Interesting idea mick , and tbh it wasn’t something I had thought of, but it’s worth investigating.Its an aspect i have been investigating for the past couple of years specifically when applied to young apprentice riders. I source the info from the BHA and RP ( who sometimes disagree) and yes the best which can be gleaned is lowest riding weight during the past year. I tend to feel negative when this equates to a stone or more DW involved. Tbh i have yet to draw any firm conclusions because when i implemented this last year it helped me swerve a few losers but also cost me a couple of good winners.
So as matters stand the jury is still out. What i do know is that if i owned one who would be running serious brakes off if it had 9-10 i would not be putting up a natural light weight apprentice but would feel interested in using a heavy one.
An important question with no easy answers. Given the above i look at what previous use the outside stable has made of apprentice riders. I also suspect there is "cooperation" between some trainers which we never get to hear about.? For myself its always first find the horse of interest and if it happens to be claimer ridden then there are often tells positive or otherwise which need to be balanced. ?My biggest question re Apprentice claims is how do we assess a claimer riding for their an outside stable ?
There must be the occasional occurrence were these claimers are simply gaining experience and are expected to retain their claim for the retained stable.
Most of them dont stick mick come the morning. Sadly this one is back on its way out. Hopefully it doesn't drift too much.
All hope lost as soon as it wasn't allowed to lead. Very rare that Morris lets me down with tactics. Difficult Night for me at Newcastle.Lomu 15/2 WH (shortening was 8's) Newc 7.40pm
Looks a bit big and i doubt anyone will go bigger this evening. Lomu just needs to repeat what it did last victory over CD when he appeared to enjoy racing on his own drawn on the far-side of the track under Morris. True he lost when unable to dominate next time at the track (tough 0-100) but this time he should be able to get an easy lead with the same low draw with little pace around him and can dominate again. LTO he got sandwiched after a poor break and all hope was gone as he didn't settle despite Mcdonalds urging. Even so he still ran on closing not beaten that far considering what he lost at the start.
Not sure whether he likes the surface from the top or bottom of his pedigree as both are good statistically. I have the sire with a 16% strike rate over CD and the Dams offspring with a 33% strike rate on the surface 24% at the distance. But I think he enjoys space around him and should get it tomorrow night.
I love these gambles Mick always makes the race in question interesting. I remember being on the right side of one another 33/1 shot that got smashed into 11/4 then ran like a pig. PP didn't like it though effectively closing my account by limiting me to 50p bets after that
Will have to learn how to gamble on the stock market apparently thats an ok form of gambling. Even the New scientist are getting in on the act of putting us punters down saying its detrimental to our health in a recent article.
I often recall something said 45yrs ago in a racing book by Paul Major. He described the then London Stock Exchange as being the biggest betting shop in the world. The City boys gamble with our money and are respected by some, while the ignorant tend to generalize all horse race bettors as degenerate gamblers. I gave up long ago attempting to explain the difference. !Will have to learn how to gamble on the stock market apparently thats an ok form of gambling. Even the New scientist are getting in on the act of putting us punters down saying its detrimental to our health in a recent article.