Odds to runners ratio (laying) test

[Deleted member 4117]

Based on my thread here

https://www.theukbettingforum.co.uk...unners-ratio-laying-odds-on-favourites.92340/

I'm going to test laying odds on favourites-will log P/L on a weekly basis as given my work/lunch break hours it's very likely that I'll miss a few of them at least which will make the results a bit inaccurate otherwise.

I'd normally wait until live expected winners hit 10 before I started actually using a system like this but I think given that figure will be reached pretty quickly with them being odds on, and the fact that I'd like to see how it does in different seasons, I'll probably test it for a while.

 

[Deleted member 4117]

A slow but good start, with 2 bets and 2 losers since Friday.

 

[Deleted member 4117]

Update-still in profit after this week, but only just!

 

[Deleted member 4117]

Bit of an improvement:

 

[Deleted member 4117]

Update:

 

[Deleted member 4117]

Still ticking along, bit of a loss to fixed liability which I'd be using but still:

 

[Deleted member 4117]

Hi @BH01 good luck with your system hope it does well for you
cheers
steveT

Thanks, it's had a better run this last week-

 

[Deleted member 4117]

Update-fixed liability profits looking especially good:

 

[Deleted member 4117]

 

[Deleted member 4117]

Going to have to call it a day with this one as I need the slot! I think it proved a reasonable success though. Final stats:

Bets 41
Wins 22
Expected wins 25.27
BF AE 0.87

 

[Deleted member 4117]

Revisiting this it looks to have done alright over a fair period of time (this is a slightly edited, simpler version of the original)



Only a tiny profit to normal laying stakes, but if fixed liability is used instead it looks OK, off a comparatively large sample as well. Bit of a grind though! There might be some profits to be made in the place laying markets as well.