RACEFORM ADJ RATINGS.

[Donny]

Using Raceform split second Ratings and the rate race tool.
Ling 1.30pm. speed par 98 (incl age)
Reign On. 101 (Adj 98)
C. D. GO. W.
101. 101. 101. 101. Raceform split second.
My Adj ratings have this as the only horse to be able to run to this level.
Now Fav at 12/5.

 

[Donny]

As per 1st post.
Ling. 12.25pm. par 102.
Ebbisham Adj 100.
D. W.
104. 104.
Again the one horse to be able to run at this level.
Now 4/1.

 

[Chesham]

Well done with Reign On

 

[Donny]

03/01/17.
Newc. 15.10.
Page of wands. 16/1 Betfair sportsbook.
Raceform have this joint top rated with Fastnet Blade 2/1.
Ive tried to discredit the horse using its past speed ratings and the rate race tool.
The horse comes out clear top and the only one to be able to run to the race par (on paper).

 

[Chesham]

Fastnet Blast has the better pedigree than Page Of Wands

The one to watch for Handicaps over further than 12f (10f Tomorrow) is Diamond Cut, I am hoping that they are running this one to get a Handicap Mark

 

[Chesham]

Fastnet Ran a SS Par +2 (The way we have Par) but a Performance fig against SP Expectation = 82

Page Of Wands SS +4 but a Performance against SP Expectation = 49

 

[Donny]

Thanks for the reply Chesham,
When looking at pedigree what are the main things to look for?
Raceform does have some info but this sort of thing is all new to me.
Donny.

 

[Chesham]

Thanks for the reply Chesham,
When looking at pedigree what are the main things to look for?
Raceform does have some info but this sort of thing is all new to me.
Donny.

Various ways of researching Pedigrees.
One: look at the Female Tail Line
Two: Look at the Nicking Stats

If both look good ns nothing better in the race, then a good proposition

Example from The Blog

 

[Chesham]

Fastnet Nicking stats





Nicking Stats

Page Of Wands



Nicking Stats Diamond Cut



On Pedigree you would POW behind the other two

 

[Donny]

Hi Chesham,
just been on RF and clicked on pedigree and can now understand a bit more.
Never heard of nicking stats before.
Thanks for your help.

 

[Donny]

Hi SteveT,
Looking at using speed with other handicapping Factors.
The hard part is working out how to compare each factor (weight it )
Say i use raceform speed and their ability ratings, I can convert both to a scale of 100 and compare them.
But how do i score the draw or the last 3 form figs against these figures.
I have an old Braddocks book and Beyer on speed updated to read.
I may get some Ideas.
Thanks for the intrest.
Donny.

 

[Donny]

29/03/17.
Ling. 5.25pm. Hcp.
i have adjusted the Ratings. see file.
Also Attain has the best C,D,GO and Weight scores