Read another thread where back-fitting of back-fitting runners claimed as successful were listed as a way forward and i can't subscribe to that at all
. Here is an absolutely straightforward VDW rating as per his second 'elementary mechanical procedure' arrived at PRIOR to the race being run.
Taunton (going forecast GS with some S - showers) RP Spotlight selects Silent Man (3 pundits agree 11 oppose)
3.05 Market expected 10.50* no's 4, 5, 6, 7 indicating a win restricted to these. Theoretical strong fav 2/1, possible contender 4/1, not expected longer than 8/1. This mis a VDW 'working platform' with extras from me, which can be ignored.
Column X headings: Placings, LTO, consistency, RPR, D Mail Formcast.
1. XX00X = 3*
2. X000X =2*
3. XXX00 = 3*
4*. XXXX0 =4* Dentley De Mee, 4 tips. LTO 12, -7lbs, =cls, Wcn. 1/6 +1L. Dowst% 5/41.
5*. XXXXX = 5* Silent Man, 4 tips (D). LTO 98, +5lbs, +1cls? Lin. 1/9 +15L*. Dowst% 36/45
6*. 0X000 = 1*
7*. XX0XX = 4* Sunny Express, 2 tips. LTO 25, +5lbs, =cls, Mus. 2/9 -19L? Dowst% 0/50
8. X000X = 2*
9. 00000 = 0*
Comment: Silent Man looks best of these overall on paper, if fit? Dentley De Mee looks the danger without Formcast support.
ATR form verdict in comparison.
SILENT MAN has returned a wide margin winner at Ffos Las and Lingfield the last twice and although the 11-year-old has been lumbered with a 13lb rise for the latest of those victories, a hat-trick could feasibly be on the cards. Dentley De Mee has been raised 4lb for scoring over 3m1f at Wincanton last time and can fight it out with Marble Moon, who is sporting a first-time tongue-tie, for the silver medal.
Top Tip: SILENT MAN (5)
Watch out for: DENTLEY DE MEE (4)