Ok, he didn’t run well that day but the race I was thinking would be one of targets is the 4:50 Doncaster today and here he is. Finished 4th in this 2 years ago from 5 lbs higher mark. Has got a few questions to answer on recent efforts so wouldn’t be a confident bet for me, but potentially well handicapped and with 5 places on offer I had a very small each way for interest @ 25/1 and e/w treble with Princess Rajj (1:15 Naas) & Making Country (5:30 Limerick) just in case.No bet in the race for me, but this time of year with flat season approaching I am watching trainers that have them ready after the break, and John Gallagher is one of those that does very well at this time of year. So I will be watching how Green Power runs as he is unlikely to be lacking for fitness, first run on the all weather so maybe today isn’t the day, but a good run could set him up for one of the sprint handicaps at Doncaster or Newmarket.
Last night Butler had the intent alright - his other Inaane was never put in the race - jockey had a job to do just wasn't the one I had in mind.Actually, doomster ,
the main thing I learnt today was/is the importance of "trainer class and trainer intent".
This relates mostly to Doncaster (3.45) and Wolverhampton (7.00).
In other races, I was dismayed at the performance of favourites that appeared to m to be clearly top-rated.
I realise that horses are not machines and that even machines can break down.
It's the uncertainty that is the challenge of gambling, I suppose. For better or worse, I'm hooked.
Moral: it's the "Big Picture ( overall view) that counts. There will be blips, but there will be moments.
Generally, good trainers are just that; good.
For instance, I'd say Tate is one, regardless of what the ratings /formbook may say. Just my take.
I would be with Beat the Breeze7.20 Chelmsford, tonight, 1st April.
I need a bit of help with this race. A tu'penny hafpenny race, that's not going to help me clear my losses, but, one I'm using to test various things.
Here are four bets I've selected. I'll have a few pennies on all four, as I can't decide which is the winner.
Beat the Breeze
They were all prominent in the betting market last night. I was drawn to the race bc I thought the favourite was strong. Now I'm not at all sure.
On here, there seems to me to be a lot of respect for OR ( official rating).
The favourite has just about the top OR. The "form" doesn't strike me as being enough for success as a Johnston favourite, though.
Something doesn't feel right for me.
I'd like Aventuriere to win for just one reason. The selection is from a system I'm testing.
My heart goes against it: I follow the trainers Knight and Coles. While Beat the Breeze is well rated - possibly best rated.
All opinions and facts welcome!