The Silver Goal

ArkRoyal · Mar 26, 2022

Delboy99 said:
I think I need to be more selective with the leagues concerned but mostly the shots on and off target seem to be working fine and at least give one an indication of whether the match is worth following where we look for the next goal.

Have you tried analysing with CGMBet

Delboy99 ?

Delboy99 · Mar 26, 2022

ArkRoyal said:
Have you tried analysing with CGMBet Delboy99 ?

.... no never thought about that to be honest. have you tried this yourself, if so is it any good? Could be better than looking at shots on and off target which I don't feel is working too well at the moment.

Delboy99 · Mar 26, 2022

Delboy99 said:
..... try these four for today:-
Ipswich T v Plymouth A 1-0
Crawley T v Rochdale 1-0
Oldham A v Mansfield T 1-0
Scunthorpe U v Harrogate T 0-1
Lay current score at odds 3.00 1pt and odds 2.00 1pt drip feed.

Ipswich T no further goal. -3pts.
Crawley T no further goal -3pts.
Oldham A goal in 53rd minute too early.
Scunthorpe U goal 66 minutes +2pts
Daily Total -4pts.
Rolling Total -7pts.
Really need to look at the selection process, not happy at the moment.

ArkRoyal · Mar 26, 2022

Delboy99 said:
.... no never thought about that to be honest. have you tried this yourself, if so is it any good?

I'll try to have a look tomorrow.

Delboy99 · Mar 26, 2022

ArkRoyal said:
I'll try to have a look tomorrow.

..... Ok look forward to this with baited breath! Has to be better than checking shots against bet365 matches.

ArkRoyal · Mar 27, 2022

Just looking at results since 2017 across a few leagues

League	Total Games	1 Goal at 60 Minutes	No more goals	S/R
Germany-Bundesliga	1755	378	92	75.66%
Germany-Bundesliga 2	1760	387	97	74.94%
Italy-Serie A	2194	476	137	71.22%
England-Premier League	2188	492	143	70.93%
England-Championship	3214	798	264	66.92%
Italy-Serie B	2334	592	196	66.89%
Spain-Primera Division	2173	479	159	66.81%
France-Ligue 1	2088	531	179	66.29%
England-League One	3077	715	243	66.01%
England-League Two	3107	750	257	65.73%
England-Conference	2963	693	248	64.21%

Strike rate doesn't look too bad?

Magic combination · Mar 27, 2022

That's fantastic Ark! Is there a way to check what average times the goals where scored? Would be interested in laying late also

ArkRoyal · Mar 27, 2022

This was thrown together a bit quick so may not be 100% correct

So 61 4.74% mean that in 4.74% of the winning bets the goal was scored in the 61st minute

Magic combination · Mar 27, 2022

ArkRoyal said:
This was thrown together a bit quick so may not be 100% correct
View attachment 114590
So 61 4.74% mean that in 4.74% of the winning bets the goal was scored in the 61st minute

Magic combination · Mar 27, 2022

Thank you Ark

Delboy99 · Mar 27, 2022

ArkRoyal said:
Just looking at results since 2017 across a few leagues

League Total Games 1 Goal at 60 Minutes No more goals S/R
Germany-Bundesliga 1755 378 92 75.66%
Germany-Bundesliga 2 1760 387 97 74.94%
Italy-Serie A 2194 476 137 71.22%
England-Premier League 2188 492 143 70.93%
England-Championship 3214 798 264 66.92%
Italy-Serie B 2334 592 196 66.89%
Spain-Primera Division 2173 479 159 66.81%
France-Ligue 1 2088 531 179 66.29%
England-League One 3077 715 243 66.01%
England-League Two 3107 750 257 65.73%
England-Conference 2963 693 248 64.21%

Strike rate doesn't look too bad?

...... many thanks for your fine effort

ArkRoyal I have only just arrived in so not had a lot of time to digest the stats as yet. I was just thinking that Soccerstats do something similar on times etc so it may be worthwhile having a comparison between these figures and anything that can be gleaned from Soccerstats. Thanks again.

Magic combination · Mar 28, 2022

Delboy99 said:
...... many thanks for your fine effort ArkRoyal I have only just arrived in so not had a lot of time to digest the stats as yet. I was just thinking that Soccerstats do something similar on times etc so it may be worthwhile having a comparison between these figures and anything that can be gleaned from Soccerstats. Thanks again.

Hi guy's just wanted to thank you both for taking the time to reply and sharing this fantastic information. I really enjoy this forum and love seeing you develop and truthful different systems Del, please keep up the great work.!!!!

Delboy99 · Mar 28, 2022

ArkRoyal said:
Just looking at results since 2017 across a few leagues

League Total Games 1 Goal at 60 Minutes No more goals S/R
Germany-Bundesliga 1755 378 92 75.66%
Germany-Bundesliga 2 1760 387 97 74.94%
Italy-Serie A 2194 476 137 71.22%
England-Premier League 2188 492 143 70.93%
England-Championship 3214 798 264 66.92%
Italy-Serie B 2334 592 196 66.89%
Spain-Primera Division 2173 479 159 66.81%
France-Ligue 1 2088 531 179 66.29%
England-League One 3077 715 243 66.01%
England-League Two 3107 750 257 65.73%
England-Conference 2963 693 248 64.21%

Strike rate doesn't look too bad?

..... jsut dug these out of Soccerstats which look quite interesting.

Late scoring

Goals scored after the 75th min.	GP	Avg
Ajax Amsterdam	NET	20	27	0.74
Real Madrid	SPA	20	29	0.69
Dortmund	GER	17	27	0.63
Hoffenheim	GER	17	27	0.63
Guimaraes	POR	16	27	0.59
PSV Eindhoven	NET	16	27	0.59
Liverpool	ENG	17	29	0.59
Atletico Madrid	SPA	16	29	0.55
AZ Alkmaar	NET	14	27	0.52
Feyenoord	NET	14	27	0.52
Nice	FRA	15	29	0.52
Paris SG	FRA	15	29	0.52
Rennes	FRA	15	29	0.52
FSV Mainz	GER	13	26	0.50
Atalanta	ITA	14	29	0.48
Manchester City	ENG	14	29	0.48
Villarreal	SPA	14	29	0.48
FC Koln	GER	13	27	0.48
Leverkusen	GER	13	27	0.48
Chelsea	ENG	13	28	0.46

Only teams from a selection of leagues (not user-selected) , and with at least 5 played.
This is what we are really after, where a goal comes along from about 70 minutes onwards.

ArkRoyal · Mar 28, 2022

Are all of those goals scored after 75 minutes when the score was 1:0 or 0:1?

Delboy99 · Mar 28, 2022

ArkRoyal said:
Are all of those goals scored after 75 minutes when the score was 1:0 or 0:1?

..... can't remember, will check tomorrow and come back on it.Cheers.

Delboy99 · Mar 29, 2022

ArkRoyal said:
Are all of those goals scored after 75 minutes when the score was 1:0 or 0:1?

.... unfortunately looks like these were the first goals so as far as this system is concerned, it's a non starter. Sorry to raise your hopes. I will look further and see what I come up with.

Delboy99 · Mar 29, 2022

..... one attempt at the Silver Goal tonight:-
Denmark U21 v Belgium U21 1-0
Lay current score at odds 3.00 1pt and odds 2.00 1pt drip feed.

Delboy99 · Mar 29, 2022

Delboy99 said:
..... one attempt at the Silver Goal tonight:-
Denmark U21 v Belgium U21 1-0
Lay current score at odds 3.00 1pt and odds 2.00 1pt drip feed.

..... another goal came OK but 53 minutes and too early, so nothing lost and nothing gained. The stats did not look too good for this match prior to the bet, but I just ignored what had gone before and let the game run on and it proved to be not too disasterous.

Delboy99 · Mar 29, 2022

.... been having a look at goal timings for the bigger leagues and in particular been looking at the average time that the third goal is scored. Most of these indicate that the third goal comes at an average time of 61-62 minutes give or take. So still looking at the lay prices for around that time to see if they are similar to second goal average scoring times to see if these can be matched up easier. Will report back with my findings.

footysystems · Mar 29, 2022

Delboy99 have a look at oddalerts.com

The Silver Goal

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