gerry
Mare
Hi just doing a little of my usual thinking and decided to wright down what i was thinking nothing special.
But i here alot of people talking about better trainers or great jockeys and horses needing the distance.so thought lets think for minute and look at it with no bets placed so nothing to make it right or wrong.
Trainers we all know who the supposed great trainers are just think of derby and cecil comes to mind or 2yo first time up and hannon came to mind,or 3yo olds lightly raced coming out next year and stoute springs to mind,and haggis was brilliant at big handicaps now getting fruits of life with better younger horses.
applby now and young milers spring to head.
prescott and he has now dwindled so gets stayers of miniumum class to win repeatedly.
There is no secret to what they do take cecil for instance he didnt want to run frankel over derby distance, yet now people thinking god why did he do that its simple he said it would run great race and not be beat far in july cup. So he knew from all his other greats it was flying machine who would not be beat at mile so why risk over to far and he was spot on as only needed to see it at 1mile 2fur to show oh it could be beat exspecially over any further.
Alot of trainers are pretty good gosdon ofcourse again very thought full of where he places them but the fact is the top trainers get the top horses, that dosnt mean other trainers are bad just means they dont have ammo in first place.
Then look at jockeys i see them riding great races then shockers all the time just look at frankie right now held up and got some bad runs now hes rubbish which is total nonsence, but watch him ride right now he is unsure as he has them closer and giving them every chance to weaken out back, as he is riding more to give horse every chance to look good instead have freedom to ride his race i feel for him.
then look at horses running distance lets start with one simple rule all horses can sprint fact.
Only some will sprint faster than other so once cant they step up to middle distance where all the money is well over 1mile half anyway, so they will try mile pick up some nice money then step up again the ones that dont stay will have to run round about the mile mark which you would say is the second tear of racing.but the ones who stay slightly further there now in that bracket of running over elite distance and have alot more choices of being good at top flight or maybe even top listed or just below.
If they dont achieve lets try further as prescott has proved most horse running staying races at average level are dross so there is nice plot to run beter horses in less ability races and still pick up nice betting oppertunties as mony is crap.
So i believe that taking jockey trainer into mix is very dangerous gambling ploy, And the distance should be treated at this most horses step up in right time for them as natural so its not to hard to notice when
, . If horse is stepping up its because it needs to either fined some thing it can compeat in or what needed all along but age should be your main guide here a horse stepping back again age should be thought i would never bet a 7 year old dropping back sprinting and going further anything can happen as there just poor horses trying find living. oh and one more thing never listen to trainers who rave about how much they love these great stayers as its bollocks they are at top level champion class horses who failed, or in lesser class middle distance breed horses who are slow. you only need look at poor staying races the are absolutely rubbish to get decent fancy in . God i go on but what i would say at end of all this is sprints 5fur 6fur are mind fields litterly 7 fur is specialist sprinter who just get that edge over this distance. mile to mile 2fur now you have a nice market to analyse if you want to specialise, 1mile half this can be the icing distance but wont get many as they love to make them slightly shorter or slightly further just enough to muddy waters for greedy bookies. And over that endulge in dross at your pearl.jockeys and trainers dont let them deter you one way or other as at end of day trust me there hoping on result just as much as you and i and praying.
By the way on praying i promised my self i would never ask god or in my case our lady for ways to win, but being in rut i have for last year and tried few ways and thought agh well she dosnt like gamblers, but every time i prayed i have picture of our lady in room and it just kept saying to me have heart you will find your way. so kept looking at it and saying i have heart and when all else lost slowly she is saying your finding your way i told you so.
SO DONT BE AFRAID TO PRAY FOR IT GOD WILL LISTEN BUT TAKES TIME AND EFFORT, AND MOST OF ALL MEAN IT, GOD BLESS.
But i here alot of people talking about better trainers or great jockeys and horses needing the distance.so thought lets think for minute and look at it with no bets placed so nothing to make it right or wrong.
Trainers we all know who the supposed great trainers are just think of derby and cecil comes to mind or 2yo first time up and hannon came to mind,or 3yo olds lightly raced coming out next year and stoute springs to mind,and haggis was brilliant at big handicaps now getting fruits of life with better younger horses.
applby now and young milers spring to head.
prescott and he has now dwindled so gets stayers of miniumum class to win repeatedly.
There is no secret to what they do take cecil for instance he didnt want to run frankel over derby distance, yet now people thinking god why did he do that its simple he said it would run great race and not be beat far in july cup. So he knew from all his other greats it was flying machine who would not be beat at mile so why risk over to far and he was spot on as only needed to see it at 1mile 2fur to show oh it could be beat exspecially over any further.
Alot of trainers are pretty good gosdon ofcourse again very thought full of where he places them but the fact is the top trainers get the top horses, that dosnt mean other trainers are bad just means they dont have ammo in first place.
Then look at jockeys i see them riding great races then shockers all the time just look at frankie right now held up and got some bad runs now hes rubbish which is total nonsence, but watch him ride right now he is unsure as he has them closer and giving them every chance to weaken out back, as he is riding more to give horse every chance to look good instead have freedom to ride his race i feel for him.
then look at horses running distance lets start with one simple rule all horses can sprint fact.
Only some will sprint faster than other so once cant they step up to middle distance where all the money is well over 1mile half anyway, so they will try mile pick up some nice money then step up again the ones that dont stay will have to run round about the mile mark which you would say is the second tear of racing.but the ones who stay slightly further there now in that bracket of running over elite distance and have alot more choices of being good at top flight or maybe even top listed or just below.
If they dont achieve lets try further as prescott has proved most horse running staying races at average level are dross so there is nice plot to run beter horses in less ability races and still pick up nice betting oppertunties as mony is crap.
So i believe that taking jockey trainer into mix is very dangerous gambling ploy, And the distance should be treated at this most horses step up in right time for them as natural so its not to hard to notice when
, . If horse is stepping up its because it needs to either fined some thing it can compeat in or what needed all along but age should be your main guide here a horse stepping back again age should be thought i would never bet a 7 year old dropping back sprinting and going further anything can happen as there just poor horses trying find living. oh and one more thing never listen to trainers who rave about how much they love these great stayers as its bollocks they are at top level champion class horses who failed, or in lesser class middle distance breed horses who are slow. you only need look at poor staying races the are absolutely rubbish to get decent fancy in . God i go on but what i would say at end of all this is sprints 5fur 6fur are mind fields litterly 7 fur is specialist sprinter who just get that edge over this distance. mile to mile 2fur now you have a nice market to analyse if you want to specialise, 1mile half this can be the icing distance but wont get many as they love to make them slightly shorter or slightly further just enough to muddy waters for greedy bookies. And over that endulge in dross at your pearl.jockeys and trainers dont let them deter you one way or other as at end of day trust me there hoping on result just as much as you and i and praying.
By the way on praying i promised my self i would never ask god or in my case our lady for ways to win, but being in rut i have for last year and tried few ways and thought agh well she dosnt like gamblers, but every time i prayed i have picture of our lady in room and it just kept saying to me have heart you will find your way. so kept looking at it and saying i have heart and when all else lost slowly she is saying your finding your way i told you so.
SO DONT BE AFRAID TO PRAY FOR IT GOD WILL LISTEN BUT TAKES TIME AND EFFORT, AND MOST OF ALL MEAN IT, GOD BLESS.
