• Hi Guest Just in case you were not aware I wanted to highlight that you can now get a free 7 day trial of Horseracebase here.
    We have a lot of members who are existing users of Horseracebase so help is always available if needed, as well as dedicated section of the fourm here.
    Best Wishes
    AR

Fifty points profit per month

Onwards and upwards......

14th June.......wanted to wait to see if there were any early morning non-runners, but alas, out early tomorrow, so I'm posting all of tomorrow's 18 selections now.


14th June.png

1.35 Ling.............3yo+ 1m2f
3.20 Ling.............3yo+ 6f
5.00 G.PK............3yo+ 1m1½f
5.20 Carl..............4yo+ 1m
5.25 Wind...........4yo+ 1m3½f
6.50 Nott............4yo+ 5f
7.30 Wind..........3yo+ 6f
7.40 Kilb..............4yo+ 2m4f ( Chase )
8.00 Wind...........4yo+ 1m
.
 
18 selections - 1 non-runner - 4 winners

Passion And Glory 6/5 ( bfsp 2.22 )
Tomouh 15/8 ( bfsp 3.36 )
Ottoman Emperor 5/2 ( bfsp 3.82 )
Edraak 3/1 ( bfsp 4.01 )

-13, +1.20, +2.31, +2.76, +2.95
= -3.78 pts

Previous -0.21 pts
Overall total -3.99 pts
 
8 selections - All ran - No winners.

-8

Previous -12 pts
Overall total -20.00 pts


Time for a halt. Thanks for the 'sad' markfinn markfinn You are right - it's not going well.

Something is not clicking.
I would prefer to work from Early prices, as the Forecast prices with HRB have been way off, [ Passion And Glory 11/2 forecast into 6/5 SP ] ( W/Hill's I believe ) and at the moment, I am not able to do so with work commitments.

Perhaps with the more unsettled weather coming, results will favour bigger priced winners and not be so predictable.
I'm going to lay off for a few days.
.
 
Yes retriever retriever i think value is the wtg maybe nowadays, and also i still find it is best to find a way to check back somehow it is not precise, but it can save alot of time, and even then i like to half the results to make the findings more viable maybe. Also their will be lulls but the shorter prices the harder it is to get back on track maybe.

Anyhows! Good Luck!!
 
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Backing two in the same race is always gonna be a tough call IMHO and I admire your spirit retriever retriever for having a go at it. It increases your strike rate I accept but does it double it? It needs to at least double it in the long term as two in the same race effectively halves the odds. So 5/1 becomes 5/2, 8/1 becomes 8/2, = 4/1. Not saying it isn't possible to profit from the strategy in theory but it needs big odds in competitive races and a very sharp pin to pull it off.
 
disagree dutching is a great way of maximising overall profits and lowering loses

simple 2 horse race

5/1 - winner - 1 lost ( the other dutched stake) = 4/1 winner what is wrong with that

1624521769108.png

If I have a chance ( 2 or more live contenders ) and as long as I have min odds about the bet 11/4 I will use it
 
Like I said in my earlier response Mark..... "Not saying it isn't possible to profit from the strategy in theory", As you say and I agree..... 'Dutching is a great way of maximising overall profits and lowering losses' but...... A) Both of your selections have to be available at odds in excess of true chances in the first place cos Dutching alone won't turn a loss maker into a profitable venture and..... B) IIRC the OP wasn't Dutching, he was calculating returns to split stakes 50/50. I Dutch myself occasionally, usually when I end up with two in the same race and I can't discount either as a win bet. As you say it can be useful in some circumstances.
 
Testing this system from the beginning of November.

A bit of a scattergun ( high bet turnover - high odds - low s/r ) system approach relating to Trainers who have had winners at this time of the year in the recent past.

1pt Win on each to BFSP ( less 2% comm. )

I will stop posting for the month should ( in the unlikely event ) the profit goes above 50pts. 🤞

I really don't know what to expect !! :)

1st Nov.

1st Nov.png
 
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1st Nov.........17 Selections......1 Non-runner......14 Losers......2 Winners - B 10/1 ( 14.82 ) - CW 20/1 ( 25.00 )............ -14, +13.54, +23.52

Running total = +23.06 pts

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25 Selections for tomorrow. All of todays profit 're-invested' !! :whistle: Back to square one Wednesday should we flop.....lol

2nd Nov.png
 
Great Start! with this retriever retriever why cut out at 50pts in a month though, i find things never run that smoothly, sometimes as much as around 400pts up, and down to around 100pts minus mine have run so far and it has been just over one year now.
 
OnTheNod said:
Great Start! with this retriever retriever why cut out at 50pts in a month though, i find things never run that smoothly, sometimes as much as around 400pts up, and down to around 100pts minus mine have run so far and it has been just over one year now.
Click to expand...
I was thinking that too. If you have a similar day as yesterday, then you're as good as done for the month. That's an awful lot of racing to miss out on just because you had a good start.
 
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