Indifferent matches

[cosmicsports]

I have a rule in my football betting.
Never bet on an indifferent match.
Thus I may have a bet on the return legs of the European champions semis next week, I 'd never have a bet on Manchester City v. Basel in the 2017-18 season and others similar.
But if I had backed Basel that might have been a good 10 to 1. I did n't.
Has anyone made any statistics on this particular group of matches ?
What about City (again) when they are declared champions of England in a couple of weeks but with two or three matches left ?
I know that sometimes teams perform great in matches to please the crowds but some other times it becomes a sleepy affair.
Recent sleepy affair was Arsenal v. Olympiakos the return leg (a 1-1 draw).

 

[runnerjp]

Just to make sure im getting this right .....

When teams have pretty much won their leg or league you suggest perhaps backing the opposition or laying them in their remaining match or matches....

So tomorrow perhaps laying City as their boost to win the match is perhaps gone and their thoughts are elsewhere?

 

[cosmicsports]

Just to make sure im getting this right .....

When teams have pretty much won their leg or league you suggest perhaps backing the opposition or laying them in their remaining match or matches....

So tomorrow perhaps laying City as their boost to win the match is perhaps gone and their thoughts are elsewhere?

Not really, Man City have not yet mathematically won the premiership. In this one Crystal Palace are indifferent pointswise but City no.
But I really mean any kind of indifferent matches. In the premiership, the championship, European.
In the case of M. City v. Basel the indifference shown by City was due to the fact they were already 4-0 up. In other situations, other reasons.

 

[cosmicsports]

I wanted to make a rundown but soccerway.com has a problem. Other site with info ?

 

[runnerjp]

https://www.whoscored.com/

 

[cosmicsports]

I look at the record of some runaway champions:

Liverpool 2019-20
Man. City 2017-18
Juventus 2018-19
Juventus 2014-15
PSG 2019-20
PSG 2018-19
Bayern 2019-20
Bayern 2017-18
Celtic 2019-20
Celtic 2017-18

I 'm adding their W-D-L statistics for the seasons:

W = 270
D = 46
L = 32

In percentages: 77.6%, 13.2%, 9.2%

Now I look into the W-D-L statistics for the last three matches and add them:
It's W = 14, D = 4, L = 4 and PSG 2019-20, Celtic 2019-20 the last three matches were canceled.
In percentages: 63.5%, 18.2%, 18.2%, i.e. somewhat dropped.

The sample is not big of course.