is PHOENIX STAR who has been in decent formthe last twice , coming third on penultimate run and was a length second to the inform Bonito Cavallo last time out at Newcastle , the third home that day Desert Swirl is the only one from that race thats run since and he won nicely on his next re appearance , beating Rockley Point at Chelmsford by 2 3/4 lengths , so , for me , thats helped towards franking the form a bit. Horse seems to like it here with four wins and a place to his name , and gets in here from just a 1lb higher than that lto run and the fact that hes won off higher in the past bodes well from my viewpoint. Jessica Macey has just this one here and the bang inform Tommie Jakes takes the ride , his 7lb claim cant hurt the horses chances any and he has two wins and a places from his five rides to date. The other one i think could well is HOLBACHE , who is yet to taste defeat over this evenings CD with two wins from two runs. Has been off for 71 days and looking through past runs of him first time up doesnt exactly inspire confidence tbh but the fact that he has a tongue strap on for the first time could work the oracle so fingers crossed. Tony Caroll has been amongst the winners of late and 7lb claimer Molly Gunn is onboard for the first time and she has a 20% strike rate when coming to Kempton. At the price i think hes worth a shot.

7.00 Kempton - Engineer 7/1 (365)
A number of runners in this one come into it in good form with any of them looking a potential winner but i like the look of ENGINEER who has yet to see outside of the first three in his four races to date (one win , two seconds and a third) , caught my eye that three of those runs came over this evenings CD and that hes placed in all three of them so im thinking surely its just a matter of time until he gets his head in front here at Kempton. Looks decently drawn and the addition of first time cheekpieces could aid his cause i think. Clive Cox has his string in good order (50% strike rate over the past fortnight) and he sends just this one to the meeting , whilst the inform Rossa Ryan takes the ride , has ridden him the last twice resulting in two seconds , and has a 33% strike rate when riding for the trainer over the last three weeks , can definatley make his presence felt and be involved.
Holbache comes up in one of my systems and will be my Tip Comp selection tomorrow. Good luck @Sean
 
Results / Sunday 18th February

Phoenix Star 6/1 Lost (4th)
Holbache 12/1 Lost (3rd)
Engineer 7/1 Lost (4th)

Running Total .. Bets 27 .. Won 3 .. +/- +1.83
 
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Monday 19th February

3.30 Carlisle - Applaus 8/1 (365)

APPLAUS hasnt shown alot of late but has come down as a result and coming to a course he clearly loves makes me think that theres a chance of a decent run and at the odds im willing to take a chance. Was beaten over CD last time out but that was his first poor run here over CD with his record over CD now being three wins and five places from nine runs. 3lb claimer Emma Smith Chaston in the plate and she has two wins and two places from her 11 rides aboard the horse so far , and when riding for Micky Hammond over the last three weeks they have an 11% strike rate. Trainer has a 14% strike rate over the last three weeks.

1.47 Lingfield - Sandy Paradise 7/1 (365) - McClean House 9/4 (365,Hills,Coral,SkyBet,BFred,Lads)
An open looking race where a few look to hold serious chances but theres two that particularly interest me , first one of those is McCLEAN HOUSE who arrives on the back of a short head win over Baldomero last time out over 7f here at Leafy and i think that the step up to todays mile can see him in an even better light here today off just a lb higher. Hes only four with seven runs (winning four of them) on the clock so probably hasnt done improving yet and tbh hes in good hands on that score. Oisin Murphy was on board for the first time on that lto win and hes re united with the horse again this afternoon which is another plus in my book , has a 26% strike rate over the last two weeks and has a 20.6% strike rate over the last five years when coming to Lingfield. Trainer Andrew Balding is also enjoying a purple patch at the moment with a 31% strike rate over the last fourteen days , and when coming here this season he has a 27.8% strike rate. When the pair have combined their talents over the last three weeks they come away with a 40% strike rate. Bottom weight SANDY PARADISE interests me and comes into this after a 1/2 length second to the re opposing Larado over CD , and i think theres a good chance that he could reverse those placings today. A win and a place from his three runs over CD , has yet to win from this mark or higher but has placed twice in three attempts so not beyond him. Richard Hughes has just this one out today and hes enjoying a 33% strike rate over the last two weeks , whilst Finley Marsh who rode him last time is re united with the horse on his sole start of the day.

8.00 Wolverhampton - Storm Asset 9/1 (Hills)
At the prices I like STORM ASSET chances in this one , hasnt shown much lately but is now down to his last winning mark which i think has to give him a chance here as does the fact that hes never been unplaced over CD with a win and two places from three runs , overall at the course he has two wins and three places from nine outings. Was a decent enough fourth when last seen a coupla months ago and if ready to roll after a break i think he can definatley make his presence felt. Dougie Costello on board for the first time and trainer Tony Carroll has been holding his own of late.

8.30 Wolverhampton - Astrophysics 11/2 365,Coral,BFred,Lads) - Doctor Mozart 12/1 (365)
Going for two in the finale , ASTROPHYSICS is the first of those , who hasnt been showing great form but i think in all fairness hes running better than the figures suggests , hes come 5th , 7th and 6th in his last three races but hasnt been beaten beyond 2 1/2 lengths in any of them so i dont think its a big leap to think that he could go close here especially when you consider that as a result of recent runnings his marks still continues to drop , and hes won from much higher in the past plus i think the drop to 5f is in his favour. Despite his age i think he still has a few wins in him yet and hopefully tonight is gonna be one of them. Generally tends to do well here at Wolverhampton with two wins and three places from nine runs over CD (five wins and eight places overall) , class and draw both look okay and i think he can get involved if on song. Dougie Costello takes the ride , and he was three wins and a place from twelve rides to date , and he has a 14.3% strike rate at the course this term along with a tidy profit of +£19.50. Trainer Tony Carroll has a 14% strike rate over the last three weeks , and an 11% strike rate here overall. DOCTOR MOZART is the other selection , last two races has been poor admittedly but hes better than that and before those two outings his figures were - 1,3.4 .. with the win coming over tonights CD. Has won twice and placed twice in five runs over CD , and like Astrophysics comes into this on a winnable looking mark as hes won off higher in the past. Philip Kirby sends just this one to the meeting and he has a 16% strike rate over the last fortnight , whilst Jason Hart takes the ride , been riding well lately with a 24% strike rate in the last couple of weeks , and when coming here this term has etched up a 15.8% strike rate. Think he can make his presence felt from a decent looking draw.

4.00 Carlisle - Houston Texas 4/1 (Hills) - Up Helly AA King 11/1 (Hills,Coral,Lads)
I think theres a few who could take a hand in this but theres a couple i really like who could go well , first of those is HOUSTON TEXAS whose a course specialist here at Carlisle winning all four starts at the course with one of those being over this afternoons CD. He pulled up last time out in the class one Rowland Meyrick handicap at Wetherby but this is a lot easier and at a course he clearly loves imo he has to hold a serious chance of getting back on track. Going shouldnt be an issue , as has won on heavy before , Nicky Richards does well here with a 24.6% strike rate over the last five years (21.4% strike rate this season) and Sean Quinlan gets on well with the horse having won on him five times from eleven rides and trainer / jockey have a 20% strike rate when teaming up over the last three weeks. The veteran UP HELLY AA KING is another who i think could go well and despite being thirteen now i dont think he can be totally written off , fell early doors on his last start at Sandown but before that had won at Ayr on heavy going. Hes another who seems to do well here with two wins and a place from four outings , his CD run here was the one where he was unplaced (4th of 7) but he has won and placed over todays trip so theres no worries on that score. Has won in the class and off this sort of mark so they're all ticked in the right boxes and i just think at the price hes worth a go.

3.00 Carlisle - Taste The Fear 6/1 (365)
I think TASTE THE FEAR could go close here , has placed on only start here at Carlisle and what i like is the fact that he stays further than todays 2m4f , having won over 3 miles before , and i think that that stamina could well be needed given the heavy going at the course. Also caught my eye that hes run well everytime hes gone on heavy - 1,3,2 so im hoping that can see him home this afternoon. Has to be said that the trainers not in the best of form but more than capable of readying one and Sam Twiston Davies on board who knows the horse inside out with four wins and six places from his eighteen rides to date.

2.17 Lingfield - Forge Valley Lad 9/1 (365)
Think FORGE VALLEY LAD at the current 9s is well worth a go , probably as an each way to nothing to be honest but as this is win only i'll risk it , hasnt been in the best of form since returning to action back in December '23 but as a result has come down in the weights and is now 3lb below his last winning mark , always seems to run a decent race here at Leafy with a win and five places from seven runs over CD and four wins / seven places from eighteen course runs overall , also the main thing that caught my eye is the fact that Jamie Spencer has a good relationship with the horse having won on him on his last three rides aboard the horse (three wins / two places from seven rides) and hes re united with the horse on his sole start of the day. David Simcock in fine form at the mo with a 27% strike rate in the past fortnight.
 
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Have added three more races to todays selections , mainly due to the fact that they were on my shortlist and i did like em but at the prices last night thought it best to leave them alone , looking at prices now however have decided they're worth a poke .. fingers crossed .. its either gonna be a decent day or an expensive one
 
Results / Monday 19th February

Applaus 8/1 Lost (3rd)
Sandy Paradise 7/1 Lost (4th)
McClean House 9/4 :handgestures-thumbup: 1st
Storm Asset 9/1 Lost (7th)
Astro Physics 11/2 Lost (3rd)
Doctor Mozart 12/1 (5th)
Houston Texas 4/1 Lost (5th)
Up Helly AA King 11/1 Lost (2nd)
Taste The Fear 6/1 Lost (6th)
Forge Valley Lad 9/1 Lost (9th)

Running Total .. Bets 7 .. Won 4 .. +/- -4.92
 
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Despite having a few runners today ive still managed to miss two winners , Peachey Carnehan at 7s (along with Glorious Charmer) and Barbarosa at 9/2 .. I really should learn just to back em all if i fancy em .. thats probably gonna cost me dearly now !
 
Tuesday 20th February

3.40 Taunton - Wild Max 14/1 (Hills,365,SkyBet)

Plenty look to hold chances in this one , but the top weight WILD MAX interests me at a decent price , one of three entries for Paul Nicholls , he making his re appearance after an astounding 599 days off so obviously his well being is gonna have to be taken on trust but the fact hes been kept on after this long off says to me they think a bit of him and although theres a fair chance that he may , obviously , need this outing i think at the price hes worth a shot to nothing. Was enjoying a winning sequence when last seen , winning his last two races by a combined total of 55 lengths. Not sure that a return to hurdles is the best for him but then again a start over the smaller obstacles makes sense , has won four (and placed in a further two) hurdles from his twelve and hes unbeaten in two starts over this afternoons CD which caught my eye and the fact that the trainer is adept at placing his horses makes me think that he could make a winning re appearance. Looks to be well treated on his best form and hes won off higher marks than todays and the class and going are both fine. Paul Nicholls team has been on for of late with a 35% strike rate over the last three weeks , and this season has a 31.8% strike rate when visiting Taunton , and overall has a 30% strike rate. Angus Cheleda is in the hot seat , and his 5lb claim will help the cause , and he has won on the horse before which is always a good thing to see from my point of view , and he has an overall strike rate here of 13%. Obviously others come into this with more pressing claims , but for me i think given his overall form / profile hes worth a go at a nice price.

8.30 Newcastle - Marcello Si 9/2 (365)
Gonna side with MARCELLO SI in this , has won two of his last three outings with the last one of those being over tonights CD where he beat the re opposing Shines Ambition by 1/2 length and i think theres a good chance he can go well once again and confirm those placings. Is one from one over CD and has two wins and a place to his name from seven outings overall here at Newcastle. Been in decent form since coming back from 50 days off and i cant see any reason why he shouldnt be putting his best hoove forward and going close here. Clifford Lee has ridden him to those two wins making his record on the horse - 4,5,1,4,1 so there or thereabouts in the main. Trainer Michael Dods has been doing well when sending his runners here with an 18.2% strike rate this season.
 
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Results / Tuesday 20th February

Wild Max 14/1 Lost (7th)
Marcello Si 9/2 Lost (6th)

Running Total .. Bets 39 .. Won 4 .. +/- -6.92
 
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Wednesday 21st February

3.30 Ludlow - Tide Times 6/1 (365)

Given that he has pulled up in two of his last three races im taking a chance on TIDE TIMES in this one , that last one came here at Ludlow where he has an otherwise solid record with three wins from four outings over CD. And overall he has four wins and a place here from nine runs , thats all four of his career wins coming round here in chases , so im hoping that last time out was just a blip and that he can continue the good run here today. Jumping does let him down at times but in the main here at Ludlow hes been okay. Most of his better form / wins have all come on soft so todays going should be right up his alley and the fact that hes won off higher than todays mark is another thing that leads me to believe he could go well. Ian Williams has a 12.5% strike rate here this term whilst jockey James King is here for just this one ride having his first ride aboard the horse.

5.00 Kempton - Magicinthemaking 20/1 (365) - Time Patrol 11/1 (Hills,Coral,SkyBet,Lads)
Gonna go with a couple of nicely priced ones here , MAGICINTHEMAKING seems to do well here with three wins and two places over todays CD from fourteen runs , and has been a bit hit and miss lately , more miss tbh , but coming here gives me hope that a decent run could be on the cards. Draw could of been kinder i have to admit but still fairly positive that he can make his presence felt if hes fully wound up. David Probert up and hes won and placed on the horse and knows his way round here with an 11% strike rate overall and its John Longs' sole runner on the card. TIME PATROL is the other one i like , doesnt seem to be the most reliable but has placed a couple of times in his four runs since returning from a lay off. Those two places were both over this afternoons CD , and i cant see any reason why he shouldnt be giving it his best once again here. The fact that Tom Marquand is booked for the first time caught my eye and to me it could be a statement of intent from connections , hes been in solid form lately with a 23% strike rate in the last three weeks , and doing well when coming here this term with a 21.1% strike rate. Others come into the race looking better i have to say but at the prices i think these pair are worth a go.

2.25 Ludlow - Malaita 7/2 (365,Lads) - Terrisita 6/1 (Hills,SkyBet)
Two for me in this , firstly MALAITA whose been in decent enough form lately , ten length second latest over this afternoons CD , and hopefully can improve on that here and get her head in front. Yet to win a chase but has placed in two of her four so far , so i think its just a matter of time before she manages to bag one. Placed in both starts over CD and has a win and two places from her five runs here overall. Alex Edwards here for just this one and he has a 29% strike rate over the last coupla weeks , and has a decent record on the horse with three wins and five places from his fourteen rides. Should be there or thereabouts. TERRISITA is the other selection , disappointing sixth lto but was a decent second before that so hopefully can get back on track here today. Harry Cobden re unites with the horse after that last run and hes in decent form with a 29% strike rate over the last three weeks , whilst Lucy Wadham sends just this one to the track and shes got an 18% strike rate over the last couple of weeks. If on song , should be bang there come the line.
 
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Results / Wednesday 21st February

Tide Times 6/1 Non Runner
Magicinthemaking 20/1 Lost (13th)
Time Patrol 11/1 Lost (5th)
Malaita 7/2 Lost (2nd)
Terrisita 6/1 :handgestures-thumbup: 1st

Running Total
.. Bets 43 .. Won 5 .. +/- -3.92
 
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Friday 23rd February

4.00 Sedgefield - Dillarchie 7/2 (365) - Breizh Alko 14/1 (365)

Two appeal to me in this one against the short priced favourite (who might not run as he won yesterday) , DILLARCHIE is the first of those , whose not the most reliable or consistent but has run well the last twice , with a second in her penultimate run and an emphatic 8 1/2 length win last time out , beating the re opposing Rumble B , if she arrives in the same mood then i think theres every chance that she can follow up as although she has gone up 7lb she looked as though she had plenty left under her saddle. Shes one from one over CD due to that lto win and has two wins and a place from her four runs here overall. Trainer has a 20% strike rate here this term and has a 50% strike rate over the last three weeks , whilst jockey Alice Stevens is bang in form with a 27% strike rate over the past three weeks , and has a 100% strike rate here at Sedgefield this term , and im sure her 5lb will come in handy. Top weight BREIZH ALKO at a decent price is my other selection , one from one over CD , was a well beaten third lto but had excuses imo as was coming back from 298 days off , now the cobwebs have been blown away im hoping that he can put up a better showing. Has won off higher in the past and his present mark doesnt look to bad , he might be thirteen but i think he has a few wins left him in yet. Sean Bowen in the plate and hes got a win and two places from his four rides to date.

7.30 Wolverhampton - Bella Bluesky 9/2 (365)
BELLA BLUESKY arrives in rude health in search for a three timer and theres every possibilty that she gets it. Won on her first run here at Wolverhampton last time over 1m4f , and despite shouldering a 4lb penalty i think she can go very close here. I dont think the extra 2 furlongs will hinder her as shes used to jumps , if anything i think it could well play to her strengths. Trainer Ewan Whillans sends just this one to the meeting and he has a 14% strike rate in the past 21 days , whilst Jason Hart who is two from two aboard her (last two wins) is re united with the horse , in good form at the moment with a 28% strike rate over the last couple of weeks.

5.30 Wolverhampton - Sparkle In His Eye 33/1 (Hills) - Major Gatsby 16/1 (365)
Quite like the look of two decently priced runners in this one , one is SPARKLE IN HIS EYE who hasnt been seen at his best since returning from 132 days off back in January but the fact that hes two from two over this evenings CD piqued my interest and i think that theres a chance that he could go well at a big price. It also caught my eye that hes back down to 7f at which he seems to do well with four wins and two places from his nine runs. Micky Hammond has a few out tomorrow but has just this one out on the flat , has a 10% strike rate over all here and an 11% strike rate in the last three weeks. 5lb claimer Aiden Brookes is on board and he seems to get on with the horse with five wins / two places from his fourteen rides. MAJOR GATSBY is the other one like , was tenth of eleven lto , poor effort but i can forgive him that as it was a comeback outing and im hoping that he'll strip fitter here this evening. Likes it over this CD with four wins from his six runs , which is incidentally all four of his wins on the all weather , and the fact that hes now a lb below his last winning mark and the blinkers are back on makes me think that a decent run could well be on the cards. Bill Turner having a quiet spell at the moment but has a 12% overall here and he can ready one when he wants , and 5lb claimer Brandon Wilkie takes the ride for the first time. At the current prices i think both are worth a pop in the hope they bring the best to the table.

8.30 Wolverhampton - Precision Storm 20/1 (365) - Ludos Landing 9/1 (Hills)
Theres a few who look as though they could go well in this but i think two of the higher priced runners could well trouble the principles if they come into this fully wound up. The first of those is LUDO'S LANDING who comes into this on the back of a decent enough fourth of ten over tonights CD (was third but was placed fourth) last time out after 170 days off and if coming on for that run then i can see him getting involved here. He isnt the most reliable it has to be said but on a good day i think he can definatley make his presence felt. That lto place was his first go at Wolverhampton and the distance so every possibilty he can do better. Charlie Johnston has just this one here and he has a 24% strike rate over the last three weeks , whilst Joe Fanning takes the ride , hes also in decent form with a 29.6% strike rate over the past month , placed on three pf his four starts to date on the horse and when trainer / jockey have combined over the last three weeks they have a 35% strike rate. PRECISION STORM has won three times and placed in a further ten from his twenty three runs over CD , hasnt really been seen at his best in his three races since returning to action back in December , all come over todays CD , but has come down in the weights as a result and imo he should be there or thereabouts on todays mark. Mark Loughnane has an 18% strike rate over the last couple of weeks , and a 14% strike rate when coming here this season along with a small profit of +£8.00. Finley Marsh takes the ride for the first time , and he has a 14% strike rate in the last twenty one days.
 
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Results / Friday 23rd February

Dillarchie 7/2 Lost (3rd)
Breizh Alko 14/1 Lost (4th)
Bella Bluesky 9/2 Lost (2nd)
Sparkle In His Eye 33/1 Lost (11th)
Major Gatsby 16/1 Lost (6th)
Precision Storm 20/1 Lost (5th)
Ludos Landing 9/1 Lost (3rd)

Running Total .. Bets 50 .. Won 5 .. +/- -10.92
 
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Saturday 24th February

1.58 Chepstow - Zambezi Fix 3/1 (365,Hills) - Bubble Dubi 4/1 (Hills)

BUBBLE DUBI has only won the one race to date but rarely runs a bad race so i think hes overdue another visit to the winners enclosure. Placed on only start here over CD , was decent thirds the last twice and another showing like those should see him on the premises or thereabouts. Trainer Stuart Edmonds bang in form at the moment with an 80% strike rate over the last two weeks , Fergus Gillard takes the ride for the first time and he has a 10% strike rate overall when coming here. ZAMBEZI FIX is my other fancy for the race , been in good form since coming back from a lay off with figures of - 3,2,4,1,2 and i cant see any reason why he shouldnt be busy at the business end of things once again. Was a neck second here last time out , and before that beat You say Nothing by 5 lengths , both over this afternoons CD and both on heavy ground , so todays conditions wont bother him. hes back down to the mark he was for that last win and he should be making his presence felt. Two wins and two places from nine outings over CD to date , and everything points to a decent run being on the cards. 3lb claimer Robert Williams in the saddle and hes his regular jockey with a record of two wins and three places from eleven rides , and hes here for this one ride whilst Bernard Llewellyn sends two to the course , both in this race.

3.08 Chepstow - Thanksforthehelp 13/2 (Hills.Coral,SkyBet,BFred) - Supremely West 15/2 (Hills)
I like the look of a couple in this , firstly THANKSFORTHEHELP who hasnt been seen since being pulled up in May , but it caught my eye that he won this race well last year , beating My Bobby Dazzler by 6 1/2 lengths , after having had a break , so a bit of deja vu could be on the cards im hoping and the fact that hes gone well fresh in the past leads me to think that this could be the best time to catch him. One from one over CD and a win and a place from his two starts at Chepstow overall. David Pipe sends just this one to the meeting , and he has a 14.8% strike rate when coming here this season , whilst jockey Jack Tudor also here for just this one and he has a 15% strike rate in the last couple of weeks , and has a win from his two rides to date on the horse. SUPREMELY WEST is also on my radar and rates my other bet , hasnt run a bad race since joining Dr Richard Newlands yard back in 2023 with figures of - 1,1,2,1,1,2,2 , was second on handicap debut last time here at Chepstow and i think this longer trip will suit him. Has won on heavy and soft so conditions shouldnt pose a problem and i can see him going close today. Trainer has just this one here and Luke Scott here for just this one as well , his 5lb claim wont hurt and hes one from one aboard the horse to date.

2.08 Newcastle - Fenland Tiger 6/1 (365)
FENLAND TIGER catches my beady eye in this one , has made a terrific start to his chasing career with three wins from his four races. Won his last two , with the last one being here at Newcastle over 2m7 1/2f on heavy going , this will be his first crack at this sort of distance but he has won over 3m2f and it seems to me that the further he goes the better he is , so im hoping that he can give it a good go here this afternoon. Has won two of his three starts here , and there should be no issues with the underfoot conditions. Jockey knows him well having won six times (and placed in a further one) from his 13 rides.

5.05 Southwell - Sir Chauvelin 25/1 (365,Hills,Coral,BFred,Lads)
Even though he hasnt been in the best of form in his last couple of runs i cant let SIR CHAUVELIN go unbacked at the current 25s on offer , one from over todays CD , and a win and a place from two runs here overall. If hes anywhere near his best then i can see him going well and giving the principals something to think about , and the fact that Jim Goldie sends just this one on the long schlepp to Shuvvel makes me think that maybe a decent run could well be on the cards. Paul Mulrennan back on board and that also makes me think that maybe he could go well , last time he partnered the horse was back in September 23 for a couple of back to back races where he won and came fourth. Has ridden the horse 25 times to date resulting in 6 wins and 4 places so knows the horse well. Horse looks decently drawn and has won off higher than todays mark and as i say cant let him go unbacked at the price.

6.20 Chelmsford - Daytona Lady 10/1 (365,Hills,Coral,SkyBet,BFred,Lads)
DAYTONA LADY catches my eye at the current odds , been in decent enough form of late with a couple of wins and a fourth in his last three runs , won on only start over this evenings CD , and overall is two from two here at the course. Has a decent looking draw to me and i think she could close off a lb lower than he last winning mark. Ruth Carr has just this one here and shes a trainer i rate , and when sending her runners here over the last five years she has a 13.6% strike rate along with a profit of +£16.83. James Sullivan in the hot seat and he has two wins from his three rides aboard the horse to date and has a 13.3% strike rate in the same period alongside a small profit of +£6.25.

7.20 Chelmsford - Letmelivemylife 12/1 (365) - Love De Vega 11/4 (365)
Two for me in this one , LOVE DE VEGA is the first one , won over CD back in January beating the re opposing Ultramarine and im hopeful that he can do that again tonight. Comes into this on the back of a decent third last time out and if putting his best hoove forward then he should be getting involved where it matters. It caught my eye that Billy Loughnane takes the ride for the first time , in good form at the moment with a 16.2% strike rate in the last month and a profit of +£12.04 , and when teaming up with trainer Charlie Johnstone over the last three weeks they come away with a 50% strike rate. LETMELIVEMYLIFE loves it here with three wins and two places from his six runs over CD , going the right way in last two outings and sure he can make his presence felt at a course he acts round. Back down to a mark hes won off before , and he has the hood on back today , and draw looks decent enough to me , shouldnt be far away.

2.27 Kempton - Arclight 4/1 (Coral) - Blow Your Wad 7/2 (365,BFred,Lads)
ARCLIGHT and BLOW YOUR WAD interest me in this one , Nicky Hendersons Arclight is an improving type and yet to taste defeat over fences and theres every chance she can retain her unbeaten record here today. Beat Marsh Wren by 2 lengths in a listed race when last seen in December , and if in the same sort of mood i think she may well stick it to her male counterparts here. Won on her only start over todays distance , and shes two from two here at Kempton. Henderson hasnt won this race since 2004 with Paul Nicholls pretty much farming it tbh (his entrant is Tahmuras) but i think that could change today. Nico De Boinville on board and hes won five of his seven rides on her , placing on another. Blow Your Wad caught my attention as the only CD winner in the race , and like my other selection is unbeaten here at Kempton in two runs. Last run can be forgiven i think and a better effort should be seen this afternoon. Will have to up his game from what ive seen to date but thats entirely possible i think. Tom Lacey sends just this one and i always think his runners are worth a second look , has a 17% strike rate over the past three weeks , whilst jockey Stan Sheppard also here for just this ride and he has three wins and four places from twelve rides to date and is having a good season so far when coming here to ride with a 37.5% strike rate and a small profit of +£2.50.

3.00 Kempton - Secret Squirrel 13/2 (Hills)
SECRET SQUIRREL comes into this in fine form with a win and two seconds this season , the win came over todays CD on his hurdling debut beating Dancing In Brazil by 5 lengths , and hes yet to see outside of the first two home. I think he can go well at what i would consider a decent price. Initially caught my eye as hes the only CD winner in the race which is something i always look for. JJ Burke on board for the first time and hes a jockey i like and Hughie Morrison can ready one when he wants to so a big run shouldnt surprise.

4.10 Kempton - Pepe Le Moko 5/2 (365) - Champagne Mystery 11/2 (365)
CHAMPAGNE MYSTERY was a solid fifth in a decent race at Cheltenham on his return to the UK after a spell of racing in France , and that should hopefully have him spot on for this. Won on his only start here , and has won over todays distance. Comes into this a couple of lb lower and JJ Burke also takes his first ride aboard this one as well. Tom George is as shrewd as they come , and the fact hes sent just this one could be a statement of intent. PEPE LE MOKO is another one i like and he arrives on the back of a 14 length drubbing of Le Ligerien last time out over this afternoons CD. Has gone up 9lb for that win but im not sure if that will be able to stop him , and i think a big run is on the cards here. David Noonan has won two and placed in two from his four rides to date and has struck up a good relationship with the horse , and Jane Williams has a 40% strike rate when bringing her runners here this season.
 
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Results / Saturday 24th February

Zambezi Fix 3/1 Lost (2nd)
Bubble Dubi 4/1 :handgestures-thumbup: 1st
Thanksforthehelp 13/2 Lost (10th)
Supremely West 15/2 Lost (2nd)
Fenland Tiger 6/1 Lost (7th)
Sir Chauvelin 25/1 Lost (13th)
Daytona Lady 10/1 Lost (3rd)
Letmelivemylife 12/1 Lost
Love De Vega 11/4 :handgestures-thumbup: 1st
Arclight 4/1 Lost (Pulled Up)
Blow Your Wad 7/2 :handgestures-thumbup: 1st (15p Rule 4)
Secret Squirrel 13/2 Non Runner
Pepe Le Moko 5/2 Lost (5th)
Champagne Mystery 11/2 Lost (3rd)

Running Total .. Bets 63 .. Won 8 .. +/- -11.19
 
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