I backed Urban Highway last time if you remember I said I had nailed it to the ground, he was top rated on speed last time but has a good few ahead of him today, top rated today is Trepidation I had a little bit on that last evening, but I'm gonna wait with my finger on the back button for Urban Highway and if it starts have a little bet on him too.Marquand sticking with this one.5th January
Poor racing today, I think. I did look at 5:10 race at Wolverhampton, partly because of Urban Highway who got this thread off to a bad start by virtually refusing to race last time. I am not backing him today (so he might go and win it). Hard to really fancy anything in a race like this, but the 3yo filly Love Baileys interested me a bit mainly because of her sire Garswood’s record at the distance. She cost 32,000 guineas as a foal, but didn’t show anything in 4 runs (started big prices) for Richard Fahey including in a nursery. Has moved to Amy Murphy now, but in same ownership. Garswood’s progeny is 8 from 56 (+23 LSP) over 7 furlongs in last 1 year (wins were with 6 different horses). His 3 runners that were stepping up to this trip for first time finished 5/12 (66/1), 5/9 (150/1) & 2/11 (11/2), so no wins but all 3 ran better than their odds. I think this one, with step up to 7, and first time cheekpieces and new stable could also run a bit better than her price of 33/1. There are negatives though, she has official rating of only 38, trainer is 1 from 72 at Wolverhampton and jockey hasn’t ridden a winner for more than 3 months, so I can’t back it even at that price and will just watch.