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Tomorrow Done Today


It is a weird one, as the jumps only just finished last Saturday, but I guess the flat boys gotta lot to pack in.


Given Always Able a little bash in the 1.22 at Toxxy - 17/2

She should be about 33/1 after the poor run just 8 days ago, but I'm hoping that can be excused due to her poor jumping over the unconventional fences there.

She's back over hurdles here, and I think it's really worth doing these Matt Sheppard horses at the moment as mentioned a few weeks back (Getawaytonewbay), as the stable has really turned a corner since David Dennis became assistant there in January.


Lady Sally was another alternative at a price (Around 18s), as I don't think she's been putting it all in. Blinkers would interest me more than the first time pieces, but I'm looking to see how she does today up in trip - it's a race easily left if I'm being honest.

Montana in the last was one I wanted to do, but I thought the general 10s was disappointing, of course it's in to 6/1 favourite now. I could do it in running as it's a bit of a slow boat over hurdles, but chances are it will travel better now going over fences.
Anyone got strong thoughts on tomorrow's 2000 Guineas?
I like Mutasaabeq at a half decent price. Thought he was impressive at Newmarket last time. Not a recognised trial for this but he is unbeaten and yard thought that he was a bit immature, so have given him a relatively easy start to his career. Looked very professional last time though. Charlie Hills' horses seem to be running very well too, at the moment. Dam is Ghanaati who won the 1000 Guineas and was an outstanding miler, by Giants Causeway.
Obviously Aidan O'Brien has such a select squad to choose from and has an outstanding record in the race. He only runs three this year which I suspect is less than normal. Wembley seems to be well-fancied, (and has been the subject of good reports);outstandingly bred too. By Galileo, (unsurprisingly), and dam Inca Princess has a great record at stud. All wins have come with some ease in ground though. That probably won;t be key, but it could be pretty quick at Newmarket tomorrow, I suspect? We've had some rain in Norwich today, (some 50 odd miles from Newmarket), but that;s the first time there has been any moisture for at least two weeks, (although temperatures have also been pretty cool for most of that time).

I'd say pretty disappointing British army for the race, in truth. No John Gosden or Sir Michael Stoute horses, (Johnny G is severely lacking runners on the card), Roger Varian only has a long-shot. Charlie Appleby has three, (all sons of Dubawi); Master of the Seas and One Ruler are both well bred and could well have more to come. Irish make up a third of the 15 strong field though. Irish plus Godolphin over half the field.
Not strong thoughts really, I haven’t had a bet in race. I think One Ruler will do well this season, whether it’s at Group 1 level or he has to drop down to Group 2/3, more likely the latter. He won the Autumn Stakes over CD, but that race is usually won by horses that go on to do well over middle/staying distances so I am not convinced about today, if he runs well enough that will be a good sign for rest of season though.

Other one I am considering is Wembley as Dewhurst form is usually the best 2yo form on offer, he (2nd) beat Thunder Moon (3rd) but the winner isn’t here this year. Wembley also looks like he will want further in time, so I just don’t know. If I had to pick one for today then I will still probably pick Wembley.


Statuario in the 3.15 at Warwick tomorrow 14s hills

He ran a really nice race when second on chase debut back in August, with both the first and second going on to frank the form.

The stable then really hit bad form there on after, which hopefully explains his lacklustre displays. They are certainly back in rude health now, and this one is 2lb lower than that effort, and is hopefully another well handicapped horse for the yard.

Fitness has to be taken on trust, but the price looks far too big with how the Bowen horses are running at the moment.


WH have now latched on to restricted customers doing Football/Racing doubles with EP's. Could get a decent amount on before, today 71p. Won't be looking at any more of these WH ones now.


Michaels Choice in the 2.11 at Bath tomorrow must have a great chance.
William Jarvis sends just this horse here from Newmarket and has booked Hollie Doyle. He is 5/10 at track between 2016 and 2020, and is in good form currently, (3 winners from his last 5 runners).
The horse won after a break in July last year at Bath. Is 3 out of 5 at the track, and is 1 lb lower than when a very close second last summer at Sandown in another class 4 handicap.
The Malcolm Saunders runner is another Bath specialist, but the yard have a poor record at the track after a break,, and the horse likewise.

Michaels Choice must have a stonking good chance. 9/2 available currently


Had a bit on Siannes Star in the 3.15 too - Around 25s

This 8 year old gelding had several good runs over fences before moving on to his new yard. He's only had two runs, the first in a jumpers bumper, and then we saw him on his first run over fences for his current yard last month where he finished well beaten.

However, he was very fresh, and couldn't see the 20f trip out, but he out jumped his rivals. Back down to 16f here, I think this would be a great course for him to just tear off from the front, and put his jumping to good use. Down in grade here, I think he's worth a go at a big price


Late Shipment in the 3.50 at Warwick - 40s tops

Not the most reliable of horses, but capable on a good day. He went very close in the December before last when narrowly denied at Hereford off 102. I think he's downed tooled since, so the first time blinkers make him much more appealing to me here.

He's running off just 86 with the claim, and with rain due in the early afternoon at Warwick, it could hinder a few of the other horses in the race. He's also run well over this CD before, in fact I would say he had a career best run when 2nd here off 121.

Maybe he's just not as good anymore, but these first time blinkers can often spark these types of horses back in to life, so it's worth a go.


Can't get closer than that. In the old days that would have gone a lot shorter than 1.2 something IR (not that I had anything up).


A painful one, but can't complain as I think the winner would have won by a few lengths if he didn't bungle the last


This one is 17/2, but money going down to 8.6 get on, so me thinks it won't last

Worcester 4.07 Mr Clarkson

It looks like the selection was soured by going chasing, but ran a much improved race over hurdles last time with the first time visor applied. He got stuck in behind the leaders off a moderate gallop which then turned in to a dash turning in. He got tight in to the last, where he lost some momentum, but it was a much more encouraging run to only be beat 2 lengths.

The handicapper has left him on the same mark, and I don't see the drop in trip a problem as he travelled beautifully when last running and winning over this course and distance, which was off a 1lb higher mark.


I napped Undisputed in the 4.07 at Newt today, but it was just an EW thing at the prices for me, as it all depends on how bad everything else is, as opposed to how good she is.

I actually fancy Neetside more if back on song (17/2 tops)

Really looked a mare going places when bolting up at Exeter back in January over 17f. She didn't stay the 21f next time at Winny, but still travelled well, and then I put her up last time, but she raced alone on the inside line which hopefully explains why she was so disappointing.

Dropped 3lb for that effort, and the 7lb conditional is on instead, effectively only 3lb higher than the Exeter romp.