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Rated big pricers.

Skint45

Yearling
Looking for those 10/1 and over at ISP. Only need 5-10% SR overall for a profit (some being 20s and higher).

Am currently using just one aspect of ratings.

Have posted this on another forum too.

18 picks, have split 'em up into sections.

All e/w singles and win doubles at 1/4 full singles stakes:

Lingfield 14:00
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2Cabernet D'Alene22/1
Wetherby 14:55
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Hattons Hill12/1
Lingfield 15:05
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2,3Agincourt Reef14/1
Lingfield 15:40
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2Hurry Henry28/1
Kempton 15:50
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Unforgiving Minute11/1

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note 2 picks in the 5.10.

Wolverhampton 16:35
Outright Betting
Agent Gibbs20/1
Wolverhampton 16:35
Outright Betting
Star Ascending25/1
Kempton 16:50
Outright Betting
Meetings Man66/1
Dundalk 17:00
Outright Betting
Togoville20/1
Wolverhampton 17:10
Outright Betting
Idol Deputy50/1
Wolverhampton 17:10
Outright Betting
Poor Duke50/1

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Kempton 17:20
Outright Betting
Mulsanne Chase16/1
Kempton 17:20
Outright Betting
Rocket Ronnie18/1
Dundalk 17:30
Outright Betting
Northern Surprise33/1
Wolverhampton 17:45
Outright Betting
King Of Naples12/1
Dundalk 20:00
Outright Betting
Alhajjaj18/1

----------------------------------------------
 

Skint45

Yearling
Northern Surprise wins at 20/1 in the Dundalk 5.30. I got 33s. 40s was available elsewhere.

Still have Alhaijaj in the Dundalk 8.0 for a possible double in that series of bets.

Earlier, Star Ascending (Wolves 4.35) was 3rd at 25/1. Held hard for far too long. If unleashed earlier would have won.
 

Skint45

Yearling
Decided I'm only interested in those 16/1 and over, lol. 11 of them today, but only 3 tomorrow despite 1 more meeting than today.

E/w singles and e/w Trixie at half full singles stakes:

Newcastle 14:35
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Ever So Much20/1
Cork 15:05
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Concordin16/1
Kempton 19:45
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2,3Matravers25/1
 

Skint45

Yearling
Tomorrow's picks.

I should be doing the win/place singles on Betfair. These prices are Betfred. You can get better prices elsewhere - 16s for the two at 14s, 80s for Madame Anna, 28s for Gentleman Moore, 20s for Telegraph Place, 33s for Daliyan.

In addition to e/w singles am doing win doubles and trebles at 1/10th of the full singles unit stakes.

There will be blank days with these, but I don't care as long as I hit a consistent overall minimum 5% win SR.

Note: 2 picks in the P'ton 2.10

Plumpton 12:40
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Madam Anna66/1
Plumpton 14:10
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3,4Bostin14/1
Plumpton 14:10
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3,4Gentleman Moore22/1
Naas 14:20
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2Drumconnor Lad14/1
Naas 14:50
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2,3,4Daliyan28/1
Plumpton 15:40
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Telegraph Place18/1
 
Last edited:

Skint45

Yearling
No luck Sunday.

Monday: (note 2 picks in 3.50 and 4.15):

Shlda done the singles e/w but forgot to tick the e/w box. Never mind - only really interested in the wins anyway. Have also done the usual win doubles and trebles. This time at 1/5th of win stakes, wlda been 1/10th of full singles stakes if I'd done the e/w. Cld be a bonanza day, we live in hope. I reckon I should get a win treble up once a month.

Chepstow 13:40
Outright Betting
Our Boy33/1
Chepstow 14:10
Outright Betting
Motts Cross33/1
Musselburgh 14:25
Outright Betting
Elysian Prince25/1
Chepstow 15:15
Outright Betting
Rainy Day Dylan20/1
Chepstow 15:50
Outright Betting
Samson's Reach20/1
Chepstow 15:50
Outright Betting
William B33/1
Wolverhampton 16:15
Outright Betting
Castlerea Tess33/1
Wolverhampton 16:15
Outright Betting
Tidal Surge33/1
 

Skint45

Yearling
William B was a n/r, and no luck with the rest. I'm still well over 5% target win SR thus far. Will plug on.
 

Skint45

Yearling
Just 4 races tomorrow, 2 picks in the 4.10.

E/w singles and all the multiples e/w at 1/5th full singles unit stakes

Prices in brackets are best BOG available elsewhere.

Bangor 13:10
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3,4Overtheedge28/1(33/1)
Newcastle 16:10
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3,4Prancing Oscar20/1
Newcastle 16:10
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3,4Cosmic Ray50/1(66/1)
Newcastle 18:15
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2,3Archimedes14/1(18/1)
Newcastle 19:15
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Jan Van Hoof25/1 (28/1)
 

Skint45

Yearling
Archimedes only a disappointing 10.86 win at BSP. 4.06 place.

So far on this thread 37 picks have run.

Winners at 33/1, 16/1, 14/1 (as stated, 18s available elsewhere for that one). Betfair SP win prices: 44, 40.36, 10.81. BSP place prices 6.77, 6.0, 4.06.

Placer: 3rd at 25/1. BSP place 6.77.

I may take a break but will be back with these.
 
Last edited:

Skint45

Yearling
E/w singles and win doubles and trebles at 1/4 full singles unit stakes. Because there are so many trebles I've reduced the amount put on singles, which is stupid, but I do not want to spend the rest of my days kicking myself for missing a win treble at these prices.

Prices shown are best BOG. I didn't get all of these on Betfred:

Doncaster 13:35
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3,4Katie Connell16/1
Taunton 13:45
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Raving Bonkers80/1
Taunton 13:45
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Actonetaketwo250/1
Doncaster 14:10
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Chocolate Box28/1
Taunton 15:25
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Boher Call66/1
Kempton 16:15
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Shifting Star50/1
Kempton 18:15
Outright Betting
EW 1/4 1,2Keystroke14/1
Kempton 19:15
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Hic Bibi20/1
Kempton 19:45
Outright Betting
EW 1/5 1,2,3Peggy's Angel66/1
 

Skint45

Yearling
Keystroke goes in, SP 11/2. I got 12s, 14s was available, not sure if a R4 on this one.

Earlier, Chocolate Box got second, but a big R4 cos the odds-on fav was a n/r.

2 races still to go.
 

Skint45

Yearling
Peggy's Angel nearly provides the biggest booooom yet on this thread, 2nd at 50/1. :dance2:

That was also the price I got, but 66/1 was available elsewhere.

Will update Betfair SPs later
 

dave58

Administrator
Hi @Skint45 some nice results there, well done.
Are you keeping a p/l or just trialling the idea for now?
Best of luck with your idea
 

Skint45

Yearling
dave58: It's still an experiment, but I'm backing them as shown. Overall the best strategy would undoubtedly be to do 'em at Betfair SP. It's the occasional results like getting 40 or more for a 16/1 winner that makes all the difference. There's a profit on the BSP places too overall, and I'd do those, but the shrewdies with steel cojones would probably stick to win only.

Easy to work out p/l from the results shown above. I do intend to update that occasionally.


Today's Betfair SPs: The winner was win 7.75, place 2.77.

The 3 placers were 2.64, 5.8, 14.64.
 
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