Median price. Is it a good way of culling the runners ? Feel free to give constructive criticism

Paul Brown · 2026-06-11T14:07:42+0100

The prices were taken between 1pm and 1.30pm

15:20 Yarmouth

5f (5f42y) Winning Experience With Moulton Racing Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-75)

No.	Horse	Price			Pass/Fail
1	Existent	4.3	4.5	0.2	Pass
2	Neyva's Angel	3	4.5	1.5	Pass
3	Al Barez	4.5	4.5	0	Pass
4	Travel Agent	9	4.5	-4.5	Fail
5	Thunder Star	4.5	4.5	0	Pass

	Median 4.5


15:53 Yarmouth
QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (Class 6) (4yo+ 0-55)

No.	Horse	SP	Median	Difference
1	Court Of Session	4	9	5	Pass
2	Mighty Ruler	12	9	-3	Fail
3	Chasing Gold	9	9	0	Pass
4	Prefer The Sister	3.5	9	5.5	Pass
5	Walking On Clouds	5	9	4	Pass
6	Top Star	23	9	-14	Fail
7	Coolagh Magic	12	9	-3	Fail
8	Mr Phillips	5.5	9	3.5	Pass
9	Tilsworth Turf	26	9	-17	Fail

Overall Median Price: 9.0

16:28 Yarmouth
QuinnBet Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Class 4)

No.	Horse	SP	Median	Difference
2	Patrol	4.3	5.4	1.1	Pass
3	Moonrunner	3.8	5.4	1.6	Pass
4	Baltic	15	5.4	-9.6	Fail
5	High Point	8.5	5.4	-3.1	Fail
6	First Officer	6.5	5.4	-1.1	Fail
7	Yokohama	2.6	5.4	2.8	Pass

Overall Median Price: 5.4

17:03 Yarmouth
Download The QuinnBet App Classified Stakes (Class 6)

No.	Horse	SP	Median	Difference
1	Dors Delight	51	8	-36.5	Fail
3	Sweetstevie	51	8	-36.5	Fail
5	Wingstar	21	8	-6.5	Fail
6	Wrist Art	3.5	8	11	Pass
8	Churchill's Spirit	8	8	6.5	Pass
9	Rockafeller Skank	1.8	8	12.7	Pass
10	Sapphire Dream	6	8	8.5	Pass



17:35 Yarmouth
quinnbet.com Handicap (Class 6)

No.	Horse	SP	Median	Difference
1	Bennyworth	12	12.5	0.5	Pass
2	Salamis Bay	23	12.5	-10.5	Fail
3	Picaro	13	12.5	-0.5	Fail
4	Darkest Red	2.5	12.5	10	Pass
5	Tenison	4.5	12.5	8	Pass
6	Premier Cru	19	12.5	-6.5	Fail
8	Queen Of Astolat	4	12.5	8.5	Pass
9	Cospicua	13	12.5	-0.5	Fail

Overall Median Price: 12.5

Leodis · 2026-06-11T14:28:32+0100

Decimal odds <= number of runners works for me,

Paul Brown, when the Betfair markets is at or around 102%.

Tip: if you log into Betfair, you will almost always get a lower SP% than the 'logged out' one and well before the race. Alternatively, you could normalise your market source to 100%.

Regards

Paul Brown · 2026-06-11T15:06:00+0100

Leodis said:
Decimal odds <= number of runners works for me, Paul Brown, when the Betfair markets is at or around 102%.

Tip: if you log into Betfair, you will almost always get a lower SP% than the 'logged out' one and well before the race. Alternatively, you could normalise your market source to 100%.

Regards

Ive got some spare time today and thought I would develop my thoughts

Im going to extend what I have for the moment and adjust the market near the off. I also will be adding more pass and fail bits to my day off rantings

Paul Brown · 2026-06-11T15:20:12+0100

3.20 Y

No.	Horse	SP	Median	Difference	Status	"2nd Test	3Rd Test	4th Test	5th Test
1	Existent	5.4	5.4	0	Fail	Pass	Pass	Pass	Pass
2	Neyva's Angel	2.86	5.4	2.54	Pass	Fail	Pass	Pass	Fail
3	Al Barez	5.6	5.4	-0.2	Fail	Pass	Pass	Pass	Pass
4	Travel Agent	16.5	5.4	-11.1	Fail	Fail	Fail	Fail	Fail
5	Thunder Star	4.6	5.4	0.8	Pass	Pass	Pass	Pass	Pass
		5.4

Paul Brown · 2026-06-11T15:55:16+0100

Aftertimed

15:42 Nottingham
Wildwest Beer Festival 4th July Handicap (Class 4)

No.	Horse	SP	Median	Difference	Status	Com	Com
1	Miletus	6.5	7	1	Pass	Pass	Pass
2	One Night Thunder	5	7	2	Pass	Pass	Pass
3	San Juanito	41	7	-44	Fail	Fail	Fail
4	Return To Unit	7	7	-0.5	Fail	Pass	Pass
5	Triple Double A	5	7	2.4	Pass	Pass	Pass
6	On The River	7	7	0	Pass	Pass	Pass
7	Youarenotforgiven	51	7	-34	Fail	Fail	Fail
8	Wondrous Light	4.5	7	2	Pass	Pass	Pass
9	Swift Salian	10	7	-5	Fail	Pass	Pass

Paul Brown · 2026-06-11T16:52:41+0100

4.52

1 High Opinion	PASS	1 High Opinion	FAIL	1 High Opinion	FAIL	1 High Opinion	7.6	5.65	-1.95
2 Albegone	PASS	2 Albegone	PASS	2 Albegone	PASS	2 Albegone	5	5.65	0.65
3 Thornaby Pearl	PASS	3 Thornaby Pearl	PASS	3 Thornaby Pearl	PASS	3 Thornaby Pearl	4	5.65	1.65
4 Toptime	PASS	4 Toptime	PASS	4 Toptime	PASS	4 Toptime	6.2	5.65	-0.55
5 Wrestling Revenue	FAIL	5 Wrestling Revenue	PASS	5 Wrestling Revenue	PASS	5 Wrestling Revenue	4.1	5.65	1.55
6 Charging Bull	FAIL	6 Charging Bull	FAIL	6 Charging Bull	FAIL	6 Charging Bull	24	5.65	-18.35

Paul Brown · 2026-06-11T17:06:32+0100

5.03 Aftertimed

1 Dors Delight	FAIL	1 Dors Delight	FAIL	1 Dors Delight	FAIL	50	16	-34
3 Sweetstevie	FAIL	3 Sweetstevie	FAIL	3 Sweetstevie	FAIL	55	16	-39
5 Wingstar	FAIL	5 Wingstar	FAIL	5 Wingstar	FAIL	21	16	-5
6 Wrist Art	PASS	6 Wrist Art	PASS	6 Wrist Art	PASS	5.5	16	10.5
8 Churchill's Spirit	PASS	8 Churchill's Spirit	PASS	8 Churchill's Spirit	PASS	16	16	0
9 Rockafeller Skank	PASS	9 Rockafeller Skank	PASS	9 Rockafeller Skank	PASS	1.76	16	14.24
10 Sapphire Dream	FAIL	10 Sapphire Dream	FAIL	10 Sapphire Dream	FAIL	9	16	7
						16

Paul Brown · 2026-06-11T17:21:03+0100

Aftertimed 5.15

1 Mythical Bay	PASS	1	Mythical Bay	PASS	1 Mythical Bay	PASS	1.91	9	7.09
3 Impossible Mission	PASS	3	Impossible Mission	PASS	3 Impossible Mission	PASS	17	9	-8
4 Honouramongthieves	PASS	4	Honouramongthieves	PASS	4 Honouramongthieves	PASS	6.5	9	2.5
5 Cosmo Brown	PASS	5	Cosmo Brown	PASS	5 Cosmo Brown	PASS	17	9	-8
6 Barrister	PASS	6	Barrister	FAIL	6 Barrister	FAIL	8	9	1
7 Kindly Queen	PASS	7	Kindly Queen	PASS	7 Kindly Queen	PASS	9	9	0
8 Glenna	FAIL	8	Glenna	FAIL	8 Glenna	FAIL	9	9	0

							9

Paul Brown · 2026-06-11T17:37:05+0100

Aftertimed
5.30 Leopardstown

1 Cloughleagh Bridge	PASS	1 Cloughleagh Bridge	FAIL	1 Cloughleagh Bridge	PASS	42	13.5	-28.5
2 Lily Bear	PASS	2 Lily Bear	PASS	2 Lily Bear	PASS	5	13.5	8.5
3 Pisiffik Ginger	PASS	3 Pisiffik Ginger	PASS	3 Pisiffik Ginger	PASS	4.3	13.5	9.2
~~4 Star Glory~~	~~PASS~~	~~4 Star Glory~~	~~PASS~~	~~4 Star Glory~~	~~PASS~~	7	~~13.5~~	~~6.5~~
5 Caoch The Piper	PASS	5 Caoch The Piper	PASS	5 Caoch The Piper	PASS	21	13.5	-7.5
6 Dear Madam	PASS	6 Dear Madam	PASS	6 Dear Madam	PASS	13.5	13.5	0
7 Epilogue	PASS	7 Epilogue	FAIL	7 Epilogue	PASS	14	13.5	-0.5
8 Cashel Queen	PASS	8 Cashel Queen	PASS	8 Cashel Queen	PASS	5.6	13.5	7.9
9 Celtic Moon	PASS	9 Celtic Moon FR	FAIL	9 Celtic Moon	PASS	17.5	13.5	-4

						13.5

Sullybomb · 2026-06-11T18:11:06+0100

I just ran a quick test on your theory

Paul Brown hope you don't mind.
Here are the overall results.

So this would be betting every runner Below At or Above the Median.

What I will say from the test is, there are certain courses where you could make a LOT of money backing the ABOVE, but you'd go through massive LLR's. Some courses perform really well with the Below too.

Here are some AW stats.

There is method to it, just need to be selective.

Cheers

Median price. Is it a good way of culling the runners ? Feel free to give constructive criticism

Paul Brown

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