• Hi Guest Just in case you were not aware I wanted to highlight that you can now get a free 7 day trial of Horseracebase here.
    We have a lot of members who are existing users of Horseracebase so help is always available if needed, as well as dedicated section of the fourm here.
    Best Wishes
    AR

My ongoing take on class/form

Jackform

Mare
There is a thread debating this that I have read where finding a winner in th race, not of the race is the theme. These are my thoughts for the principal meeting today.

Yarmouth (GS some S in places) Market odds from around 8am. Top track trainer W Haggas. Top track jockey Billy Loughnane.

1.55 Massimo Blue 9/4 mkt. Loughnane up.
2.31 Bidsta 2/5. Lougyhnane up.
3.06 (too many unexposed runners)
3.41 Rhapsody 11/4. W Haggas 23 my rating also has a 2nd string Orionis?
4.12 Enoch 11/10. J&T Gosden 29 currently going well. RL Moore up is a positive indicator.
4.45 No selection but I did check Clocker. E Bethel 5? Loughnane up.
5.15 Court Drive 3/1. Loughnane up.

Comment: Just my poor opinion of course and I wouldn't support anything shorter than 6/4 opposite the risk. Just have to check the market nearer the off.
 
Good work Jackform Jackform on arriving with your idea of the Class/Form horses in each race so quickly . Do you have any of your Pen and Ink reasoning for these it could be a game changer for those struggling to identify a Class/Form horse in one race let alone 7 races
 
Chesham Chesham, as will be aware I am a very old punter after having an interest on and off since 1951. A pundit I have a lot of respect for is the proprietor of the old RacingSystemBuilder, Tim Drakeford. A decade or so ago he wrote a free ebook that I have on file and consult from time to time. A passage from it that I have posted on UKBF from time to time I will post again as a starter:

"We have said that systematic betting is based on a scientific premise: that the past forecasts the future. It is also based on the scientific premise that certain principles or laws underlie the apparent chaos of the universe. So, what are the underlying principles at work on the racecourse? You may have heard the old saw that fast horses win races. This is a tautology, because by definition, of course, the fastest horse in the race on the day always wins. The trick is to find the one which will be fastest on the day before the race is run! To me, this trick has three aspects. First, the horse must have the ability to win the race. Second, the horse must be able to show its form - that is, to live up to its innate ability. Thirdly, and absolutely vitally, the animal must be fancied by the people connected with it. If they are definitely not trying, then the horse will not win, and if they are not trying very hard it is less likely to win than might otherwise seem the case. These are the questions, then, that the punter must answer before choosing a runner on which he might bet -
Does the horse have sufficient ability to win a race of this type?
Are the circumstances right for the ability to be shown on this occasion?
Do connections expect the horse to win or go close?
If the answers to these three questions are an unequivocal "yes", then the punter has found the right sort of horse on which to invest his money. Whether he should actually do so or not depends on the final imponderable, value."

In fact the above probably is the answer to your query. So to be high class a horse has to have speed, meet weight conditions and when runnintg generally have market support. Since 1978 I have kept a top 20 trainers seasonal leaderboard up date before each weekend and festivals. I compile a pen-and-paper chart for a meeting and study it to come to my decisions.
 
Back
Top