I'll try and find some examples for tomorrow's racing later on if I have time.
Last weekend I mentioned ZHUI FENG, who was beaten a length at 16/1 grrrrrrr
It was that horses Ability rating that initially signalled him.
A simple way of thinking that I find can help is this:
VDW gave two areas of subsets, consistent horses and seemingly inconsistent horses that are dropping in class.
If you stick to the forecast area and start with the highest Ability rating.
Does the horse appear in the 3 most consistent?
OR does the horse appear in the top 3 class LTO?
If the answer is no to consistensy and class then what about capability issues such as distance? If none there's no reason why the horse doesn't show up well in either group then move to the next Ability rating.
Most winners I find will be flagged in one of the two groups and of course sometimes they are in both.
As Lee said on this forum look at the odds.
A horse I posted recently on Twitter shows a horse dropping in class :
Ripon 19:40
JUST HUBERT looks the one to be on here, dropping in class after a good 3rd behind the impressive winner and 1/5F Logician✔
The selection has been 25/1, 16/1 and 14/1 in his last three races in classes 0-100, 0-90, 0-90
tonorrow he's entered into a weak 0-80 at around 7/2✔
His class/form is better than these, showing improved performance in his last race and now being dropped to collect✔
Daniel Tudhope is a positive booking ( on board for last win)
I think were going to see a big run!
A horse that was consistent was Harvey Dent :
HARVEY DENT
ran a decent race last time out when 2nd to the JT favourite of the race, City Wanderer who was a winner LTO, and recieved 16lbs in weight from the selection✔
Turned out quickly and back into a 3 year old plus race, HARVEY DENT can take advantage of his weight allowance whilst in cracking form against his elders✔
Loch Ness and Kuwait Station head the dangers but I feel on balance Harvey Dent could be difficult to beat✔
Currently 3.5 on the Exchange
Remember with VDW the betting /Forecast is the backbone of it all.
That's my thoughts anyway, I no many will disagree and I'm not fussed by that, I like bigger prices and enjoy handicaps so it's am not fussed about a lower strike rate.
Hope this helps people in some way.