• Hi Guest Just in case you were not aware I wanted to highlight that you can now get a free 7 day trial of Horseracebase here.
    We have a lot of members who are existing users of Horseracebase so help is always available if needed, as well as dedicated section of the fourm here.
    Best Wishes
    AR

A very short thread

5th

I would have thought with a 10lb turn around with Al agaila my selection would have been closer, makinmedoit had a 7lb turn around and got stuffed by 2 hds. Horses are not machines but that is kind of weird as my selection was a shd behind makinmedoit lto

Good luck and stay well
 
3rd

Thanks Chesham Chesham for your help

I've used my current method of form reading for 64 races with an expected of 10.37 and actual wins of 11 so basically it seems to be getting winners randomly.

If I convert the actual odds of each horse to implied percentage then

Range.................... Selections
0.5 to 0.4 ...............1
0.4 to 0.3 ...............6
0.3 to 0.2 ...............15
0.2 to 0.1 ...............22
0.1 to 0.0 ...............20

I appear to be picking horses at long odds and not doing well

Good luck and stay well
 
I usually look at the Horses profile to see if it is being asked to do something that it has failed to do before

It maybe that running the horse over further than it’s past winning distance will bring its handicap mark down

Made an effort today towards the end of the race, but it petered out (Good sign that the horse is responding to conditioning for the future )

Should drop a few Lbs and perhaps the Jockey who wins on the horse will be back on board over its prior winning distance

4C85D9DD-14E5-45E0-9A27-07E5098E50A1.jpeg
 
Leopardstown 4.10
Fortunedefortunata 2pts

Bank 88.5pts I think!

Fully expecting this horse to get trounced by Gaelic warrior but it was well thought of lto and 2 places behind it sil ver klass went on to win a much better race and it was well thought of too so the nto result was not a surprise

Good luck and stay well
 
Back
Top