PACE ?
You can study form all day long but if there's no pace in the race then everything is up for grabs, even a race like the derby might well have been ruined by jockey's riding poor races. It might be my imagination but i don't recall seeing horses proving too difficult to settle properly years ago, Piggott, Breasley, Mercer, eddery etc didn't seem to have these problems but likely that it's my memory failing to remember correctly.
The speed experts on here have helped highlight what actually happened in a race, sectionals continue to surprise along with the overall times that show us that there was little pace to the race or too much , sometimes we get a mixture of both but by then it's too late your money is lost.
Going forward i suspect we have a race today where we might hope for a solid enough pace in that there are a few front runners, i suppose it doesn't guarantee a good gallop but if the 3-00 donny isn't a truly run race then we're buggered.
MARIES DIAMOND, SHINE SO BRIGHT and BREATHTAKING LOOK are most likely to go forward on previous experience, with WICHITA who is again trying this shorter distance also likely to be close enough to the pace, WICHITA might have regressed from his earlier exploits in the gns etc so the 2 horses that might benefit from a strong pace are MOLATHAM and LIMATO.
MOLATHAM won the jersey stakes on a mark of 102 before finishing 5th in france behind PINATUBO which was another good run although both were on softer ground but he has form on quick over c/d when beating WICHITA 1/2 L so plenty in his favour.
I've long been a fan of LIMATO who won this race 5 years ago and was most impressive first time out at newm over 7f, that day he was held up from what looked a strong pace and made the ground up easily to win by over 3l, so i felt everything fell into place for him that day and the logic i'm trying to get across is that the way the race will pan out will be perfect for him.
LIMATO has been rated 122 but now he's 115 , 8yr old and his overall form might be said to be inconsistent at times but because i'm trying to make a point about "pace" i think todays race might fall into his lap, joint fav so nothing clever there but a race full of interest for me.