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New System Test

Not sure how bad the weather was at Plumpton and Wolverhampton today, but its been rough here in West Yorkshire with strong winds and rain/hail/snow showers.

Another losing day today,but feeling optimistic. There were 15 selections today, with two winners (at 4/1 and 3/1), and 8 placed (one at odds of 11/1).

This resulted in a small loss of 4.80 points for the day.

The total balance carried forward for the last 8 days is now 0.11 - 4.80 = Minus 4.69 points.

Oh no, I'm showing a negative balance :D

With the high volume of placed results, I may look at more each way betting, or each way accumulators. It's still early days and a learning process.
 

Attachments

acorn54

Yearling
far be it from me to give suggestions but from what little i heard, from much more experienced punters, it's best to take a pass on surfaces that are listed as "HEAVY" being that the track footing is not predictable. also from my extensive research on horseracing here in the states, it is best to pass on horses below 2-1 odds, in general , as very few horses are consistent enough to win a third of their races.
 
far be it from me to give suggestions but from what little i heard, from much more experienced punters, it's best to take a pass on surfaces that are listed as "HEAVY" being that the track footing is not predictable. also from my extensive research on horseracing here in the states, it is best to pass on horses below 2-1 odds, in general , as very few horses are consistent enough to win a third of their races.
Hi @acorn54

Welcome to the forum.

Thanks for your message and advice.

Maybe i should look into the value of the odds available.

As this is just a trial, i am only staking a minimal amount. Will see how it goes for maybe a month.

Kind regards
Giuseppe
 
Selections for today ......................

Stake 1 point to win on all the selections listed (below 10/1), and 1 point each way on any horse with odds of 10/1 or more! Will revise the betting strategy when i get chance.


DateTimeTrackHorseForecast Odds
11/02/2020
13:35:00
Chelmsford CityWatheer
2.5
11/02/2020
13:35:00
Chelmsford CityAlba Del Sole (IRE)
12
11/02/2020
14:05:00
Chelmsford CityNight Voyager (IRE)
2.75
11/02/2020
14:05:00
Chelmsford CityAlveda
25
11/02/2020
14:40:00
Chelmsford CityJuanito Chico (IRE)
11
11/02/2020
15:15:00
Chelmsford CityShumba (USA)
14
11/02/2020
15:45:00
Chelmsford CityGreen Door (IRE)
7.5
11/02/2020
16:15:00
Chelmsford CityContingency Fee
9
11/02/2020
16:20:00
NewcastleBodacious Name (IRE)
8.5
11/02/2020
16:20:00
NewcastleNataleena (IRE)
2.25
11/02/2020
16:50:00
NewcastleRemember The Days (IRE)
6
11/02/2020
17:20:00
NewcastleHappy Face (IRE)
7
11/02/2020
17:20:00
NewcastleLady Alavesa
2.5
11/02/2020
17:50:00
NewcastleGlenamoy Lad
3.5
11/02/2020
18:20:00
NewcastleDream Game
9
11/02/2020
18:50:00
NewcastleKayat
1.5
11/02/2020
19:20:00
NewcastleBlow Your Horn (IRE)
1.75
11/02/2020
19:50:00
NewcastleReaver (IRE)
80
11/02/2020
19:50:00
NewcastleMerricourt (IRE)
40
 
Last edited:
Will update results for previous day later. These are the first part of selections for today.

Will stake 1 point to win on those listed .................

DateTimeTrackHorseForecast Odds
14/02/2020
13:40:00
FakenhamSellingallthetime (IRE)
6.5
14/02/2020
13:40:00
FakenhamOutrath (IRE)
5
14/02/2020
14:00:00
LingfieldHeron (USA)
7
14/02/2020
14:00:00
LingfieldMaster Burbidge
2.75
14/02/2020
14:10:00
FakenhamChampagne Mystery (IRE)
2
14/02/2020
14:10:00
FakenhamGreaneteen (FR)
0.5
14/02/2020
14:35:00
LingfieldZhukovsky (IRE)
10
14/02/2020
14:35:00
LingfieldMonya (IRE)
8
14/02/2020
14:45:00
FakenhamFraternel (FR)
6
14/02/2020
14:45:00
FakenhamFix Sun (FR)
0.3
14/02/2020
15:10:00
LingfieldPhuket Power (IRE)
3.5
14/02/2020
15:10:00
LingfieldBendy Spirit (IRE)
7
14/02/2020
15:20:00
FakenhamSenior Citizen
1.5
14/02/2020
15:20:00
FakenhamRizzardo
3.33
14/02/2020
15:40:00
LingfieldAmazing News
1.63
14/02/2020
15:40:00
LingfieldAnyonewhohadaheart
100
14/02/2020
15:50:00
FakenhamPenny Mallow (FR)
2.5
14/02/2020
15:50:00
FakenhamWoulduadamandeveit (IRE)
3.5
14/02/2020
16:10:00
LingfieldJamaican Jill
2.75
14/02/2020
16:10:00
LingfieldBattle Of Marathon (USA)
0.83
14/02/2020
16:20:00
FakenhamShantou Flyer (IRE)
0.62
14/02/2020
16:20:00
FakenhamHaymount (IRE)
5.5
14/02/2020
16:40:00
LingfieldMobham (IRE)
11
14/02/2020
16:40:00
LingfieldEnmeshing
8
14/02/2020
16:50:00
FakenhamFantastikas (FR)
5
14/02/2020
16:50:00
FakenhamScarpia (IRE)
1.75
 
Results from 11/02/2020.

Yet another losing day. From 19 selections there was just one winner (at 8/1), four 2nds and one 3rd place.

This resulted in a loss of 14 points for the day.

The total balance carried forward for the last 9 days is now -4.69 - 14.00 = Minus 18.69 points.

Will keep testing until i get to 30 days then re-assess.

It's all good fun (isn't it?) :drinks:
 

Attachments

Part two of selections for today ..............

DateTimeTrackHorseForecast Odds
14/02/2020
17:00:00
DundalkDanz Gift (IRE)
14
14/02/2020
17:00:00
DundalkRed Cymbal
11
14/02/2020
17:10:00
SouthwellThree Cs (IRE)
1.88
14/02/2020
17:10:00
SouthwellEquidae
2.25
14/02/2020
17:30:00
DundalkRed Valley (USA)
16
14/02/2020
17:30:00
DundalkLady Zell (IRE)
10
14/02/2020
17:45:00
SouthwellBrooklyn Boy
2.25
14/02/2020
17:45:00
SouthwellPalazzo
5
14/02/2020
18:00:00
DundalkKasperenko
2.5
14/02/2020
18:00:00
DundalkKings Vow (FR)
0.4
14/02/2020
18:15:00
SouthwellRodin
0.67
14/02/2020
18:15:00
SouthwellSur Mer
2.75
14/02/2020
18:30:00
DundalkMuzbid (IRE)
4
14/02/2020
18:30:00
DundalkNimitz (IRE)
12
14/02/2020
18:45:00
SouthwellSandridge Lad (IRE)
0.73
14/02/2020
18:45:00
SouthwellZapper Cass (FR)
6.5
14/02/2020
19:15:00
SouthwellProxy
16
14/02/2020
19:15:00
SouthwellCroeso Cymraeg
8
14/02/2020
19:45:00
SouthwellBond Angel
25
14/02/2020
19:45:00
SouthwellCustard The Dragon
25
14/02/2020
20:00:00
DundalkAishlings Secret
25
14/02/2020
20:00:00
DundalkTyrconnell (IRE)
4.5
14/02/2020
20:15:00
SouthwellSea Shack
12
14/02/2020
20:15:00
SouthwellCaesonia
16
14/02/2020
20:30:00
DundalkVoyageofdiscovery (USA)
25
14/02/2020
20:30:00
DundalkGoodwood Showman
10

 
Results for the 14th February.

From 51 selections (1 non-runner) there were 9 winners (one at 8/1), 10 seconds (one at 12/1 and 7/1) and one third placed (at 18/1)

In hindsight it would have been ideal to only bet on the top rated horse (not the top two) to improve on the returns gained.

However, this is a system test, so will continuously learn as i go along. The key thing here is to start with a wider net, and tighten it once lessons have been learnt. The aim to to eventually create a more targeted approach and hopefully more profitable days.

The total balance carried forward for the last 10 days is now -18.69 + -27.00 = Minus 45.69 points.

Thank goodness I haven't been staking by life savings on this :handgestures-thumbup:
 

Attachments

Just two racecards today, with some big races at Navan. Here are the selections................

DateTimeTrackHorseForecast Odds
16/02/2020
13:20:00
NavanHollow Sound (IRE)
5
16/02/2020
13:20:00
NavanJoshua Webb (IRE)
2.25
16/02/2020
13:50:00
NavanPenhill
5
16/02/2020
13:50:00
NavanKilfenora (IRE)
5
16/02/2020
14:15:00
KemptonClog Maker (IRE)
1.1
16/02/2020
14:20:00
NavanFrancin (FR)
1.38
16/02/2020
14:20:00
NavanThe Very Man (IRE)
3.5
16/02/2020
14:50:00
KemptonDouble Legend (IRE)
1.63
16/02/2020
14:55:00
NavanDinard Rose (IRE)
8
16/02/2020
14:55:00
NavanRebel Early (IRE)
4.5
16/02/2020
15:25:00
KemptonDeal A Dollar
8
16/02/2020
15:30:00
NavanYoung Dev (IRE)
6.5
16/02/2020
15:30:00
NavanThunder Down Under (IRE)
6
16/02/2020
15:55:00
KemptonKings Advice
1.38
16/02/2020
16:00:00
NavanElwood (FR)
8
16/02/2020
16:30:00
KemptonCount Otto (IRE)
4
16/02/2020
16:30:00
KemptonBusby (IRE)
5.5
16/02/2020
16:35:00
NavanThree Is Company (IRE)
8
16/02/2020
17:00:00
KemptonSwissal (IRE)
2.25
16/02/2020
17:00:00
KemptonGriggy (IRE)
1.1
16/02/2020
17:05:00
NavanJulies Stowaway (IRE)
3.5
16/02/2020
17:05:00
NavanBallyadam (IRE)
1
 
Will update the results for the 16th Feb in due course! I’m system testing at the moment (when I get time) so won’t be posting until I’m happy I’ve found a consistent system. This could take months.
 
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