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LTO Winners at Particular Courses

mick mick suggested I send the file over the open forum T TonCon , which I could do - there is an "attach files" icon to click on at the bottom of the typing box.
However, I'm not sure you would want me to do this
🤔
 
T TonCon
I have sent all the courses that have shown profits, in about 15 or so PM messages.
That will give you something to get your teeth into.
If you need the complete picture (i.e - the rest), I can do that, but all other combinations show losses on Betfair.
Good luck!
:handgestures-thumbup:
 
Alien said:
T TonCon
I have sent all the courses that have shown profits, in about 15 or so PM messages.
That will give you something to get your teeth into.
If you need the complete picture (i.e - the rest), I can do that, but all other combinations show losses on Betfair.
Good luck!
:handgestures-thumbup:
Click to expand...
Superb Alien !! Loads to get stuck into there, many thanks, I owe you one.
 
Big shout-out to Alien Alien for all his hard work in compiling up-to-date figures on the record of LTO winners at various courses. Without his input this thread would be weeks away from going live. Can't thank him enough, he is a credit to this Forum.

As it is I intend to pour over the data over the Easter period with a view to start posting qualifiers on Tuesday 19/4.

Just as a taster, there are two of interest going today. Not at all confident that these would strictly qualify as selections, especially given that I haven't finalised the selection process yet, but I will be watching with interest.

3.35 New'm - Dawn of Liberation
5.30 Bath - Obtain

Many thanks again Alien Alien.
 
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Well, sort of got a 'strategy' - if you can call it that - for selections.

1. Minimum of 20 runs at the LTO course.
2. Minimum 20% strike rate at the LTO course and be in profit. Conversely, a Lay would be under 10% strike rate with conditions on the day unfavourable and a large loss.
3. Should not have an obvious disadvantage eg. high draw over 5f at Chester etc.

As an aside, In the (very very) limited period of testing using the above criteria over the last 3 days results were -
L L L W2.61 L W4.65 W8.56

Lays were 100% successful but at scary prices, 65.0, 23.0 etc. and one lost in a photo-finish at 18.0. (There's one today in the 17.05 New'b at a more managable 3.9)

No idea if this idea will work and no way would I expect those results to be consistent and achievable. I'd also expect a series of LLR's to put up with. Anyway time will tell. I'll be starting the thread tomorrow in the Systems Testing Area and, unless this turns out to be an obvious unmitigated disaster, will run it for the whole of the current Flat season.
 
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