• Hi Guest Just in case you were not aware I wanted to highlight that you can now get a free 7 day trial of Horseracebase here.
    We have a lot of members who are existing users of Horseracebase so help is always available if needed, as well as dedicated section of the fourm here.
    Best Wishes
    AR

Back to basics

Not a nice chap is he!
I've had several rumbles with him in the past. Self opinionated, rude, blinkered and an 'Egotwat'.
Anyway...Hi to all. :)
 
I take it the Elvis impersonator has left the building LOL. You would think living in the south of the country he would have a sunnier disposition.

Onwards and upwards

Good Luck

Chesham
 
Bobajobber said:
Chesham,

I should of been clearer, it is Malbic, he sent me an email just before my post 94
Click to expand...

From the conversations I have had with Malbic in the past I found it hard to believe that he was Royal Palace, so I emailed him to ask him if he was posting as Royal Palace. He said that if he was to join the forum he would use Malbic as his username, and that he would never use the language that Royal Palace did.
 
Thanks AR, perhaps it was John D then. You should be able to check from the IP address if they try to get back on under a different email address

Good Luck

Chesham
 
Have to say I also had some problem believing Royal Palace was Malbic as all the dealings I had with him were very polite and cordial. :think:

Be Lucky
 
It was definitely Malbic, I have sifted out an email of him explaining his Erin numbers in exactly the same way.
I had a niggling feeling that I had seen what RP offered up before, I then ironically received an email from Malbic talking about this forum, it does not take a brain surgeon to put two and two together.
Also to be fair Mtoto, he has not come here as Malbic, so he can act in what ever manner he feels like.
 
Hi Bobba

Malbic was saying he knew the Erin Numbers on the old Forum He said that a certain Horse had a Probables number of 6. I sent an email to a chum about this "I would imagine that he arrived at this figure by him finishing 4th LTO and was 2nd Fav = 4+2 = 6 Of course he is wrong again."

This looks very similar to the RP version



We had loads of after time selections from Malbic and never a pre race.

This was a post he made to Mtoto and like RP says that he was around in the 70's when VDW started writing
Mtoto
We will always disagree because you seem to put such great weight on the value of ratings.
I see the PK example as the initial building block. To me and most of my contemporaries at the time in the 70's what VDW wrote was without question a simple but indisputable truth. Most winners are within the confines of the first 5/6 in the betting and if you wish to argue about probables then what is wrong with the surmise that those within the forecast are in reality THE probables. You would certainly come closer to VDW's challenge of having "the same horses as me" Isn't it extraordinary that given those two first principles many miss the target so often.

The funniest was a Response from Black Bullet to a Malbic Post

Malbic


A good day for the probables which included a breathtaking performance by a wonderful horse


Black Bullet


What a f***ing tosser, he has after timed Denman and now he knows the probables LOL


Good Luck

Chesham
 
Luckily,there are more good posters than bad.

Jim Rohn once said ' There are not a lot of negative people in the world, they just move round a lot.'

You could say the same in forumland.

Good card at Musselburgh tomorrow:)
 
It's a good job I am not a brain surgeon, I have been categorically informed by Malbic that he is not RP.
So apologies to all who been emotionally upset by this and of course apologies to Malbic for being the victim once again by proxy
 
Well RP or whoever has departed hopefully I can get back to learning from the wise ones on here now thanks for your efforts chaps I am pleased to be able to read your efforts

Brian
 
Now it has all gone quiet I thought I might sneak back onto this thread :D. Where was I?
Yes, rating races in relation to betting, £ class, consistency, stopwatch, RPR and converting the result to a price for past performance to compare with the market.
Newmarket 4.45
1. 03032 = 4* score 8 price 4/1 Galician (Betfair was 10.5?)(1* for betting f/c position)
2. 10101 = 3* score 3 price 18/1
3. 02021 = 3* score 5 price 8/1
4. 30202 = 3* score 7 price 5/1 Deglet Noor (Betfair was 5)
5. 00011 = 2* score 2 price 35/1
6. 00000 = 0* score 0 price ?
7. 20303 = 3* score 8 price 4/1 Narmin (Betfair was 6)
8. 11311 = 5* score 7 price 5/1 Rainbow Beauty (Betfair was 10.5)
9. 01300 = 3* score 4 price 11/1 (1*for betting f/c position)

Selection by price/market is Deglet Noor, danger Narmin.
Selection by trainer form is Deglet Noor - Narmin, Galician
 
taffman,
Thanks, but I have not been away just lurking avoiding any flak :crazy:.
Carlisle 3.25
1. 12010 = 3* score 4 price 10/1
2. 22130 = 4* score 8 price 4/1 Abnaki (Betfair 0915 7.2)
3. *3202 = 4* score 7 price 9/2 Vic Venturi (Betfair 9.4)
4. 02000 = 1* score 2 price 33/1
5. 21321 = 5* score 9 price 10/3 Pyjama Game (Betfair 7.2)
6. 30103 = 3* score 7 price 9/2 The Friary (Betfair 4.4)
7. 10300 = 2* score 4 price 10/1

Selection on price/market (early tho?) The Friary
Selection by trainer form Abnaki
 
Feels rather like the 'woah' here when I was a kid, just 'Keep Calm and Carry On', or maybe an epic film 'Carry on Up the Racecourse', would be more apt. Picked another difficult race today - why do I do it?
Fakenham 3.25
1. 21310 = 4* core 7 price 4/1 (Betfair 10.00 12) Current Event
2. 02001 = 2* score 3 price 11/1
3. *1000 = 2* score 1 price 35/1
4. 31023 = 4* score 9 price 3/1 (Betfair 6.8) Forgotten Gold
5. *0200 = 2* score 2 price 16/1
6. 11000 = 2* score 2 price 16/1
7. *0100 = 2* score 1 price 35/1
8. 03000 = 1* score 3 price 11/1
9. 01032 = 3* score 6 price 5/1 (Betfair 9) Arbeo
10. 01000 = 1* score 1 price 35/1

Selection on price/market (but not currently much market support) Forgotten Gold
Trainer form options Dawn Commander, Current Event, Dovers Hill (my VDW price makes mockery of a couple of these).
 
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