bigger odds
- Thread starter gerry
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gerry
Mare
Looking at tomorrows flat i did find it difficult to see anything exciting although for my bigger price one i think in the 3 00 hamilton ZARABANDA has never had this ground, But two runs back here she run a decent race with no clear run 2fur out , did dissapoint last time again but this well breed filly back here with faster ground could find its self.
Looking at one with a shorter price look who could go well again runs in the 4 45 hamilton THAKI this horse when it won here last time out turned round the form with lord abama who finished in front of it race before at same weights so either he improved or the track suited better or was just the faster race suited , yasser was behind him in first run back at 6 fur and he was shorter priced but i dont think even better of at weights he will have the kick over this distance to out speed thaki. Although deff not as strong on him as was yesterdays shorter one.
Looking at one with a shorter price look who could go well again runs in the 4 45 hamilton THAKI this horse when it won here last time out turned round the form with lord abama who finished in front of it race before at same weights so either he improved or the track suited better or was just the faster race suited , yasser was behind him in first run back at 6 fur and he was shorter priced but i dont think even better of at weights he will have the kick over this distance to out speed thaki. Although deff not as strong on him as was yesterdays shorter one.
Frontrunner
Stallion
gerry
Mare
well wasnt the best yesterday but looking forward as always there is only one of my fancies which is my bigger odds one who i think could have a decent chance today and it runs in the 4 40 thirsk DREAM TOGETHER. this horse quiet obviously needs firm fround won three times on it and its best ever rpr was here at thirsk so thats couple things going for it i would simple say if rain stays away by last race then a bet for me.
It has had wind op since last run and had one before which didnt seem to make impact right away but i would ignore that as it run three times on soft after it. But its last run looked like one of his better runs of late so my guess is there thinking is horse is fit ground right track right lets give it wind op righyt now and get it ready for next race. Jack garrity back on it to all wins with him.
It has had wind op since last run and had one before which didnt seem to make impact right away but i would ignore that as it run three times on soft after it. But its last run looked like one of his better runs of late so my guess is there thinking is horse is fit ground right track right lets give it wind op righyt now and get it ready for next race. Jack garrity back on it to all wins with him.
gerry
Mare
Well looking at two horses today who i think must have decent chances the first one runs in the 4 00 newbury TOP SECRET this horse has run many times at track and the first run of season ran a cracker two be second in which if you go by rpr was its best performance ever and only up 1lb but if you look at his winning record you could argue that 7f is best winning distance.
You also could argue it does tend to run big race first time back then need rest as next performance not as good, but with its last run being possibly its best and winning last two last season it is possible this horse has just found its self and could have good season.
The second horse runs in the 7 10 haydock RUM COCKTAIL again this horse had great comback for new stable and it wasnt maybe as fast as she likes, so the faster ground and to be dropped a1lb surely will be a plus and has won of higher marks.
The track unknown but looks like fast or galloping track dosnt matter and usually handy which i find works here at haydock.
Jockey booking not such a surprise as she gets rides for this trainer so hopefull.
You also could argue it does tend to run big race first time back then need rest as next performance not as good, but with its last run being possibly its best and winning last two last season it is possible this horse has just found its self and could have good season.
The second horse runs in the 7 10 haydock RUM COCKTAIL again this horse had great comback for new stable and it wasnt maybe as fast as she likes, so the faster ground and to be dropped a1lb surely will be a plus and has won of higher marks.
The track unknown but looks like fast or galloping track dosnt matter and usually handy which i find works here at haydock.
Jockey booking not such a surprise as she gets rides for this trainer so hopefull.
gerry
Mare
Well there only one i feel is price where it could go well runs in the 4 45 york NO NAY NICKI not a prolific winner but dropped to mark lowest ever and did run a great race here last year of higehr mark so has potential to improve now 4yo and possibly had two runs to put it spot on for this race.
I think draw is not bada lthough would sooner it was in alittle at maybe draw 10 but if gets clear passage which i think will need could storm home late on.
I feel more solid e/w bet.
I think draw is not bada lthough would sooner it was in alittle at maybe draw 10 but if gets clear passage which i think will need could storm home late on.
I feel more solid e/w bet.
gerry
Mare
The one that interests me most today runs in the 3 30 thirsk ASCOT ADVENTURE this horse has changed stable this year and not been over raced as seems to run couple races then have break so not sure why that is but looks like akes alot out of him but getting older should be stronger and looks like Omeara is determined to get win out of him.
And last race on thrid run ran really well so i think they have gave him a realistic chance today as long as keeps going.
The one doubt you could have is tudhope going to ascot for two rides instead but hardly blame him and they do have a few at ascot tomorrow so more like sooner be there at big meeting so i would not read to much into it.
I do think this is easyest race and its there for taking if horse runs to scratch.
And last race on thrid run ran really well so i think they have gave him a realistic chance today as long as keeps going.
The one doubt you could have is tudhope going to ascot for two rides instead but hardly blame him and they do have a few at ascot tomorrow so more like sooner be there at big meeting so i would not read to much into it.
I do think this is easyest race and its there for taking if horse runs to scratch.
gerry
Mare
Was dissapointed yesterday but happens so moving on i do like the one today and its not often i have one who i comfortably have as first choice without any decisions to make the horse runs in the 7 40 ripon ZIMMERMAN this horse looks like improving and the form of last race working out well and yet dropping in class easterby loves these opertunites.
I see money is coming for it now which i am not surprised at all and i think will sitt behind leaders waiting but has won at easier tracks so should be not to far behind.
Interesting that Allan hasnt won on it yet but i am actually taking that as positive as he will be determined to get a win out of it and there none better when on trier. Rain come at right time as needs give in going, Could argue track could be worry as only run here once and that was first ever race over 6 fur so thats more as just some exsperience on up and down of it.
But is deff improving and this looks ideal distance.
I see money is coming for it now which i am not surprised at all and i think will sitt behind leaders waiting but has won at easier tracks so should be not to far behind.
Interesting that Allan hasnt won on it yet but i am actually taking that as positive as he will be determined to get a win out of it and there none better when on trier. Rain come at right time as needs give in going, Could argue track could be worry as only run here once and that was first ever race over 6 fur so thats more as just some exsperience on up and down of it.
But is deff improving and this looks ideal distance.
gerry
Mare
So today i am going to go for the compleat opposits of yesterday and bet horse who clearly has liking for ripon infact there is two in the race who do and after yesterdays fiasco i think this is more the safe play for today as we have to learn.
Any way the horse i am going for today runs in the 2 50 ripon WOODLANDS CHARM the reason i am taking this horse over hurstwood is the ground as both like this track but i feel hurstwood tends to like the going bit faster.
woodlands charm run well at thrisk last time out which was clearly a improving performance and back here where won couple times should be spot on for big run opnly being 4 there is possibility of improvment where as hurstwood we likely have seen the best of him.
And woodlands being a filly she does seem to find form then give few good accounts so for me today im going with her with small saver on hurstwood and might even nibble the forecast.
Any way the horse i am going for today runs in the 2 50 ripon WOODLANDS CHARM the reason i am taking this horse over hurstwood is the ground as both like this track but i feel hurstwood tends to like the going bit faster.
woodlands charm run well at thrisk last time out which was clearly a improving performance and back here where won couple times should be spot on for big run opnly being 4 there is possibility of improvment where as hurstwood we likely have seen the best of him.
And woodlands being a filly she does seem to find form then give few good accounts so for me today im going with her with small saver on hurstwood and might even nibble the forecast.
gerry
Mare
Well not been the best last couple bets but these things happen when you get it wrong, But looking at some slight adjustments to importance of certain factors.
One thing i do know is current form does not gaurantee a good run never mind a winner so there is no doubt we have to look at all form and try some how to manufacture what it tells us which is two things slow going hence why some people will say specialize to smaller daily looks to give you more indept analysing.
And two the path is deff not clear so there is alot of cutting down trees and moving rocks to make the path at least walkable and safe .
The thing i think most miss and give up on is you start out on the path with hope but no one told you its amaze your in,
But the wise know there is away out of the maze its just trusting the twist and turns will finally lead you out other side finally.
One thing i do know is current form does not gaurantee a good run never mind a winner so there is no doubt we have to look at all form and try some how to manufacture what it tells us which is two things slow going hence why some people will say specialize to smaller daily looks to give you more indept analysing.
And two the path is deff not clear so there is alot of cutting down trees and moving rocks to make the path at least walkable and safe .
The thing i think most miss and give up on is you start out on the path with hope but no one told you its amaze your in,
But the wise know there is away out of the maze its just trusting the twist and turns will finally lead you out other side finally.
gerry
Mare
Well have went through my maze and went back and forth quiet a few times today concidering all the racing going on but i have finally jumped on two horses who i hope will give a good account of them selfs.
The first one runs in the 3 17 newmarket SINGLE this horse has run four times at newmarket winning once but never far away so always in what we would call form distance at finish. I would guess its possible the faster ground suits better but has form on some soft in going so hopefull ground fine which is important.
New jockey on it for first time always worry but he had winner yesterday always good sign hes not worried infact had few this month.
Stable maybe better on all weather now but i think this is right track for this horse and not getting over tried either so hopefull decent run.
Second horse runs in the 8 40 haydock ALAZAWAR again this horse won here last year and down in mark from it likes to lead and i think run at carlisle last time was wise move to put it spot on for this if i am honest i would have liked seen holly go here instead of ascot as would have been my final believe its horse to be on , But luke has rode it to winner before so he knows what to do here and i think as long as ground not soft will be hard to catch.
The first one runs in the 3 17 newmarket SINGLE this horse has run four times at newmarket winning once but never far away so always in what we would call form distance at finish. I would guess its possible the faster ground suits better but has form on some soft in going so hopefull ground fine which is important.
New jockey on it for first time always worry but he had winner yesterday always good sign hes not worried infact had few this month.
Stable maybe better on all weather now but i think this is right track for this horse and not getting over tried either so hopefull decent run.
Second horse runs in the 8 40 haydock ALAZAWAR again this horse won here last year and down in mark from it likes to lead and i think run at carlisle last time was wise move to put it spot on for this if i am honest i would have liked seen holly go here instead of ascot as would have been my final believe its horse to be on , But luke has rode it to winner before so he knows what to do here and i think as long as ground not soft will be hard to catch.
gerry
Mare
Going for two today who i think have chances the first one runs in the 4 15 pontefract HIGHWAYGREY this horse loves it round here exspeically when ground got firm in it.
The worries i have is there is afew in this with chances so not the easiest race but i think at this track you will see a differant horse than latest form and the mark dropping nicely so looks like this is the day for go i feel.
The second horse runs in the 6 45 pontefract GHATHANFAR this horse again dosnt have bad form round here and showed alittle more last time with firm in ground so going is important as winning record shows, My biggest concern is the draw but can lead so maybe a fast start will help.
The worries i have is there is afew in this with chances so not the easiest race but i think at this track you will see a differant horse than latest form and the mark dropping nicely so looks like this is the day for go i feel.
The second horse runs in the 6 45 pontefract GHATHANFAR this horse again dosnt have bad form round here and showed alittle more last time with firm in ground so going is important as winning record shows, My biggest concern is the draw but can lead so maybe a fast start will help.
gerry
Mare
Anyway just going to throw my tstarting of at chepstowhought of today down quick with nothing deff yet.
Starting of at chepstow the 3 15 is interesting race RHUBARB runs here alot and has best form here so sure to run a good race again but where ever she finishes CORONATION COTTAGE wont be far behind and if you go to last years form there is a stone in differance you could argue coronation is better at bath which is true but even so its not impossible that cottage is well handicapped.
The 5 25 CONNIE ROSE trying to defeat new mark wont be easy for sure but loves it here and staying in this class is almost gauranteed to run big race.
Looking at windsor the 6 35 i think LEQUINTO the second last time out was far better race than this and won here with atzeni on it last year this horse is deff on winning mark and should go very close i feel.
In the 8 10 CARRY ON AITCH this horse won here last time out and was more than likly its best ever performance, BGoing to the jumpsut could be now improving which would mean could defy mark.
Going to the jumps which i am alittle reluctant to do at this time of year with so many flat on i think there three who could run well.
The first runs in the 1 55 FIRE AWAY this is likley the easiest chance or race i should say this horse has run in for quiet some time possibly since won in 2021 of higher mark than this but in similar race. So i feel been given right chance in this race today, Has won novice hurdle round here to not sure that says much but least been to track.
In the 4 00 i think ADDOSH again won round here of very similar mark and yo always worry as this horse has just fell late on a few times, But it did win easily that day and i think has been given chance.
In the 5 00 i think HIGHLAND FROLIC has chance only ever won maiden is concern and not sure of the ability yet to win races but has run close of this mark last twice and the stable going really well should not be far away.
Thats my thoughts so far for today.
Starting of at chepstow the 3 15 is interesting race RHUBARB runs here alot and has best form here so sure to run a good race again but where ever she finishes CORONATION COTTAGE wont be far behind and if you go to last years form there is a stone in differance you could argue coronation is better at bath which is true but even so its not impossible that cottage is well handicapped.
The 5 25 CONNIE ROSE trying to defeat new mark wont be easy for sure but loves it here and staying in this class is almost gauranteed to run big race.
Looking at windsor the 6 35 i think LEQUINTO the second last time out was far better race than this and won here with atzeni on it last year this horse is deff on winning mark and should go very close i feel.
In the 8 10 CARRY ON AITCH this horse won here last time out and was more than likly its best ever performance, BGoing to the jumpsut could be now improving which would mean could defy mark.
Going to the jumps which i am alittle reluctant to do at this time of year with so many flat on i think there three who could run well.
The first runs in the 1 55 FIRE AWAY this is likley the easiest chance or race i should say this horse has run in for quiet some time possibly since won in 2021 of higher mark than this but in similar race. So i feel been given right chance in this race today, Has won novice hurdle round here to not sure that says much but least been to track.
In the 4 00 i think ADDOSH again won round here of very similar mark and yo always worry as this horse has just fell late on a few times, But it did win easily that day and i think has been given chance.
In the 5 00 i think HIGHLAND FROLIC has chance only ever won maiden is concern and not sure of the ability yet to win races but has run close of this mark last twice and the stable going really well should not be far away.
Thats my thoughts so far for today.
gerry
Mare
Looking at tomorrows my thoughts so far are in these six races.
2 45 beverley RAVENGLASS back to winning mark and i think has run acouple of decent races at pontefract makes me think round here will suit , First time visor also and dropping back slightly in distance could suit to.
4 15 beverley STRAWMAN has won round here but it was his good run at haydock while back which made me think could be in with shout in this, Droping back in distance ideal too.
4 00 brighton IDEAL GUEST good record round here although not firing yet this year,
But i feel maybe track will revitalize it and well in if that bethe case at decent odds.
7 15 newbury NOBLE MASQUERADE i feel been running well enough and not getting piunished so is well in yet for win
, The trick for this horse is firm ground which had couple wins so deff need check that at off.
7 50 newbury DREAM OF MISCHIEF i think after last run must be in with good chance of going one better as not punished for it, Like crawley is stil on it i think big plus, Slight worry that track form isnt great but well see.
8 25 newbury CAPOTES DREAM i find it interesting that this horse has never run on anything with firm on it at 6yold and usually running over 6 fur.
Yet seems to be staying on when did try 7fur in ireland but always slower ground. So its possible this horse over 7 fur on faster ground could be dark horse after 25runs which would be amazing really, But i have a feeling it could be and worth risk at odds.Good all weather form to
winning 2 from 3 so wierd horse really.
2 45 beverley RAVENGLASS back to winning mark and i think has run acouple of decent races at pontefract makes me think round here will suit , First time visor also and dropping back slightly in distance could suit to.
4 15 beverley STRAWMAN has won round here but it was his good run at haydock while back which made me think could be in with shout in this, Droping back in distance ideal too.
4 00 brighton IDEAL GUEST good record round here although not firing yet this year,
But i feel maybe track will revitalize it and well in if that bethe case at decent odds.
7 15 newbury NOBLE MASQUERADE i feel been running well enough and not getting piunished so is well in yet for win
, The trick for this horse is firm ground which had couple wins so deff need check that at off.
7 50 newbury DREAM OF MISCHIEF i think after last run must be in with good chance of going one better as not punished for it, Like crawley is stil on it i think big plus, Slight worry that track form isnt great but well see.
8 25 newbury CAPOTES DREAM i find it interesting that this horse has never run on anything with firm on it at 6yold and usually running over 6 fur.
Yet seems to be staying on when did try 7fur in ireland but always slower ground. So its possible this horse over 7 fur on faster ground could be dark horse after 25runs which would be amazing really, But i have a feeling it could be and worth risk at odds.Good all weather form to
winning 2 from 3 so wierd horse really.