• Hi Guest, The software has been updated but I have not had a chance to tweak anything yet.
    It took longer than I had hoped, so I just turned it on and hope everything is OK
    If you spot anything that does not look rigfhyt then please let me know.
    Ark Royal
  • There seems to be a problem with some alerts not being emailed to members. I have told the hosts and they are investigating.
  • Hi Guest, If you are seeing that Lurker has appeared under your name then please take a look here to see why. AR
  • Sorry for the ongoing issues that you may have been experiencing whilst using the forum lately

    It really is frustrating when the forum slows down or Server Error 500 pops up.

    Apparently the hosts acknowledge there is a problem.
    Thank you for using our services and sorry for the experienced delay!
    Unfortunately, these errors are due to a higher server load. Our senior department knows about the issue and they are working towards a permanent resolution of the issue, however, I'd advise you to consider using our new cPanel cloud solutions: https://www.tsohost.com/web-hosting


    I will have to investigate what the differences are with what We have know compared to the alternative service they want us to migrate to.
    Keep safe.
    AR

Yesteryear Correct Score System.

paulb164

Colt
..... that is quite a bit higher than the one I operate. I used to be up there but found that it was better to drop the odds and operate within a smaller margin. I have currently not been operating much at all recently as I have a troublesome bout of Sciatica which is driving me scatty at the moment. ;)
point and advice taken.... I'll drop it to 1.6 and see if that improves things... and hope the sciatica disappears quickly ! :sorry:
 
Bank.....85pts

Home​
Away​
League​
Score​
BF Odds​
Brighton​
Man Utd​
E.Pm​
1-2​
9​
Millwall​
Swansea​
E.Ch​
0-1​
8​
Cardiff​
Charlton​
E.Ch​
2-2​
20​
Barnsley​
Blackburn​
E.Ch​
2-3​
45​
Reading​
Brentford​
E.Ch​
2-2​
21​
QPR​
Fulham​
E.Ch​
1-3​
21​
Wigan​
Stoke​
E.Ch​
2-1​
11.5​
Leeds​
Luton​
E.Ch​
2-1​
10​
 
Good afternoon all.
I'm not giving up on this!! 😂 Apologies to all those prediction sites that I thought were useless.....lol !!

Bank 77pts
1st July
Home​
Away​
League​
Score​
BF Odds​
Arsenal​
Norwich​
E.Pm​
2-0​
7.4​
Bournemouth​
Newcastle​
E.Pm​
1-0​
6.8​
Everton​
Leicester​
E.Pm​
2-2​
18​
West Ham​
Chelsea​
E.Pm​
2-2​
21​
Preston​
Derby​
E.Ch​
1-3​
29​
Birmingham​
Huddersfield​
E.Ch​
2-0​
13.5​
Nott Forest​
Bristol City​
E.Ch​
2-1​
8.6​
Sheff Weds​
West Brom​
E.Ch​
0-2​
9​

Tweaked the method slightly.
 
Slowly feeling this is going to come right with each tweak........who am I kidding!!..........."this time next year, Rodders....."

Bank 69 pts
2nd July
Home​
Away​
League​
Score​
BF Odds​
Sheff Utd​
Tottenham​
E.Pm​
1-1​
6.6​
Man City​
Liverpool​
E.Pm​
3-2​
24​
Hull​
Middlesbrough​
E.Ch​
0-2​
11​
 

Norn iron

Yearling
Slowly feeling this is going to come right with each tweak........who am I kidding!!..........."this time next year, Rodders....."

Bank 69 pts
2nd July
Home​
Away​
League​
Score​
BF Odds​
Sheff Utd​
Tottenham​
E.Pm​
1-1​
6.6​
Man City​
Liverpool​
E.Pm​
3-2​
24​
Hull​
Middlesbrough​
E.Ch​
0-2​
11​
Unlucky with the west ham game last night. Seems like things are going against us at the mo. Hopefully the tide will turn and last minute goals will be for winners rather than heartbreak!
 

tacker

Gelding
How do we calculate the chances of predicting the correct score ?
Looking at last nights results where both arsenal & newc scored 4 goals each and west ham won 3-2 it strikes me that any score is possible.

Therefore if we accept a max of 4 goals for any side the possibilities are........

Draw = 5 possible scores
home = 10
away = 10

total = 25 possible scores

sheff utd v spurs
utd struggling to score but showing slight improvement from being crap, also conceding goals since restart.

spurs are always capable of scoring goals and can concede at times, looked fine since restart .

prediction...............1 - 3 .......21 betfair...............18/1 bet365.
 
Yes, unlucky with that one......knew it was too good to be true.,,,,lol
I had my Flashscore's app loaded with the games and was just waiting for the Full time ping.....alas no....disappointment, lol.

On the whole, and more importantly for me, it's about achieving a balanced set of predictions that are thereabouts over time. It's about being able to predict if a game is going to be low scoring or high.
If I confidently thought there was going to be goals in, say, the West Ham v Chelsea match, I could have got good odds for Over 3.5, for example, after 30 minutes of play. The first goal didn't come until 42 minutes.

You get a better sense of how a game might pan out if you do your own assessments, and to obtain a profit, sometimes, all it takes is the balls to go with your convictions.
 
T tacker You would have to weigh the chances of a score against its probability of occurring.
Using your 5 draws possible analogy - not all draws are the same ( obviously ).
The statistics show ( and it's pretty much the same from season to season ) that 1-1 draws are the most common scoreline. In fact, it's usually the most common of all matches total ( 12% of matches ).
0-0 and 2-2 ( 6% of matches ) - 3-3 ( 1% of matches ) - 4-4 ( may or may not occur within a season ).
Look up Full-Time scores on a football stats site.
 
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If placing bets on correct scores then using Betfair can be an advantage in that any scoreline with 4 goals or more to the Home or Away side are grouped together in 3 groups ( AnyOtherHomeWin, AnyOtherAwayWin, AnyOtherDraw ).
Possible 'scorelines' up to 3-3 are a total of 16, so with the 3 above = 19 possible selections x 2 (for both teams) = 38 possibles.

As the possible outcomes are fixed, and assuming that that whole correct score market is 'near' perfect, you could build prediction models that highlight where the market is 'out of kilter' to your statistics for a given match.
As any score can 'win', just like any horse can win a race ( given its day, relative to its odds ), it would be just a matter of backing at the odds that are value - regardless of whether you thought it was likely or not.
 
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tacker

Gelding
T tacker You would have to weigh the chances of a score against its probability of occurring.
Using your 5 draws possible analogy - not all draws are the same ( obviously ).
The statistics show ( and it's pretty much the same from season to season ) that 1-1 draws are the most common scoreline. In fact, it's usually the most common of all matches total ( 12% of matches ).
0-0 and 2-2 ( 6% of matches ) - 3-3 ( 1% of matches ) - 4-4 ( may or may not occur within a season ).
Look up Full-Time scores on a football stats site.
Hi retriever retriever of course 3-3 & 4-4 are pointless even thinking about but i'm surprised 1-1 is the most common scoreline, I would have guessed 2-1.
 
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