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The Late Goal Rush IP Strategy

Footy Trader

Yearling
Here's an IP strategy that I use (when I have time) which I have found, over the years, to be quite lucrative, so I thought I'd share it.

I generally used it on the main leagues around the world, but I guess it could be used on any league subject to liquidity on Betfair.

So here goes:-

We are looking for matches that are drawing around the 70 min mark. Doesn't matter what score (0-0, 1-1, 2-2 etc)

Once you've found one, head to Bet365 and / or Flashscores and check out the IP stats. You need to see the following:-

6+ corners
9+ shots ON target
NO red cards
Generally you are looking for a high tempo game.

Once you've found a suitable match head to Betfair and place the following bets:-

LTD @ 1.6 for 1 pt.
Lay the unders market for 2 pts as soon as the LTD has been matched.

If the match is 0-0, Lay U1.5, if it's 1-1, Lay U3.5. 2-2, Lay U5.5 etc etc

The unders lay price will be about 1.10 to 1.15 or so.

Sit back and wait, hopefully, for goals. There is no trading out, just let the bets run.

Profit / Loss for this strategy is as follows (we'll assume the match we are looking at is 0-0 and the unders price is 1.10)

Final Score

0-0
LOSE the LTD (-0.6 pt) and LOSE the U1.5 lay (-0.2 pt) Total PL -0.8 pts

1-0 / 0-1
WIN the LTD (+0.95 pts after comm) and LOSE the U1.5 lay (-0.2 pts) Total PL +0.75 pts

1-1 / 2-2 OR any other score draw
LOSE the LTD (-0.6 pt) and WIN the U1.5 lay (+1.9 pts after comm) Total PL +1.3 pts

2-0 / 0-2 OR any other non score draw
WIN the LTD (+0.95 pts) and WIN the U1.5 lay (+1.9 pts) Total PL +2.85 pts JACKPOT


This is a great little strategy however, DO HAVE DISCIPLINE when it comes to checking the IP stats. If the stats are no good - do not bet......

Hopefully I've explained it well enough. Feel free to ask any questions......

EDIT
If the LTD price doesn't get to 1.60 by 80 mins do not bet.
 
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