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Longshots - Each Way Betting

12.15 - Thurles
Discordantly 13/2.

Last run was a good one after 6 months off.
Came sixth.
Ground and trip perfect.
This horse has been running against Class opposition.
I love the January form when it ran about 6 lengths
Behind Fakir D'oudairies - Class horse
Who runs very well in Group 1 races.
This race presents a lesser challenge.
The inform Robbie Power takes the ride.

I feel 13/2 with its form is far too large.
 
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hedgehog

Mare
Kerching on pts, Queen Constantine wins 8/1.PP pay 1/5th the odds for the place so 11.6pts in 4pts out profit 7.6pts

Edited because the numbers were wrong. I hate points
 
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1.20 - Lingfield
Heer We Go Again 20/1.

I am ignoring this horses last 2 races
Ran 6f last time which I think is not it's trip
Also was carrying 9st 7lbs.
Race before that was a Class 2, flying too high in that grade.

Before that it ran at 5F in four Class 4 races
Placings being 1, 2, 2 and 3.
This is a 5F Class 5 race.
Has Lingfield form.
David Probert takes the ride.

If this 2 year old gets back to winning ways, I feel the 20/1 is priced incorrectly.
 
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1.20 - Lingfield
Heer We Go Again 20/1.

I am ignoring this horses last 2 races
Ran 6f last time which I think is not it's trip
Also was carrying 9st 7lbs.
Race before that was a Class 2, flying too high in that grade.

Before that it ran at 5F in four Class 4 races
Placings being 1, 2, 2 and 3.
This is a 5F Class 5 race.
Has Lingfield form.
David Probert takes the ride.

If this 2 year old gets back to winning ways, I feel the 20/1 is priced incorrectly.
This horse I can't believe has gone out to 33/1, so gone in at 22/1 5 Places at B365 each way extra.
 
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Ferdy

Colt
My take on this race.
No.NameRatingFair Odds/1
3​
Colonel Whitehead (IRE)66.004.85
5​
Colouring57.005.61
1​
Birkenhead48.006.67
6​
Heer We Go Again31.0010.32
10​
Rathagan29.0011.03
7​
Chasanda25.0012.80
4​
Silver Start24.0013.33
9​
Champagne Supanova (IRE)21.0015.24
2​
Seraphinite (IRE)18.0017.78
8​
Wilfy1.00320.00
 
12.15 - Thurles
Discordantly 13/2.

Last run was a good one after 6 months off.
Came sixth.
Ground and trip perfect.
This horse has been running against Class opposition.
I love the January form when it ran about 6 lengths
Behind Fakir D'oudairies - Class horse
Who runs very well in Group 1 races.
This race presents a lesser challenge.
The inform Robbie Power takes the ride.

I feel 13/2 with its form is far too large.
3rd. Kerrrrrrrrrrrrrrching! 🤑
 
1.20 - Lingfield
Heer We Go Again 20/1.

I am ignoring this horses last 2 races
Ran 6f last time which I think is not it's trip
Also was carrying 9st 7lbs.
Race before that was a Class 2, flying too high in that grade.

Before that it ran at 5F in four Class 4 races
Placings being 1, 2, 2 and 3.
This is a 5F Class 5 race.
Has Lingfield form.
David Probert takes the ride.

If this 2 year old gets back to winning ways, I feel the 20/1 is priced incorrectly.
This horse went out to 40/1 with Hills earlier in the day...crazy.
How B365 had this at 20/1 the night before and at 33/1 this morning and offered 22/1 for 5 Places at Each Way Extra... I don't understand, amazing how they make profits with that kind of generosity.
Long may it occur.

3rd.
Kerrrrrrrrrching! 🤑
 

Chesham

Sire
That must have hurt to say.
Thank- you Chesham.
Why would it hurt me to congratulate you landing the Place Part of your bet. It turned out to be a good call on your part and it would have been amiss of me not to congratulate you, as I had posted past stats for the Trainear concerned.

I have congratulated you before

D1A9BC49-694F-4CA5-93B7-11ABB5119561.jpeg
 
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