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My Hobby site utilizing RPR with Speed Ratings and AVG OR's and pace

Here in the 5:20 ive highlighted 4 runners - YES I KNOW 4! but at 5/1 6/1 9/1 and 12/1 there maybe a play here.. Ive added jockeys performace from HRB standouts are Gleeson and P Ryan.. Glesson on Tatateo is drawn in 14 so i will put a line through this one! Scatchwahs improvement lto is catching my eye decent draw but the jockeys an unknown.. Drucker back to 12f will be my selection but will play the tricast up and down Trucker , Voice of reason , Scatchwah
 

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If anyone would like and screens of this info for races they are looking at tonight please just post times and i can add no problem. This is more data and information in one place for me than actually telling me the winners if that makes sense lol ive put everything i value when making selections in one easy to read view on my site..AS said RPR is racing post rating and SR is Speed rating also DB is distance beat POS is result avg average OR and so on and so on lol
 
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2️⃣ Updated Six-Pillar Base Scores (with draw + OR baked in)​


Base (0–100) – runners only​


HorseForm 20Surf 20Pace 20Mark 20Conn 10Draw 10Base /100Δ vs AvgPercentile
Dandy Dinmont181917177583+6.494%
True Promise171816176882+5.481%
Binadham161715187982+5.481%
Castan141918166881+4.456%
Tiriac171818147680+3.444%
Dark Kestrel121714136971−5.631%
Albegone111317156567−9.619%
Bonito Cavalo917131657

Adjusted Score = 0.9 × Base + Market


HorseBaseMarketAdjusted
Dandy Dinmont83781.7
Tiriac80880.0
True Promise82578.8
Binadham82477.8
Castan81476.9
Dark Kestrel71265.9
Albegone67161.3
Bonito Cavalo67060.3
 
im using RP and factoring in last 6 OR plus C,D OR etc
Dandy Dinmont is a NR so rtgs will be adjusted but i think you will get what im doing.
 
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6:30

My thoughts dandy dinmont has the best figures in 2nd last race and is a n/r but i like the least exposed Binadham 4/1 who was only beaten 3l in a stong avg OR race at lingfield.. Theres pace in this with cast no shadow and thats normally when the speed figures hold up best
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Small profit my trouble is i tinker too much instead of running the ratings and recording results.
 
irishal said:
i hear ya my issue is trying to find the winner in every race instead of sticking to the standouts
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and on that note LOL - 7PM How i read this one is Asadumerirah is overprice at 4/1.. Has 2 back figures to suggest has every bit a chance as top 2 in the market! Spun to gold the fav at 11/8 is up 4lbs and 1lb in avg or meaning this is a very similar quality of race..The back figures of Asad are in much much higher avg OR's suggesting they are much stronger races! Em jay Kay is also up 5lb but is also the pace angle and is likely to get an easy time of it up front.. I would take either of these against the fav and will do a reverse fc for sure but i just think Asad will sit tight and swoop past Em Jay for the win!


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irishal said:
6:30

My thoughts dandy dinmont has the best figures in 2nd last race and is a n/r but i like the least exposed Binadham 4/1 who was only beaten 3l in a stong avg OR race at lingfield.. Theres pace in this with cast no shadow and thats normally when the speed figures hold up best
View attachment 162188
Click to expand...
Annoyingly the race went as expected with the pace and the strongest SR strongest did actually win from 3runs ago kings crown had a 77 over CD and similar AVG to tonights..

1764182515039.png
 
irishal said:
5:15pm Newcastle looks a very interesting race today! Thoughts and figures to follow
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2 interesting runners here

(8) Unassuming 5/1
(3) Nikovo 10/1

There is pace with Shimmering Spin and SR normally holds out well.. Nikovo is back to back to the 8 and more importantly back to the 8 at newcastle which is CD for its top figures! Unassuming has won over 8 and 9 and ran big figures over 7 LTO so the step to 8 will really suit..Fly in the ointment is First ambition very unexposed compared to the 2 selections is 2/4 and won at the course.. Also TJ are 5/6 in the last 30days red hot! Quite an open heat tbh but im happy to go with my 2 against the field
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