USA Racing : The 20 / 30 / 40 method.

[pete]

No idea how this one will do, I have never tried it before, I am going to replace the "early pace" thread with this one to see if it has legs.
The idea is to back any horse where a jockey with an approximate 20% strike rate and a trainer with an approximate 30% strike rate combine to have a roughly 40% strike rate.

E.g. today :



So bet one would be :
Churchill - R10 - #3 - Illegal Smile @ 7/2 Ladbrokes.

 

[pete]

Arlington - R2 - #1 - Halo Hunter @ 5/1 Ladbrokes.

 

[pete]

Bet 3 - Arlington R8 - #6 - P H Factor @ 11/10 Ladbrokes

 

[pete]

Bet 4 - Santa Anita - R4 - #2 - Curvette @ 13/8 Ladbrokes

 

[Graeme]

Interesting idea pete - good luck with it

 

[pete]

Day One .. a little below expectations, but I learned a little and will be tweaking for the first few days.

Churchill - R10 - #3 - Illegal Smile @ 7/2 Ladbrokes. - lost
Arlington - R2 - #1 - Halo Hunter @ 5/1 Ladbrokes - 2nd
Arlington R8 - #6 - P H Factor @ 11/10 Ladbrokes - won @ 1.80 tote
Santa Anita - R4 - #2 - Curvette @ 13/8 Ladbrokes - 2nd

 

[pete]

Day Two



17:40 - Pimlico - Race 1 - #1 - Bandolini @ 5.0 (sky/willhill/paddy)

 

[pete]

21:51 - Belmont - R8 - #3 - Roderick - @ 3.25 (Sky/Paddy)

 

[pete]

22:30 - Arlington - R5 - #5 - Julio Tutwiler (no early odds yet)

 

[pete]

three losers again today .. getting that feeling of dread.
Will give it one more day .... but does not look promising considering the short prices and the supposed 40% strike rate have given me one win from 7 so far.