Frontrunner
Stallion
Thank you
doomster,
mlmrob ,
Chesham ,
K
kralken
2:00 Punchestown - Changingoftheguard, 0.2 pt win @ 11/2, 0.6 pt to finish in first 4 @ 5/6 & 0.2 pt on Swing Point to finish in first 6 @ 10/1 (total staked on race = 1 pt)
Reasoning to follow...
Quite a difficult race to judge the strength of, as Punchestown has held only one flat meeting in nearly last 20 years. Changingoftheguard has gone off favourite on both his starts so far, so it was a bit disappointing that he wasn’t able to build on his debut effort last time. His form is not too bad though and I am giving him the benefit of doubt. On debut he finished only 4th of 6, his stablemate who was 3rd was only narrowly beaten in the Group 2 at Leopardstown on Saturday. I know selection was behind World Famous last time, but the price difference makes me take a chance and even if he can’t reverse that form I am hopeful that he will finish in first 4 at least.
Other one is a speculative choice, there are a few newcomers at big prices from stables that can ready a newcomer. Andrew Slattery and Andrew Oliver occasionally get big priced winners on debut, and Henry de Bromhead has done well with the few 2yo’s he has had. All 3 of their representatives today, Swing Point, Golden Ticket, Tourgar Raude are big prices, I wanted to pick one from them to run well. Golden Ticket has a good pedigree, but there is a little stamina doubt on the dam side. Tourgar Raude’s dam won over 1 mile 6 furlongs so might need further. I went with Swing Point as distance looks just right for him judged on pedigree, his dam Involuntary was placed in two Grade 2s (aged 4) on turf at Woodbine in Canada over 8f & 10f. No expectation today as he is 80/1, but as stable often have them ready first time I am hoping he will show enough to finish in first 6.
2:00 Punchestown - Changingoftheguard, 0.2 pt win @ 11/2, 0.6 pt to finish in first 4 @ 5/6 & 0.2 pt on Swing Point to finish in first 6 @ 10/1 (total staked on race = 1 pt)
Reasoning to follow...
Quite a difficult race to judge the strength of, as Punchestown has held only one flat meeting in nearly last 20 years. Changingoftheguard has gone off favourite on both his starts so far, so it was a bit disappointing that he wasn’t able to build on his debut effort last time. His form is not too bad though and I am giving him the benefit of doubt. On debut he finished only 4th of 6, his stablemate who was 3rd was only narrowly beaten in the Group 2 at Leopardstown on Saturday. I know selection was behind World Famous last time, but the price difference makes me take a chance and even if he can’t reverse that form I am hopeful that he will finish in first 4 at least.
Other one is a speculative choice, there are a few newcomers at big prices from stables that can ready a newcomer. Andrew Slattery and Andrew Oliver occasionally get big priced winners on debut, and Henry de Bromhead has done well with the few 2yo’s he has had. All 3 of their representatives today, Swing Point, Golden Ticket, Tourgar Raude are big prices, I wanted to pick one from them to run well. Golden Ticket has a good pedigree, but there is a little stamina doubt on the dam side. Tourgar Raude’s dam won over 1 mile 6 furlongs so might need further. I went with Swing Point as distance looks just right for him judged on pedigree, his dam Involuntary was placed in two Grade 2s (aged 4) on turf at Woodbine in Canada over 8f & 10f. No expectation today as he is 80/1, but as stable often have them ready first time I am hoping he will show enough to finish in first 6.
Last edited: