Early days

[davejb]

Report for : 08/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 3/21 Odds: 4.5 18.0 7.0 (Return: 32.5)
Mkt filter 0/8 Odds: (Return: 0)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 5/10 Odds: 1.75 4.5 1.2 1.38 3.0 (Return: 16.83)
Mkt filter 2/3 Odds: 1.75 1.38 (Return: 5.13)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/7 Odds: 4.5 (Return: 5.5)
Mkt filter 0/1 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 0/6 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/2 Odds: (Return: 0)

Total Out = 44 Total return (raw) = 54.83
Total wins: 9 / 44
List of winners:
Ayr 13:05:00 Firewater 5.5
Ayr 14:40:00 Sassoon 19.0
Thu 14:45:00 Rebel Step (USA) 8.0
Thu 15:15:00 Salsa (IRE) 2.75
Thu 17:20:00 Arcadian Sunrise (IRE) 5.5
Che 18:00:00 Koepp 2.2
Sou 18:15:00 Macmerry Jim 2.38
Che 18:30:00 Baba Reza 4.0
Exe 16:00:00 Chief Brody 5.5

Okay I guess, decent number of winners.

Today there were 2 losers and a non runner from the selections.

Tomorrow:

Newmarket 14:20:00 [Flat] Group 3 [8f] Stks [[10] run]
84 * 42621 Van Gogh (USA) (Bf 4.33) Drawn 2/10 Colt
OBrien A P 10-35(8) Moore Ryan 4-31(15) Days : 13
dst jck OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
Flat non-handicap - passes FORM and ODDS - BET 7/2 2Fav
WR% = 16.0

Fairyhouse 17:00:00 [NH H] [18f] Hcap [[16] run]
70 * 07803F4 Call His Bluff (IRE) (Bf 6) Drawn 0/16 Gelding
Hennessy Niall Patrick 0-0(0) McNamara Conor 1-23(2) Days : 49
or
Passes: Odds
Fails: Form Stable
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 7/2 2Fav
WR% = 11.0

Dave

 

[davejb]

Report for : 09/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/16 Odds: 6.5 (Return: 7.5)
Mkt filter 0/6 Odds: (Return: 0)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/18 Odds: 2.25 8.0 (Return: 12.25)
Mkt filter 0/4 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/5 Odds: 6.5 (Return: 7.5)
Mkt filter 0/3 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 5/10 Odds: 1.0 0.67 0.36 0.57 10.0 (Return: 17.6)
Mkt filter 4/5 Odds: 1.0 0.67 0.36 0.57 (Return: 6.6)

Total Out = 49 Total return (raw) = 44.85
Total wins: 9 / 49
List of winners:
New 13:15:00 Nebulosa 3.25
Dun 17:30:00 Allagar (IRE) 9.0
Kem 18:45:00 Open Wide (USA) 7.5
Dow 13:45:00 Tullybeg (IRE) 2.0
Che 15:15:00 Mcfabulous (IRE) 1.67
Dow 15:25:00 Beacon Edge (IRE) 1.36
Che 15:50:00 Flic Ou Voyou (FR) 1.57
Che 17:25:00 The Mighty Don (IRE) 11.0
Che 17:55:00 From The Heart (IRE) 7.5

2 losers today, bah.

tomorrow:

Limerick 14:00:00 [NH H] [16f] Hcap [[8] run]
91 * 053P241 Annie Pender (IRE) (Bf 6) Drawn 0/8 Filly
Queally John 1-3(1) ORegan Denis 32-365(100) Days : 15
GNG DST JCK
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 4/1 2Fav
WR% = 21.0

Goodwood 14:25:00 [Flat] Class 4 [7f] Stks [[7] run]
66 * 4663 Farasi Lane (IRE) (Bf 4.5) Drawn 6/7 Gelding
Ward Tom 1-9(2) Bentley Harry 124-989(345) Days : 23
dst jck
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
Flat non-handicap - passes FORM and ODDS - BET 4/1 2Fav
WR% = 22.0


Dave

 

[davejb]

Report for : 10/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 2/20 Odds: 9.0 1.5 (Return: 12.5)
Mkt filter 2/9 Odds: 9.0 1.5 (Return: 12.5)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 3/14 Odds: 1.75 5.5 1.5 (Return: 11.75)
Mkt filter 1/3 Odds: 1.5 (Return: 2.5)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/11 Odds: 1.38 (Return: 2.38)
Mkt filter 1/7 Odds: 1.38 (Return: 2.38)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 1/7 Odds: 1.25 (Return: 2.25)
Mkt filter 0/2 Odds: (Return: 0)

Total Out = 52 Total return (raw) = 28.88
Total wins: 7 / 52
List of winners:
Lim 12:50:00 Improving (IRE) 2.75
New 13:10:00 Wobwobwob (IRE) 6.5
Lim 13:20:00 Alex D 2.5
Lim 16:40:00 Amlad (IRE) 10.0
Che 20:00:00 Power Of States (IRE) 2.5
Fai 14:40:00 Lord Lariat (IRE) 2.38
Che 15:22:00 Grand Sancy (FR) 2.25

Nothing special there then.

2 losers today, sorry.
tomorrow:

Kilbeggan 15:15:00 [NH H] [25f] Hcap [[14] run]
55 * 4322151 Rudy Catrail (IRE) (Bf 3) Drawn 0/14 Gelding
Sheehy E 0-4(2) Fenelon S 1-1(1) Days : 16
gng DST JCK OR
Passes: Form Odds
Fails: Stable
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 9/4 1Fav
WR% = 14.0
Dave

 

[davejb]

Report for : 11/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 0/7 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/2 Odds: (Return: 0)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 1/7 Odds: 3.0 (Return: 4.0)
Mkt filter 0/0 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/5 Odds: 6.0 (Return: 7.0)
Mkt filter 0/2 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 3/9 Odds: 0.36 2.0 14.0 (Return: 19.36)
Mkt filter 1/2 Odds: 0.36 (Return: 1.36)

Total Out = 28 Total return (raw) = 30.36
Total wins: 5 / 28
List of winners:
Goo 13:50:00 Caribou 4.0
New 13:45:00 Flic Ou Voyou (FR) 1.36
New 14:45:00 Al Dancer (FR) 3.0
Lim 16:00:00 Aforementioned (FR) 7.0
New 17:20:00 Onemorefortheroad 15.0

Okay.

Today's bet won at 9/4F (3/1 slightly before the off, I'm pleased to say), having front run and gone miles clear - as he'd won a couple just the same way already I was surprised they let him set a 20l lead up early on, as he certainly didn't look to be stopping when the post arrived.

Tomorrow:

Huntingdon 13:00:00 [NH C] Class 4 [20f] Hcap [[10] run]
87 * 0844891 Peur De Rien (FR) (Bf 7) Drawn 0/10 Gelding
Sherwood O 2-8(1) Bargary J P 0-4(0) Days : 41
GNG DST
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 100/30 1Fav
WR% = 12.0

Punchestown 14:50:00 [NH H] [16f] Stks [[8] run]
77 * 161U321 Scholastic (IRE) (Bf 3.5) Drawn 0/8 Filly
OBrien Joseph Patrick 5-51(13) Brown O R 0-3(0) Days : 14
gng DST jck OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 7/2 2Fav
WR% = 18.0

Dave

 

[davejb]

Report for : 12/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 4/21 Odds: 6.0 10.0 7.5 18.0 (Return: 45.5)
Mkt filter 1/16 Odds: 10.0 (Return: 11.0)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 0/10 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/4 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 2/2 Odds: 2.25 3.33 (Return: 7.58)
Mkt filter 2/2 Odds: 2.25 3.33 (Return: 7.58)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 1/4 Odds: 2.75 (Return: 3.75)
Mkt filter 0/2 Odds: (Return: 0)

Total Out = 37 Total return (raw) = 56.83
Total wins: 7 / 37
List of winners:
Win 15:10:00 Punchbowl Flyer (IRE) 7.0
Win 16:40:00 Waters Edge (IRE) 11.0
Wol 18:00:00 Klopp 8.5
Wol 20:30:00 Red For All 19.0
Kil 14:15:00 Santana Plessis (FR) 3.75
Kil 15:15:00 Rudy Catrail (IRE) 3.25
Kil 15:45:00 Myladyrose (IRE) 4.33

A good day.

One loser, one no bet from today's selections (no bet as against odds on fav).

Tomorrow:

Bath 15:20:00 [Flat] Listed Race [14f] Stks [[14] run]
83 * 1422322 Vivionn (Bf 5.5) Drawn 10/14 Filly
Stoute Sir Michael 2-25(8) Crowley Jim 3-29(11) Days : 34
gng dst jck OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
Flat non-handicap - passes FORM and ODDS - BET 7/2 1Fav
WR% = 42.0

Punchestown 15:25:00 [NH C] Grade 3 [24.5f] Stks [[8] run]
132 * 162P112 The Storyteller (IRE) (Bf 3.5) Drawn 0/8 Gelding
Elliott Gordon 15-65(17) Donoghue K M 3-25(5) Days : 11
DST JCK OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 5/2 1Fav
WR% = 18.0


Dave

 

[davejb]

Report for : 13/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 4/19 Odds: 1.5 2.0 4.5 12.0 (Return: 24.0)
Mkt filter 3/12 Odds: 1.5 2.0 12.0 (Return: 18.5)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 4/10 Odds: 1.25 2.75 2.25 6.0 (Return: 16.25)
Mkt filter 1/2 Odds: 2.25 (Return: 3.25)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/11 Odds: 1.1 (Return: 2.1)
Mkt filter 1/7 Odds: 1.1 (Return: 2.1)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/10 Odds: 0.36 0.67 (Return: 3.03)
Mkt filter 1/2 Odds: 0.36 (Return: 1.36)

Total Out = 50 Total return (raw) = 45.38
Total wins: 11 / 50
List of winners:
Lei 15:20:00 Ventura Diamond (IRE) 2.25
Lei 16:30:00 Song of The Isles (IRE) 3.75
New 16:45:00 Island Nation (IRE) 2.5
Wol 16:55:00 Peerless (IRE) 3.25
Wol 17:30:00 Flying Standard (IRE) 3.0
New 17:45:00 One Over Par 7.0
Wol 18:00:00 Kendergarten Kop (IRE) 5.5
New 18:45:00 Ulshaw Bridge (IRE) 13.0
Hun 12:30:00 Vegas Blue (IRE) 1.36
Her 14:23:00 Nevilles Cross (IRE) 2.1
Her 16:08:00 Benson 1.67

Well there were enough winners, not enough at decent odds though.

2 today, one of which won at 2/1 thankfully. Got a right load for tomorrow....

Carlisle 13:20:00 [NH H] Class 4 [17f] Stks [[11] run]
76 * 4064810 Blakeney Point (Bf 4.5) Drawn 0/11 Gelding
McCain Jnr D 1-16(1) Hughes Brian 5-38(18) Days : 57
GNG DST JCK OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 11/4 2Fav
WR% = 38.0

Wincanton 14:10:00 [NH H] Class 4 [15.5f] Stks [[11] run]
63 * 13154 Songo (IRE) (Bf 3.5) Drawn 0/11 Gelding
Harris M F 0-15(4) Woods K K 3-20(10) Days : 15
GNG OR
Passes: Odds
Fails: Form Stable
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 2/1 1Fav
WR% = 27.0

Tramore 14:53:00 [NH H] [21f] Hcap [[11] run]
71 * 5503673 Hopefully (IRE) (Bf 4.5) Drawn 0/11 Mare
Mullins W P 8-18(3) Townend P 5-16(9) Days : 25
gng dst jck
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 5/1 3Fav
WR% = 8.0

Tramore 15:28:00 [NH C] [16f] Stks [[11] run]
73 * 5888101 Itsalonglongroad (Bf 3.25) Drawn 0/11 Gelding
McConnell John C 5-47(6) Torrens Simon 3-43(12) Days : 27
GNG dst OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 7/2 1Fav
WR% = 21.0

Curragh 15:50:00 [Flat] [12f] Stks [[17] run]
57 * 0722 Fil The Power (Bf 5) Drawn 11/17 Gelding
Smith Matthew J 3-14(3) Keane C T 12-60(22) Days : 14
gng jck
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
Flat non-handicap - passes FORM and ODDS - BET 3/1 1Fav
WR% = 17.0

Dave

 

[pete]

Got a right load for tomorrow...

Gonna need a wheelbarrow to collect your winnings !
Well done today davejb

 

[davejb]

Report for : 14/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/13 Odds: 4.5 (Return: 5.5)
Mkt filter 1/8 Odds: 4.5 (Return: 5.5)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 1/10 Odds: 2.0 (Return: 3.0)
Mkt filter 0/5 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 2/7 Odds: 10.0 2.75 (Return: 14.75)
Mkt filter 1/5 Odds: 2.75 (Return: 3.75)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/7 Odds: 8.0 2.0 (Return: 12.0)
Mkt filter 1/1 Odds: 2.0 (Return: 3.0)

Total Out = 37 Total return (raw) = 35.25
Total wins: 6 / 37
List of winners:
Not 16:20:00 Wrenthorpe 5.5
Kem 18:30:00 State Occasion 3.0
Pun 13:45:00 Wait Here (IRE) 11.0
Wet 13:52:00 Historic Heart (IRE) 9.0
Pun 14:15:00 Red Gerry (IRE) 3.75
Pun 15:25:00 The Storyteller (IRE) 3.0

Close, but no coconut.

One winner at 100/30 today, so a small loss on the day - wheelbarrow returned to shed.
Tomorrow:

Haydock 12:40:00 [Flat] Class 5 [5f] Stks [[9] run]
61 * 0313102 Cuban Breeze (Bf 3.5) Drawn 6/9 Filly
Dascombe Tom 4-22(2) Kingscote Richard 4-25(6) Days : 10
DST JCK or
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
Flat non-handicap - passes FORM and ODDS - BET 5/2 1Fav
WR% = 27.0

Uttoxeter 13:20:00 [NH H] Class 4 [16f] Stks [[6] run]
74 * 322031 Naizagai (Bf 2.38) Drawn 0/6 Gelding
OBrien Fergal 6-19(9) Kendrick Max J P 1-7(5) Days : 70
gng JCK OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 13/8 2Fav
WR% = 25.0

Uttoxeter 15:23:00 [NH H] Class 5 [16f] Hcap [[12] run]
88 * 6052F21 Radjash (Bf 3.5) Drawn 0/12 Gelding
Carroll D 2-19(2) Dunne R T 4-22(7) Days : 12
gng DST JCK OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 3/1 2Fav
WR% = 13.0

Dave

 

[davejb]

Report for : 15/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 2/22 Odds: 10.0 9.0 (Return: 21.0)
Mkt filter 1/14 Odds: 10.0 (Return: 11.0)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 4/12 Odds: 0.83 2.25 1.63 2.25 (Return: 10.96)
Mkt filter 3/5 Odds: 0.83 2.25 1.63 (Return: 7.71)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 2/12 Odds: 3.33 8.5 (Return: 13.83)
Mkt filter 1/5 Odds: 3.33 (Return: 4.33)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 0/9 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/5 Odds: (Return: 0)

Total Out = 55 Total return (raw) = 45.79
Total wins: 8 / 55
List of winners:
Lin 14:00:00 Beautiful Bertie 1.83
Che 18:00:00 Fundamental 3.25
Sou 18:15:00 King Of Stars (IRE) 2.63
Che 19:00:00 Jean Baptiste (IRE) 3.25
Che 20:00:00 Tie A Yellowribbon 11.0
Sou 20:15:00 Gravity Force 10.0
Tra 14:53:00 Hopefully (IRE) 4.33
Win 17:05:00 Hahadi (IRE) 9.5

Nearly even.

3 losers for the selections today. times is 'ard....


Ballinrobe 14:40:00 [NH H] [22f] Stks [[8] run]
78 * 9553132 Fairyhill Run (IRE) (Bf 5) Drawn 0/8 Mare
Ryan John Patrick 1-18(5) OKeeffe Sean F 4-32(9) Days : 6
gng dst
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 100/30 1Fav
WR% = 19.0

Stratford 14:53:00 [NH C] Class 4 [20.5f] Hcap [[11] run]
92 * 4353271 Francky Du Berlais (FR) (Bf 5) Drawn 0/11 Gelding
Bowen P 2-11(2) Bowen James C 0-12(7) Days : 19
GNG dst or
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 7/2 1Fav
WR% = 13.0

Ballinrobe 15:15:00 [NH C] [23f] Stks [[6] run]
97 * 8110066 Oscar Academy (IRE) (Bf 3.5) Drawn 0/6 Gelding
Cromwell Gavin Patrick 3-42(8) Donoghue K M 5-33(8) Days : 10
DST OR
Passes: Stable Odds
Fails: Form
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 2/1 1Fav
WR% = 19.0

Market Rasen 15:21:00 [NH H] Class 3 [21.5f] Hcap [[9] run]
107 * 1240562 Midnights Gift (Bf 6.5) Drawn 0/9 Filly
King A 2-34(10) Cannon Tom J 3-22(6) Days : 18
GNG jck
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 11/2 3Fav
WR% = 11.0

Dave

 

[davejb]

Report for : 16/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/21 Odds: 6.5 (Return: 7.5)
Mkt filter 1/11 Odds: 6.5 (Return: 7.5)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/16 Odds: 0.29 5.5 (Return: 7.79)
Mkt filter 1/6 Odds: 0.29 (Return: 1.29)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 0/7 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/4 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 0/6 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/2 Odds: (Return: 0)

Total Out = 50 Total return (raw) = 15.29
Total wins: 3 / 50
List of winners:
Red 13:30:00 Senita 1.29
Red 15:05:00 Sassoon 7.5
Dun 19:45:00 Urban Beat (IRE) 6.5

Naah.


4 losers today - I think the generally lousy going is doing all sorts of nasties so I'll be watching the best without putting any money down until I see things improve.

Tomorrow:
Ffos Las 14:35:00 [NH C] Class 3 [21f] Stks [[3] run]
86 * 1126142 Emitom (IRE) (Bf 3) Drawn 0/3 Gelding
Greatrex W J 0-13(2) Heskin A P 2-21(5) Days : 14
gng jck or
Passes: Form Odds
Fails: Stable
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 15/8 2Fav
WR% = 29.0

Cork 15:17:00 [NH H] [19f] Hcap [[9] run]
103 * 03P0101 Gotthenod (IRE) (Bf 5) Drawn 0/9 Mare
Love Mrs D A 0-9(3) Torrens Simon 3-40(13) Days : 18
GNG DST JCK OR
Passes: Form Odds
Fails: Stable
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 7/2 1Fav
WR% = 11.0

 

[davejb]

Report for : 17/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 2/16 Odds: 8.0 20.0 (Return: 30.0)
Mkt filter 1/9 Odds: 8.0 (Return: 9.0)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 3/11 Odds: 5.0 2.75 6.5 (Return: 17.25)
Mkt filter 0/2 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/11 Odds: 4.5 (Return: 5.5)
Mkt filter 1/6 Odds: 4.5 (Return: 5.5)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 3/12 Odds: 1.38 1.1 2.75 (Return: 8.23)
Mkt filter 1/2 Odds: 1.38 (Return: 2.38)

Total Out = 50 Total return (raw) = 60.98
Total wins: 9 / 50
List of winners:
Leo 14:25:00 Surrounding (IRE) 6.0
Cat 14:35:00 Cable News 3.75
Cat 16:50:00 Erich Bloch (IRE) 9.0
Wol 18:30:00 Uncle Bernie (IRE) 21.0
Wol 20:30:00 Aim For The Stars 7.5
Str 12:43:00 The Bull Mccabe (IRE) 2.38
Mar 14:11:00 Aggy With It (IRE) 2.1
Mar 15:56:00 Le Patriote (FR) 3.75
Mar 16:31:00 Fidux (FR) 5.5

Much better.

Today we had two losers, I watched both and backed neither. Meanwhile I am compiling a back catalogue of ratings using my own standard times and hope to be able to compare them with the original Racing Post standard time based ratings fairly soon.

Tomorrow: No bets. (Not that I'd have backed them anyway, like).

Dave

 

[Chesham]

Well done davejb

 

[davejb]

Report for : 18/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 0/4 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/2 Odds: (Return: 0)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 1/5 Odds: 3.33 (Return: 4.33)
Mkt filter 0/1 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 2/13 Odds: 2.0 6.5 (Return: 10.5)
Mkt filter 1/6 Odds: 2.0 (Return: 3.0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 4/15 Odds: 2.5 1.88 0.5 3.0 (Return: 11.88)
Mkt filter 4/8 Odds: 2.5 1.88 0.5 3.0 (Return: 11.88)

Total Out = 37 Total return (raw) = 26.71
Total wins: 7 / 37
List of winners:
Naa 13:55:00 Elizabethan (USA) 4.33
Ffo 13:30:00 Estelle Ma Belle (FR) 3.5
Cor 13:35:00 Fest Deiz (FR) 2.88
Ffo 14:00:00 Lots Of Luck (IRE) 3.0
Kem 16:43:00 Sunrise Ruby (IRE) 1.5
Sed 17:10:00 Beach Break 7.5
Cor 17:30:00 On Eagles Wings (IRE) 4.0

Another so-so day there.

no bets today of course, and I suspect both of tomorrow's will be odds on/no bets.

Tomorrow:

Exeter 13:40:00 [NH H] Class 4 [17f] Stks [[9] run]
85 * 21322 Shantou Express (IRE) (Bf 2.1) Drawn 0/9 Gelding
Bailey K C 6-23(4) Bass David 6-21(9) Days : 16
DST
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 8/11 1Fav
WR% = 27.0

Exeter 15:25:00 [NH C] Class 3 [17f] Stks [[3] run]
116 * 7221P32 Zoffee (Bf 1.8) Drawn 0/3 Gelding
Hobbs P J 1-38(10) Johnson Richard 4-39(17) Days : 19
GNG DST jck OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 4/6 1Fav
WR% = 27.0

Dave

 

[davejb]

Report for : 19/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 2/22 Odds: 4.0 3.33 (Return: 9.33)
Mkt filter 2/10 Odds: 4.0 3.33 (Return: 9.33)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 0/12 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/5 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 0/5 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/3 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 1/1 Odds: 0.67 (Return: 1.67)
Mkt filter 1/1 Odds: 0.67 (Return: 1.67)

Total Out = 40 Total return (raw) = 11.0
Total wins: 3 / 40
List of winners:
Win 15:30:00 Rains Of Castamere 5.0
Win 16:00:00 Espresso Freddo (IRE) 4.33
Plu 14:10:00 Pisgah Pike (IRE) 1.67

Grotty

No bets today, both selections were odds on - they won at 1/5 and 8/13

tomorrow:

Hereford 13:15:00 [NH H] Class 4 [16f] Stks [[13] run]
93 * 23991 Timetoroe (IRE) (Bf 4) Drawn 0/13 Mare
Watson Archie 4-12(0) Hampson Brodie 1-3(1) Days : 57
DST JCK OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 7/2 2Fav
WR% = 39.0

Gowran Park 14:20:00 [Flat] [7f] Stks [[9] run]
52 * 95225 Royal Blend (Bf 2.25) Drawn 3/9 (P) Filly
OBrien Joseph Patrick 8-66(15) McMonagle Dylan B 4-31(13) Days : 18
gng dst jck
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
Flat non-handicap - passes FORM and ODDS - BET 8/11 1Fav
WR% = 25.0

Dave

 

[davejb]

Report for : 21/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/7 Odds: 12.0 (Return: 13.0)
Mkt filter 0/4 Odds: (Return: 0)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 6/16 Odds: 3.5 2.0 8.0 1.0 0.73 0.44 (Return: 21.67)
Mkt filter 4/10 Odds: 3.5 2.0 1.0 0.44 (Return: 10.94)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/7 Odds: 6.5 (Return: 7.5)
Mkt filter 0/3 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 1/6 Odds: 1.38 (Return: 2.38)
Mkt filter 1/2 Odds: 1.38 (Return: 2.38)

Total Out = 36 Total return (raw) = 44.55
Total wins: 9 / 36
List of winners:
New 14:10:00 Pied Piper 4.5
Gow 16:35:00 Actuary 3.0
Kem 16:40:00 Grey Sparkle (IRE) 9.0
Kem 17:45:00 Looktotherainbow 2.0
Kem 18:15:00 Quintillus 1.73
Kem 18:45:00 Noble Dynasty 1.44
Kem 20:15:00 Fard 13.0
Her 15:00:00 Atlantic Storm (IRE) 7.5
Fon 17:30:00 Ucanaver 2.38

Ooops, a small win there....

Today's selections continue the miserable run, one winner at 6/4, another winner was odds on so no bet. I'm still watching rather than betting, not least because I'm just starting to get my new version ratings going - I have rated races back to 31 Aug 2020 (there's not a huge point in going back further right now as the flat is ending and NH only really just starting up) so as they get bedded in and I can rework a few things when silly numbers come up I'm hoping there'll be a useful comparison with the two sets of figures. Obviously, considering the amount of work that has been involved, I'd rather like the new version to do well, but there's no guarantees.......

tomorrow:

Cheltenham 14:25:00 [NH C] Class 2 [25f] Stks [[6] run]
107 * F422111 Galvin (IRE) (Bf 3) Drawn 0/6 Gelding
Elliott Gordon 12-60(18) Power R M 1-23(8) Days : 19
GNG
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 2/1 1Fav
WR% = 19.0

Sligo 15:08:00 [NH H] [17.5f] Hcap [[12] run]
91 * 8065922 Paulas Prayer (IRE) (Bf 6) Drawn 0/12 Mare
ODwyer Conor 1-11(2) Doyle R A 0-11(1) Days : 23
jck
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 11/2 3Fav
WR% = 8.0

Sligo 15:43:00 [NH H] [20f] Stks [[12] run]
77 * 98568 Shes All Vintage (IRE) (Bf 999) Drawn 0/12 Mare
Magee Patrick 0-2(0) 0-0(0) Days : 9
Passes: Odds
Fails: Form Stable
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 5/2 1Fav
WR% = 30.0

Sligo 16:18:00 [NH H] [20f] Hcap [[12] run]
71 * 0709074 Roses Queen (IRE) (Bf 3.75) Drawn 0/12 Mare
ODwyer Conor 1-11(2) Doyle R A 0-11(1) Days : 16
Passes: Stable Odds
Fails: Form
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 11/4 1Fav
WR% = 8.0

Dundalk 18:15:00 [AW] [8f] Stks [[14] run]
63 * 83452 Zozimus (IRE) (Bf 3) Drawn 16/14 Colt
Obrien Donnacha 1-6(0) Ryan Gavin 4-45(12) Days : 26
dst jck
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
AW non-handicap - passes FORM and ODDS - BET 2/1 1Fav
WR% = 23.0

Newcastle AW 19:30:00 [AW] Class 5 [8f] Stks [[8] run]
72 * 5232 Starshiba (Bf 999) Drawn 4/8 Colt
Elsworth D R C 0-2(0) 0-0(0) Days : 29
gng or
Passes: Form Odds
Fails: Stable
AW non-handicap - passes FORM and ODDS - BET 5/2 1Fav
WR% = 24.0

I'm a bit surprised so many are coming up just now - some of the above look to me to be less than inspiring, but as I'm not betting on them I'll see how things turn out.

Dave

 

[Markmooney1173]

Hi Dave, I have been trying to look at using the method used here for greyhound racing, is there anyone I should talk to or read as I can’t seem to find anything online??

 

[davejb]

Crikey, that's a tough one! There's not really a 'how to' thread on here, just a few of us comparing notes as we potter along. I 'did' Belle Vue for a while a couple of years back but found the returns just weren't that great - it simply boils down to having the data you need in some form you'll be able to process, then your chosen method of handicapping has to be sorted, that's knowing how to turn results into rating as well as knowing how to actually compile the ratings in a useable format. Throw in the requirement for being able to plug away for however long each day to actually keep it all turning over.

Do you have a source of data? I used to 'scrape' results from
Results | Greyhound Board of Great Britain

-which was a bit time consuming, it's doable but you need to be able to program or teach Excel how to grab data or similar. It's not something you can get other people to do for you if you go that route, because website coding can change and if you haven't written the scraping program yourself then all you know is it stopped working.

Not something I have the spare time for any more, the horses keep me more than busy enough I'm afraid. There might be greyhound punters around, but I've not encountered anyone doing the sort of thing me, thebluesbrother, and Outlander do for the horses.

Dave

 

[davejb]

Report for : 22/10/2020
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/15 Odds: 2.5 (Return: 3.5)
Mkt filter 1/9 Odds: 2.5 (Return: 3.5)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/9 Odds: 1.5 2.75 (Return: 6.25)
Mkt filter 0/3 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/17 Odds: 3.33 (Return: 4.33)
Mkt filter 1/12 Odds: 3.33 (Return: 4.33)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/14 Odds: 0.53 0.62 (Return: 3.15)
Mkt filter 2/4 Odds: 0.53 0.62 (Return: 3.15)

Total Out = 55 Total return (raw) = 17.23
Total wins: 6 / 55
List of winners:
Nav 13:20:00 Colfer Kay (IRE) 2.5
Nav 14:30:00 Tide Of Time 3.5
Wol 19:15:00 Khabib (IRE) 3.75
Car 14:15:00 Ribble Valley (IRE) 1.53
Lud 14:35:00 Wynn House 1.62
Lin 17:15:00 Desque De Lisle (FR) 4.33

Pretty pants that.
Today's selections were a bit of a turn up - the first three won (2 at 2/1, one at 16/5), the next two came second, and the last one was a non runner. It would be nice if this was the turning point at last.

Tomorrow:

Doncaster 14:55:00 [Flat] Group 1 [8f] Stks [[9] run]
87 * 322122 Wembley (IRE) (Bf 2.88) Drawn 6/9 Colt
OBrien A P 9-63(13) Moore Ryan 3-42(16) Days : 14
DST jck OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
Flat non-handicap - passes FORM and ODDS - BET 13/8 1Fav
WR% = 24.0

Leopardstown 16:14:00 [Flat] Listed Race [10f] Stks [[14] run]
84 * 314422 Amma Grace (IRE) (Bf 4) Drawn 9/14 Filly
Weld D K 2-28(6) Orr Oisin 1-41(7) Days : 41
GNG dst JCK or
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
Flat non-handicap - passes FORM and ODDS - BET 4/1 1Fav
WR% = 21.0

Kelso 16:18:00 [NH C] Class 5 [17.5f] Hcap [[11] run]
65 * 1383676 Cedar Hill (IRE) (Bf 17) Drawn 0/11 Gelding
Thomson A M 0-12(5) Mania Ryan 1-20(6) Days : 39
dst
Passes: Odds
Fails: Form Stable
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 11/2 2Fav
WR% = 16.0

Galway 16:32:00 [NH H] [21f] Hcap [[18] run]
81 * 2336033 Yeats Encore (IRE) (Bf 6.5) Drawn 0/18 Mare
Dunleavy Mrs Y 0-1(0) OKeeffe Darragh 1-29(8) Days : 17
gng jck or
Passes: Form Odds
Fails: Stable
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 13/2 3Fav
WR% = 17.0

Dave

 

[pete]

nice results today davejb , money down or not .. the results show you are right there with your numbers.

 

[Chesham]

Well done davejb