I will endeavor to return the thread to matters racing and can share this posted yesterday afternoon in the blog. I do not know what VDW would make of it but at least no after timing involved.
Fri 9th Chelm 8.05 : Desert Fox @ 10/1
A 6fur 0-70 10rn. I am writing this on Wen and feel reluctant to make it lengthy because dare i say this one looks fairly obvious and i fear this may be reflected in a poor value price. Having said this at time of writing the only Bfc (SL) quotes 8/1 so live in hope its what we do.? Over this CD when running in the OR sixties Desert is the perfect 3-3 and off OR 66 then in theory, i can see no reason why he should not make it 4-4 here. One of those wins came 3lto this May with his two poor runs since appearing strange placings with the 2lto over 7fur and the lto after a 59 day absence under 10.0 over a straight 6fur on turf. Imo both where Gaming outings designed to preserve the mark indeed they have bought a 1lb reduction bonus.
The same rider is engaged as per his most recent win over this CD, and his 8-10 draw actually appears a positive as the animal likes to come late down the outside. Last year he won one of these CD 0-70 and yet contests here off a 3lbs lower OR and a handy 9-3. He has also won at this 8pm time before. RI notes that he does have a habit of hanging left when under pressure but this has not prevented the previous wins, and in truth i can find no negatives to chance other than achieving the 4-4 is probably statistically a big ask but this is a rather perverted way of viewing a positive so if the price is there then it will be taken.
Perhaps i spoke too soon Re no negatives because so far this year the small stable are having a mare, but they have trained Desert for all of his previous wins and do work with limited ammunition and there five runners so far this month have produced a 2nd and a 3rd.
Edit : I also spoke too soon Re my price predictions but in this instance i was well pleased to be proved wrong.