A nice way to end the week with JERSEY BEAN winning.
See https://www.theukbettingforum.co.uk/XenForo/threads/big-race-handicaps.53524/post-490884Snowdon is part of the TQ team so I'm surprised he is offering it for nowt, will have a look at the stable website later.
Well after the first two have bombed out dreadful, I will scurry back to my hole and hide.....I'm hopefully going to have a few more winners today on this thread
Today, is a new day and hopefully a winning day.
Huntingdon 14:35 - The Late Legend - is a 7 year old gelding by Midnight Legend who is trained by Tom Weston who's yard are in great form having had 2 winners from 2 runners in the past 14 days. Sean Bowen tales the ride again having won on him LTO at Sedgefield only 6 days ago. He has been raised 6lbs by the handicapper but he looks to have a progressive profile and his recent form figures over fences are 221. Today, he faces similar ground conditions as those at Sedgefield and he has a low weight which is never a bad thing. He is dropping back to 3 miles and my only concern would be if the race comes too soon have raced only 6 days ago. That said I don't believe that was a hard race and he should be winning again today.
Huntingdon 14:35 - The Late Legend 1pt win bet @ 13/8
Huntingdon 13:30 - Northern Bound - is a 6 year old gelding by Fruits of Love, he is trained by Ben Pauling and ridden again by Luca Morgan claiming a useful 7 lbs. LTO he was a convincing winner under a good ride from Luca at Warwick over 2M 4F on good ground. He has the same conditions today and although the handicapper has raised him 6lbs and he is up in class. His win came after only his 2nd start over fences and this is a step up in class but one I feel he is up to. He will have gained experience and now has shown a winning attitude. His speed rating recorded at Warwick certainly suggest that he is up to winning in this class although it will be more competitive.
Huntingdon 13:30 - Northern Bound 1pt win bet @ 3/1
Huntingdon 13:00 - Peur De Rein - This 7 year old gelding by Kapgarde is bred to be a top quality chaser. He is trained by Oliver Sherwood who's yard are in very good form having had 2 winners from 8 runners in the past fortnight. Jamie Bargary takes the ride today. I was very impressed with the manner in which he won LTO at Uttoxeter on his debut over fences. He jump impressively and fluently and beat a decent field by 5 lengths. The form has since been franked by the runner up. He has similar ground conditions and distance to those at Uttoxeter so all boxes look to be ticked. The big change in his performance has come about through some very good training and a leading edge wind operation. He only had 1 run last season due to this breathing problem which makes him a lightly race horse that is likely to improve again.
The handicapper has raised him for his LTO victory but he doesn't have a lot of weight to carry and he looks like he will be very competitive again today.
Huntingdon 13:00 - Peur De Rein 1pt win bet @ 3/1
I'm also going to do a reverse forecast bet with Nicky Henderson's horse Captain Woodie who I see as the biggest danger. He is by Presenting and was a decent hurdler and this will be his chasing debut. He also has had a wind operation an I'm expecting to see further improvement today.
I have had a Trixie win bet on all 3 win bet selections.
I have it has Jockey races- even with no course or distance record - Cage of Fear ticks many box's - I was surprised to see him fav but suppose it means the numbers do applyToday my best bet of the day is at Carlisle in the 14:26 race where I have backed Kings Temptation E/W @ 6/1. This 8 year old gelding is by Kings Theatre and is trained by Ben Case who's yard are in winning form and he is ridden today by Sam Twiston-Davies. Sam has ridden the gelding twice and won on him once. This season he has really kicked on and has won 3 races on the spin and is looking to make it a 4 timer this afternoon. All 3 of those winning races have been at Uttoxeter over varying ground conditions, class and distances between 3 miles and 3 miles 2. His wins haven't gone unnoticed by the handicapper and his handicap mark has risen by 20lbs to a mark of 135 for today's race for those 3 wins. Looking at his LTO victory he was racing in a class 3 race and won with some authority and his jumping was very good.
We know he is racing fit and that he handles the ground conditions and distance and the yard are in winning form and he has a top class jockey on board, that ticks 5 boxes for me. The things we don't know is he has never raced on this course before and he has to cope with the weight rise. I think he will cope with both of those.
The current market favourite is Cage of Fear trained by Fergal O'Brien who's yard are in amazing form at the moment having had 6 winners from 20 runners in the past two weeks. Cage of Fear is lightly raced and has only had two chase races where he has finished 2nd and 1st and is open to improvement but for me watching his jumping is a concern. He jumps to the right and he isn't very fluent and it is for these reasons that I'm happy to take him on. The market may have it right but for me I think they have it wrong and I believe Kings Temptation is a better investment especially as I believe he will win this race but if he doesn't he shouldn't be out of the first 3.
Carlisle 14:26 - Kings Temptation 1pt E/W @ 6/1.