gerry
Mare
I think its unbelieveable how it has carried on working out what he did, when if anyone knows horse racing how to study form and look at the basics like consistancy better races in and out of form coming into form going out of form, the right going or wrong going.
All thes things just add up to form and if one is bang in form and exspecially if the ground is faster and suits it then times are very important.
I f the ground is soft or worse then one needs to be more consistant on that ground not a one off in it.
And very important they need to be up to the class or improving fast horses.
Distance is very important as all horses can run 5 furlong just some faster than others and that carries on for every distance till you get some falling away who just could not make the distance and walk home.
There is no secret its hard work is the holy grail of studying horses as i found it when very small watching my father and his study books and took it up myself for few years mainly from 12 to about 20 then for many a year after sort of got lazy with other things taking over .
But now retired myself i have time to enjoy it more as my past time again and get into it a a little deeper and its hard work to try stay above water as they say.
I do think thats why VDW gave it in small pieces it was just putting all the advice of form study togther slowly and if you followed the advice of more consistant horses who always run well and in right class and when ground changes, so must you and also keep eye on trainers more right out of form to leave than worrying there bang in form to must bet.
Then your in right races with right horses to have a chance forget the 85% winning strike rate god a 33% would be magic if only betting 4/1.
I would read this again if i was any one who dosnt understand horses as this is all there is to it.
I will leave with one other point and i have tried to make this before.
Look at ROUSHAYD there is only one thing in its form that stands out when he fancied it to win and even in that race there was a flaw in a three year old who you could not be sure about and turned out to be great horse and roushayd would never beat again in month of sundays.
If you look at roushayd form there where races long after that where according to that form alone it should have had a decent chance to win again and never showed anything right ground and distance yet what was differant the odds showed it had no chance that day it won it was only 6/1 so if you put it togther this horse had problems and was never really right to win bar that one day it had showed signs it was running ok and for what ever reason on the day they fancied it alittle it was 7lb better of with voushafe on last run for near dead heating but voushafe was easied down. So although it should beat vousafe on that form not as easy as it did though proved it was in form that day only and they new but to bet it against a horse like ile de chepre and be confident was only at best a small value bet.
Because what you had here was a top horse who proved to be group 1 winner for gode sake and a handicapper who in future races proved was likely the most unconsistant and unfancied horse to ever back as later on showed.
This alone i am telling you is a reason to forget looking back in long ago history as i was into horses big style in those day and think more along lines of the most important factors STUDY consistant horse ,ground, distance,class,handicap weight or ratings trainers form all the smallist detail can make a massive differance to a horses chances.
You can ask all you like is it a system is it not a system do systems work dont they work. Its all bollocks there only two things work in picking winners FACT you study like crazy or you are in the know.
I do advice again to read this if just starting out on betting horses but its a connoisseur game and they say lucky if 2% win at backing horses i would say its more like 2% stick at it. and if you want to call sticking at studying form a system then its a system but one of the toughest systems to work out.
All thes things just add up to form and if one is bang in form and exspecially if the ground is faster and suits it then times are very important.
I f the ground is soft or worse then one needs to be more consistant on that ground not a one off in it.
And very important they need to be up to the class or improving fast horses.
Distance is very important as all horses can run 5 furlong just some faster than others and that carries on for every distance till you get some falling away who just could not make the distance and walk home.
There is no secret its hard work is the holy grail of studying horses as i found it when very small watching my father and his study books and took it up myself for few years mainly from 12 to about 20 then for many a year after sort of got lazy with other things taking over .
But now retired myself i have time to enjoy it more as my past time again and get into it a a little deeper and its hard work to try stay above water as they say.
I do think thats why VDW gave it in small pieces it was just putting all the advice of form study togther slowly and if you followed the advice of more consistant horses who always run well and in right class and when ground changes, so must you and also keep eye on trainers more right out of form to leave than worrying there bang in form to must bet.
Then your in right races with right horses to have a chance forget the 85% winning strike rate god a 33% would be magic if only betting 4/1.
I would read this again if i was any one who dosnt understand horses as this is all there is to it.
I will leave with one other point and i have tried to make this before.
Look at ROUSHAYD there is only one thing in its form that stands out when he fancied it to win and even in that race there was a flaw in a three year old who you could not be sure about and turned out to be great horse and roushayd would never beat again in month of sundays.
If you look at roushayd form there where races long after that where according to that form alone it should have had a decent chance to win again and never showed anything right ground and distance yet what was differant the odds showed it had no chance that day it won it was only 6/1 so if you put it togther this horse had problems and was never really right to win bar that one day it had showed signs it was running ok and for what ever reason on the day they fancied it alittle it was 7lb better of with voushafe on last run for near dead heating but voushafe was easied down. So although it should beat vousafe on that form not as easy as it did though proved it was in form that day only and they new but to bet it against a horse like ile de chepre and be confident was only at best a small value bet.
Because what you had here was a top horse who proved to be group 1 winner for gode sake and a handicapper who in future races proved was likely the most unconsistant and unfancied horse to ever back as later on showed.
This alone i am telling you is a reason to forget looking back in long ago history as i was into horses big style in those day and think more along lines of the most important factors STUDY consistant horse ,ground, distance,class,handicap weight or ratings trainers form all the smallist detail can make a massive differance to a horses chances.
You can ask all you like is it a system is it not a system do systems work dont they work. Its all bollocks there only two things work in picking winners FACT you study like crazy or you are in the know.
I do advice again to read this if just starting out on betting horses but its a connoisseur game and they say lucky if 2% win at backing horses i would say its more like 2% stick at it. and if you want to call sticking at studying form a system then its a system but one of the toughest systems to work out.
