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USA Racing (Late Pace) Spot Picks

Going well with in-running @
pete
pete

Seems to be the way forward NigelRG NigelRG , especially with the late pace selections.
I try and get ~ 30% over and above the early prices/betfair prices at the off.
 
Weds - Late Pace - Selections

19:50 - Thistledown - R5 - #3 - My Little Lilly (4.33 Sky)
02:54 - Penn - R10 - #3 - Tenerife Moon

The two below would have been qualifiers under the original rules, but I am trying to get rid of no-hopers.
I understand that this may also get rid of the big priced winners that keep this afloat, So i intend to separate them here on the page so that I can track progress, both sets will still be backed for now until I decide if I am keeping them or not.

19:20 - Thistledown - R4 - #1 - Mobil At Last (7.5 Sky)
02:59 - Evangeline - R8 - #4 - Distinct Quality
 
Weds - Late Pace - Results

19:50 - Thistledown - R5 - #3 - My Little Lilly (4.33 Sky) - lost
02:54 - Penn - R10 - #3 - Tenerife Moon - Won @ 1.90 , BFSP 2.50, I got some 3.0 in-running.

The other two both lost -- so I would have filtered out two point of the loss had I been tracking that way.
Personally I just did the above two .. one win @ 3.0 one loss .. so profit on the day ... yayy.

19:20 - Thistledown - R4 - #1 - Mobil At Last (7.5 Sky) - lost
02:59 - Evangeline - R8 - #4 - Distinct Quality - lost


For the day ... -2.10
Running total +31.65
 
Thursday - Late Pace - Selections
20:25 - Indiana - R1 - #5 - Quiet Contender (11.0 Ladbrokes) - Non Runner
23:00 - Indiana - R6 - #6 - Union Park Gal (4.30 Ladbrokes) - Non Runner

Filtered out selection

19:02 - Belterra - R4 - #4 - Animauxselle (17.0 Betfred) - Non Runner

All three turn out to be non-runners.
Onto tomorrow ....
 
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Thursday - Late Pace - Selections
20:25 - Indiana - R1 - #5 - Quiet Contender (11.0 Ladbrokes) - Non Runner
23:00 - Indiana - R6 - #6 - Union Park Gal (4.30 Ladbrokes) - Non Runner

Filtered out selection

19:02 - Belterra - R4 - #4 - Animauxselle (17.0 Betfred) - Non Runner

All three turn out to be non-runners.
Onto tomorrow ....
quiet contender won mate 16/1 on bet 365 earlier well done mate great tipping
 
20:25 - Indiana - R1 - #5 - Quiet Contender (11.0 Ladbrokes) - Won @ 12.60

There ya go. One from one works then.

Put my tote bets on early and then took a nap. I had a quick look before I lay down and saw race one, non-runner. Must've been looking at the wrong track or wrong trap. I'll take it.

Sure enough my tote bet paid out @ 12.60, bit of a bugger that I did not get an exchange bet on it, but I really needed the nap.

+11.60 on the day.
+43.25 running total, and a new high.
 
Friday - Late Pace - Selections

18:43 - Churchill - R3 - #3 - Ann in the Middle (1.73 Ladbrokes)
19:40 - Pimlico - R5 - #8 - Super E * - Non Runner
20:55 - Arlington - R2 - #4 - Ballybrack Lass * (9.0 Ladbrokes)
21:20 - Golden Gate - R1 - #4 - Cheerful Charm *
21:22 - Churchill - R8 - #2 - Attachment Rate *
00:15 - Century Mile - R3 - #4 - Flashy Sister
02:59 - Evangeline - R8 - #1 - Izzy's Baby Boy

Almost
21:31 - Lone Star - R3 - #5 - Oh My Oh (4.0 Sky)

Filtered Out
02:32 - Evangeline - R7 - #10 - Amelia Madelyn

Back in an hour or two with more explanation and update on odds.
 
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ok, had to go pickup groceries ..... so ...
The horses that have the "*" next to name are ones that could have been filtered out using the new filters, but lots of these I saw a potential reason as to why they should be left in, so they stay ... not all early odds are out yet ...
 
Friday - Late Pace - Results

18:43 - Churchill - R3 - #3 - Ann in the Middle (1.73 Ladbrokes) - Won @ 1.40
19:40 - Pimlico - R5 - #8 - Super E * - Non Runner
20:55 - Arlington - R2 - #4 - Ballybrack Lass * (9.0 Ladbrokes) - lost
21:20 - Golden Gate - R1 - #4 - Cheerful Charm * (4.0 Betway) - lost
21:22 - Churchill - R8 - #2 - Attachment Rate * (3.75 Ladbrokes) - lost
00:15 - Century Mile - R3 - #4 - Flashy Sister - lost
02:59 - Evangeline - R8 - #1 - Izzy's Baby Boy - lost

Almost
21:31 - Lone Star - R3 - #5 - Oh My Oh (4.3 Ladbrokes)

Filtered Out
02:32 - Evangeline - R7 - #10 - Amelia Madelyn - Won @ 4.20

Same as last time, the filtered out ones are still being counted for now until we figure out if the filters help or hinder. Three lovers and a winner today pretty much broke even, just a small front of 0.20 we would have missed out on. So running total on filter would have given us an extra 1.8 profit so far from 6 filtered selections.

The "almost" bets are not counted in totals.

-1.40 on the day
+41.85 running total
 
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Saturday - Late Pace - Selections

18:15 - Delaware - R1 - #2 - Colour Guard (3.75 Paddy)
18:45 - Delaware - R2 - #3 - There Goes My Girl (17.0 Sky)
19:13 - Churchill - R4 - #6 - Rocking The Boat (2.0 Ladbrokes)
19:48 - Churchill - R5 - #6 - Tune In (1.73 Ladbrokes)
22:02 - Monmouth - R11 - #6 - Boomerang Miss

Filtered out
20:41 - Belterra - R7 - #2 - Thrombocytopenia *
21:28 - Arlington - R3 - #2 - Seven Seventeen * (9.0 Ladbrokes)
21:57 - Churchill - R9 - #3 - Alydiva *
01:05 - Belmont - R13 - #1 - Price Talk * (5.0 Betfred)
03:32 - Charles Town - R8 - #6 - Dixie Sunrise *
 
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