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    Ark Royal
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  • Sorry for the ongoing issues that you may have been experiencing whilst using the forum lately

    It really is frustrating when the forum slows down or Server Error 500 pops up.

    Apparently the hosts acknowledge there is a problem.
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    I will have to investigate what the differences are with what We have know compared to the alternative service they want us to migrate to.
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    AR

USA Racing (Late Pace) Spot Picks

pete

Dam
Going well with in-running @
pete
pete

Seems to be the way forward NigelRG NigelRG , especially with the late pace selections.
I try and get ~ 30% over and above the early prices/betfair prices at the off.
 

pete

Dam
Weds - Late Pace - Selections

19:50 - Thistledown - R5 - #3 - My Little Lilly (4.33 Sky)
02:54 - Penn - R10 - #3 - Tenerife Moon

The two below would have been qualifiers under the original rules, but I am trying to get rid of no-hopers.
I understand that this may also get rid of the big priced winners that keep this afloat, So i intend to separate them here on the page so that I can track progress, both sets will still be backed for now until I decide if I am keeping them or not.

19:20 - Thistledown - R4 - #1 - Mobil At Last (7.5 Sky)
02:59 - Evangeline - R8 - #4 - Distinct Quality
 

pete

Dam
Weds - Late Pace - Results

19:50 - Thistledown - R5 - #3 - My Little Lilly (4.33 Sky) - lost
02:54 - Penn - R10 - #3 - Tenerife Moon - Won @ 1.90 , BFSP 2.50, I got some 3.0 in-running.

The other two both lost -- so I would have filtered out two point of the loss had I been tracking that way.
Personally I just did the above two .. one win @ 3.0 one loss .. so profit on the day ... yayy.

19:20 - Thistledown - R4 - #1 - Mobil At Last (7.5 Sky) - lost
02:59 - Evangeline - R8 - #4 - Distinct Quality - lost


For the day ... -2.10
Running total +31.65
 

pete

Dam
Thursday - Late Pace - Selections
20:25 - Indiana - R1 - #5 - Quiet Contender (11.0 Ladbrokes) - Non Runner
23:00 - Indiana - R6 - #6 - Union Park Gal (4.30 Ladbrokes) - Non Runner

Filtered out selection

19:02 - Belterra - R4 - #4 - Animauxselle (17.0 Betfred) - Non Runner

All three turn out to be non-runners.
Onto tomorrow ....
 
Last edited:

jona6969

Yearling
Thursday - Late Pace - Selections
20:25 - Indiana - R1 - #5 - Quiet Contender (11.0 Ladbrokes) - Non Runner
23:00 - Indiana - R6 - #6 - Union Park Gal (4.30 Ladbrokes) - Non Runner

Filtered out selection

19:02 - Belterra - R4 - #4 - Animauxselle (17.0 Betfred) - Non Runner

All three turn out to be non-runners.
Onto tomorrow ....
quiet contender won mate 16/1 on bet 365 earlier well done mate great tipping
 

pete

Dam
20:25 - Indiana - R1 - #5 - Quiet Contender (11.0 Ladbrokes) - Won @ 12.60

There ya go. One from one works then.

Put my tote bets on early and then took a nap. I had a quick look before I lay down and saw race one, non-runner. Must've been looking at the wrong track or wrong trap. I'll take it.

Sure enough my tote bet paid out @ 12.60, bit of a bugger that I did not get an exchange bet on it, but I really needed the nap.

+11.60 on the day.
+43.25 running total, and a new high.
 

pete

Dam
Friday - Late Pace - Selections

18:43 - Churchill - R3 - #3 - Ann in the Middle (1.73 Ladbrokes)
19:40 - Pimlico - R5 - #8 - Super E * - Non Runner
20:55 - Arlington - R2 - #4 - Ballybrack Lass * (9.0 Ladbrokes)
21:20 - Golden Gate - R1 - #4 - Cheerful Charm *
21:22 - Churchill - R8 - #2 - Attachment Rate *
00:15 - Century Mile - R3 - #4 - Flashy Sister
02:59 - Evangeline - R8 - #1 - Izzy's Baby Boy

Almost
21:31 - Lone Star - R3 - #5 - Oh My Oh (4.0 Sky)

Filtered Out
02:32 - Evangeline - R7 - #10 - Amelia Madelyn

Back in an hour or two with more explanation and update on odds.
 
Last edited:

pete

Dam
ok, had to go pickup groceries ..... so ...
The horses that have the "*" next to name are ones that could have been filtered out using the new filters, but lots of these I saw a potential reason as to why they should be left in, so they stay ... not all early odds are out yet ...
 

pete

Dam
Friday - Late Pace - Results

18:43 - Churchill - R3 - #3 - Ann in the Middle (1.73 Ladbrokes) - Won @ 1.40
19:40 - Pimlico - R5 - #8 - Super E * - Non Runner
20:55 - Arlington - R2 - #4 - Ballybrack Lass * (9.0 Ladbrokes) - lost
21:20 - Golden Gate - R1 - #4 - Cheerful Charm * (4.0 Betway) - lost
21:22 - Churchill - R8 - #2 - Attachment Rate * (3.75 Ladbrokes) - lost
00:15 - Century Mile - R3 - #4 - Flashy Sister - lost
02:59 - Evangeline - R8 - #1 - Izzy's Baby Boy - lost

Almost
21:31 - Lone Star - R3 - #5 - Oh My Oh (4.3 Ladbrokes)

Filtered Out
02:32 - Evangeline - R7 - #10 - Amelia Madelyn - Won @ 4.20

Same as last time, the filtered out ones are still being counted for now until we figure out if the filters help or hinder. Three lovers and a winner today pretty much broke even, just a small front of 0.20 we would have missed out on. So running total on filter would have given us an extra 1.8 profit so far from 6 filtered selections.

The "almost" bets are not counted in totals.

-1.40 on the day
+41.85 running total
 
Last edited:

pete

Dam
Saturday - Late Pace - Selections

18:15 - Delaware - R1 - #2 - Colour Guard (3.75 Paddy)
18:45 - Delaware - R2 - #3 - There Goes My Girl (17.0 Sky)
19:13 - Churchill - R4 - #6 - Rocking The Boat (2.0 Ladbrokes)
19:48 - Churchill - R5 - #6 - Tune In (1.73 Ladbrokes)
22:02 - Monmouth - R11 - #6 - Boomerang Miss

Filtered out
20:41 - Belterra - R7 - #2 - Thrombocytopenia *
21:28 - Arlington - R3 - #2 - Seven Seventeen * (9.0 Ladbrokes)
21:57 - Churchill - R9 - #3 - Alydiva *
01:05 - Belmont - R13 - #1 - Price Talk * (5.0 Betfred)
03:32 - Charles Town - R8 - #6 - Dixie Sunrise *
 
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