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Cheltenham 25

Chesham said:
Already paid out for me on Sunday

Past winners have a good record in the Supreme Hurdle

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KDB OR =157

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For the Supreme there's a couple of Irish races to take note of

Fairyhouse Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Stakes 2m 110y Grade2 in December, 29 have gone from there to the following Supreme, 5 have won and 6 have placed giving an ew strike of 37.9% and ew return of £9.40 LSP to £1 stakes at ISP

Navan Novices Hurdle Stakes 2m 4f Grade2 in December, 5 have gone from there to the following Supreme, 2 have won and 2 have placed giving an ew strike of 80% and ew return of £17.65 LSP to £1 stakes at ISP
 
Chesham said:
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I don't get why you just posted that again just putting lines & rings underneath/around stuff, you should be more succinct.
Yes winners of the Leopardstown Tattersalls Novice Hurdle Stakes (formley Deloitte up until 2018 then Chanelle Pharma from 2019 to 2021) have done well going to the Supreme, I was saying in addition to that there's a couple more Irish races worth looking at from an EW perspective, hence replying to your post with the additional stats
 
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pawras said:
I don't get why you just posted that again just putting lines & rings underneath/around stuff, you should be more succinct.
Yes winners of the Leopardstown Tattersalls Novice Hurdle Stakes (formley Deloitte up until 2018 then Chanelle Pharma from 2019 to 2021) have done well going to the Supreme, I was saying in addition to that there's a couple more Irish races worth looking at from an EW perspective, hence replying to your post with the additional stats
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Sorry My Bad, just spotted that I had already posted that Trend on page one, I thought that I had only posted the Mullins stat trend for that race

I have deleted Post 22 and thanks for your added Trends to consider
 
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KDB started odds on, when making his hurdle debut at the leopardstown Christmas meeting.

I thought at the time this suggested that KDB, was very highly regarded , and now we know why.
 
By my stats the 4 key races for winners heading to following Gold Cup are
Chelt Gold Cup
Kemp King George VI
Newb Denman Chase
Chelt Broadway Novice

But without further criteria I don't view any of them as really strong trends
 
I've had a bet on the biggest winning SP to be 80/1+ at 6/1, just because there's often at least one with massive odds that comes in, and if you don't have that specific horse but you have this bet on, at least you'll get a return no matter which horse does it (if one does).
 
I've had a bet on the biggest winning SP to be 80/1+ at 6/1, just because there's often at least one with massive odds that comes in, and if you don't have that specific horse but you have this bet on, at least you'll get a return no matter which horse does it (if one does).
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Surprisingly it's only happened once since 2003 from 403 races.

The winner was exactly 80/1 in 2021. I was on the 2nd :(

I do remember Nortons Coin winning the Gold Cup at 100/1 and long time ago, but the number of big prices seems to be receeding.

Rarely runs on heavy, apart from last year and maybe the Irish mob monopolizing the event, have seen fewer shocks.
 
tacker said:
Everything now in place for a great race though i feel mullins might go for the mares with Lossie, we still await the answer to is CH still as good ?
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Computer says Lossiemouth going for the mares hurdle, a worthy race but it shouldn’t be within a month of the champion hurdle never mind the same day. To many options robbing the champion hurdle of legitimate contenders, they avoided it with Annie Power and it’s just same old , same old and the biggest races become more diluted every year. Ruining the festival this shite.
 
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