Best courses for outsiders

[BoxerRebellion]

Is anyone aware of a list of which jump race courses rank the best for outsiders ( say 10 - 1 or higher) over the past few years?
I've searched and had no luck though my internet skills are as limited as my betting skills. An actual link would be greatly appreciated.

 

[dave58]

Hi B BoxerRebellion , welcome to the forum.

I've run your query through hrb and I'm afraid that the results don't really help once you dig deeper.

Over the past few years backing all horses over 10/1 shows a loss at sp everywhere with strike rates varying between 3 and 4 %.

At bfsp there are a few showing decent profits , but they are showing maximum prices in the hundreds, and in some cases 1000, so it does look like a rather random approach just backing them all blind, with no guarantee that the results show anything repeatable.

 

[markfinn]

Is anyone aware of a list of which jump race courses rank the best for outsiders ( say 10 - 1 or higher) over the past few years?
I've searched and had no luck though my internet skills are as limited as my betting skills. An actual link would be greatly appreciated.

you need to be more specific

 

[BoxerRebellion]

Hi B BoxerRebellion , welcome to the forum.

I've run your query through hrb and I'm afraid that the results don't really help once you dig deeper.

Over the past few years backing all horses over 10/1 shows a loss at sp everywhere with strike rates varying between 3 and 4 %.

At bfsp there are a few showing decent profits , but they are showing maximum prices in the hundreds, and in some cases 1000, so it does look like a rather random approach just backing them all blind, with no guarantee that the results show anything repeatable.

Thanks for the answer. It was more just an idea of trying to find courses where higher odds occur more often and targeting there - albeit combined with other factors.
Your info is v useful/ focusing though. Thanks.

 

[BoxerRebellion]

you need to be more specific

View attachment 126149

Well this is better than anything I've found so thank you.
More specific in what way? Distances, types of race etc? My initial thought was a list for handicaps and one for non handicaps.
I appreciate the chart above though. Cheers.

 

[Chesham]

Thanks for the answer. It was more just an idea of trying to find courses where higher odds occur more often and targeting there - albeit combined with other factors.
Your info is v useful/ focusing though. Thanks.

You would be better looking for Past Races that have a Trend and favour the price range that you are looking for.

Example below has trapped 9 winners and 25 Placed from 11 past races

Plenty of scope for EW or Win and Loaded Place . Ie 20 % stake on the win part and 80% on the Place


Past qualifiers

 

[markfinn]

Well this is better than anything I've found so thank you.
More specific in what way? Distances, types of race etc? My initial thought was a list for handicaps and one for non handicaps.
I appreciate the chart above though. Cheers.

not sure there is much in the idea to be honest - there will some massive prices that skew the figures abnormally - the bookies top 3 or 4 will always eventually come out on top SR wise - a better question might be what courses are over backed - even then you will not find much to beat the books , better to specialise in some types of races at some courses and if the odds dont fit your ideas forget the race, no one can make you bet and a no bet is a no loss.

 

[martin]

This is something you could do at the Adrian Massey website. Scroll down to the Odds Analysis and then do a custom report.