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Early days

davejb

Mare
yesterday:
Report for : 30/11/2019
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 4/12 Odds: 4.0 11.0 2.75 25.0 (Return: 46.75)
Mkt filter 2/4 Odds: 11.0 2.75 (Return: 15.75)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/5 Odds: 6.0 0.8 (Return: 8.8)
Mkt filter 1/1 Odds: 6.0 (Return: 7.0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/15 Odds: 4.0 (Return: 5.0)
Mkt filter 0/9 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/15 Odds: 10.0 1.38 (Return: 13.38)
Mkt filter 0/7 Odds: (Return: 0)

Total Out = 47 Total return (raw) = 73.93
Total wins: 9 / 47

Well that's an improvement.

today:
One bet, Cerberus, who won quite readily having led all the way, and very pleasing to watch! I got 13/8 about half 11 ish, I believe he opened on track at 7/4, while watching the run up to the race I saw 6/4 before he got backed iinto 5/4 joint favourite so getting better than 5/4 (a shorter price than I saw on Racing TV prior to start, again) ought to have been straightforward for anyone wanting to back him.


tomorrow:

Plumpton 13:00:00 [NH C] Class 3 [17f] Stks [[5] run]
106 * 1228543 Lisp (IRE) (Bf 1.62) Drawn 0/5 Gelding
King A 1-33(9) Bellamy Mr T 2-17(3) Days : 12
GNG DST or
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 1/4 1Fav
WR% = 28.0

Plumpton 14:00:00 [NH H] Class 4 [16f] Stks [[9] run]
94 * 8104612 Neff (GER) (Bf 3) Drawn 0/9 Gelding
Moore G L 2-39(11) Moore Mr Joshua 0-19(5) Days : 30
GNG dst JCK OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 7/4 1Fav
WR% = 28.0

One bet probably, weather willing.
Dave
 

Attachments

yesterday:
Report for : 30/11/2019
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 4/12 Odds: 4.0 11.0 2.75 25.0 (Return: 46.75)
Mkt filter 2/4 Odds: 11.0 2.75 (Return: 15.75)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/5 Odds: 6.0 0.8 (Return: 8.8)
Mkt filter 1/1 Odds: 6.0 (Return: 7.0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/15 Odds: 4.0 (Return: 5.0)
Mkt filter 0/9 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/15 Odds: 10.0 1.38 (Return: 13.38)
Mkt filter 0/7 Odds: (Return: 0)

Total Out = 47 Total return (raw) = 73.93
Total wins: 9 / 47

Well that's an improvement.

today:
One bet, Cerberus, who won quite readily having led all the way, and very pleasing to watch! I got 13/8 about half 11 ish, I believe he opened on track at 7/4, while watching the run up to the race I saw 6/4 before he got backed iinto 5/4 joint favourite so getting better than 5/4 (a shorter price than I saw on Racing TV prior to start, again) ought to have been straightforward for anyone wanting to back him.


tomorrow:

Plumpton 13:00:00 [NH C] Class 3 [17f] Stks [[5] run]
106 * 1228543 Lisp (IRE) (Bf 1.62) Drawn 0/5 Gelding
King A 1-33(9) Bellamy Mr T 2-17(3) Days : 12
GNG DST or
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 1/4 1Fav
WR% = 28.0

Plumpton 14:00:00 [NH H] Class 4 [16f] Stks [[9] run]
94 * 8104612 Neff (GER) (Bf 3) Drawn 0/9 Gelding
Moore G L 2-39(11) Moore Mr Joshua 0-19(5) Days : 30
GNG dst JCK OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 7/4 1Fav
WR% = 28.0

One bet probably, weather willing.
Dave
Superb ratings on Saturday again , amazing accuracy, well done
 

davejb

Mare
Sorry to be late, we've been watching Les Miserables at the cinema, one of those things where they project the show into cinemas and you get to sit among a lot of old ladies who are, apparently, placed there specifically to discuss each song and singers merits immediately each song is finished. Percussion courtesy of the popcorn eating fraternity.
<Grumpy mode> = off
yesterday:
Report for : 01/12/2019
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 0/0 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/0 Odds: (Return: 0)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 0/0 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/0 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 0/3 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/1 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 1/6 Odds: 1.25 (Return: 2.25)
Mkt filter 1/1 Odds: 1.25 (Return: 2.25)

Total Out = 9 Total return (raw) = 2.25
Total wins: 1 / 9

Not unusual for a day with so few races, for some reason they always seem to produce minimal results.

today - Lisp won in a canter by miles, but at 2/13 was not overburdened by, for example, having any of my cash on his back. An hour later Neff fought the length of the run in right up to the post to try to hold off the favourite but failed to do so by a neck ... I would say 'he lost nothing in defeat' but I did, so I won't.

tomorrow - take the day off, no bets.

We're heading into that period when the racing kind of dies off a bit as everyone has their eye on a decent target for boxing day, hopefully the ensuing glut of fairly low grade fare and indifferent fields will offer some good opportunities up....

wednesday might also be a 'late posting' day as we're off to Haydock Park for the afternoon, we'll see how things go but I should get everything done a bit earlier than I managed tonight.

Dave
 

Attachments

ArkRoyal

Administrator
Sorry to be late, we've been watching Les Miserables at the cinema, one of those things where they project the show into cinemas and you get to sit among a lot of old ladies who are, apparently, placed there specifically to discuss each song and singers merits immediately each song is finished. Percussion courtesy of the popcorn eating fraternity.
:lol:
 

davejb

Mare
yesterday:
Report for : 02/12/2019
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 0/9 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/4 Odds: (Return: 0)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 0/1 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/1 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 0/3 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/0 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 1/4 Odds: 0.15 (Return: 1.15)
Mkt filter 1/2 Odds: 0.15 (Return: 1.15)

Total Out = 17 Total return (raw) = 1.15
Total wins: 1 / 17

Very nearly a total blank there.

today: No bets

tomorrow:

Haydock 13:55:00 [NH C] Class 2 [21.5f] Stks [[4] run]
91 * U2221 Champagne Mystery (IRE) (Bf 3) Drawn 0/4 Gelding
Henderson N J 9-41(13) Boinville Mr N de 4-26(11) Days : 25
GNG dst JCK
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 13/8 1Fav
WR% = 33.0

Ludlow 14:40:00 [NH C] Class 3 [24f] Stks [[5] run]
105 * 4116423 Tidal Flow (Bf 3) Drawn 0/5 Gelding
Hobbs P J 5-32(5) Johnson Richard 4-37(10) Days : 46
GNG JCK or
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 2/1 2Fav
WR% = 24.0

I'll be there to watch Champagne Mystery in the flesh, so let's hope he romps home.... I suppose with my luck he'll be odds on by the time the betting show begins....

Dave
 

Attachments

davejb

Mare
yesterday:
Report for : 03/12/2019
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/8 Odds: 1.75 (Return: 2.75)
Mkt filter 1/5 Odds: 1.75 (Return: 2.75)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 3/8 Odds: 2.0 5.0 3.5 (Return: 13.5)
Mkt filter 1/1 Odds: 2.0 (Return: 3.0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 0/7 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/3 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 1/5 Odds: 1.38 (Return: 2.38)
Mkt filter 0/0 Odds: (Return: 0)

Total Out = 28 Total return (raw) = 18.63
Total wins: 5 / 28

Slight improvment...

today:
Champagne Mystic was trounced, I was there to watch it....crying gently.....

tomorrow:

Wincanton 12:55:00 [NH H] Class 4 [21.5f] Stks [[15] run]
104 * 1346234 Kissesforkatie (IRE) (Bf 4.5) Drawn 0/15 Mare
Scott J 1-12(3) Scholfield Nick 2-24(5) Days : 30
gng dst JCK
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 3/1 1Fav
WR% = 27.0

Market Rasen 13:05:00 [NH H] Class 4 [17f] Hcap [[13] run]
94 * 3226232 Evas Diva (IRE) (Bf 4) Drawn 0/13 Mare
MiddletonP W 0-0(0) Todd C J 2-10(5) Days : 16
dst or
Passes: Form Odds
Fails: Stable
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 11/4 1Fav
WR% = 13.0

Clonmel 13:10:00 [NH H] [19f] Hcap [[14] run]
58 * 5295495 Capture The Action (IRE) (Bf 7) Drawn 0/14 Mare
Mangan James Joseph 0-5(1) Brown O R 1-6(2) Days : 14

Passes: Odds
Fails: Form Stable
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 11/4 1Fav
WR% = 11.0

Kempton AW 16:00:00 [AW] Class 5 [6f] Stks [[6] run]
57 * 4252 Amarillo Star (IRE) (Bf 2.5) Drawn 6/6 (P) Colt
Fellowes Charlie 0-3(1) Donohoe Stephen 0-7(0) Days : 50
dst jck or
Passes: Form Odds
Fails: Stable
AW non-handicap - passes FORM and ODDS - BET 5/4 1Fav
WR% = 20.0

A really nice day at Haydock, if you ignore the drink prices and picking losers, a big thumbs up for the steak pie, mushy peas and gravy deal for five pound something, it went down a treat. Lovely weather, I took some photos, I might even post one if I ever get the hang of sending photos from my phone. There's a cracking statue of Lester Piggot there, it shows him aboard his first and last winners (in UK) - The Chase (1948) and Palace Gate Jack ... at Haydock. Search for 'Lester - from start to finish' by William Newton. I confess he is still probably my all time favourite jockey, although by the time I saw him ride in the mid 70's he wasn't quite the young dynamo of the previous decade..... he still rode some fantastic races but seemed to have quietened down a bit.
Nice to see an Injured Jockeys Fund 'stand' there selling stuff - perhaps sitting at a table in the entrance to a toilet block wasn't the most picturesque spot but it guaranteed a lot of people passing by during the afternoon. I picked up a nice warm scarf for my next winter meeting - I bought one a few days back and it turned out to be about as long as Tom Baker's Doctor Who scarf, so I thought I'd have a shorter one for racing and keep the mile long one for dog walking duties - I also bought a diary as it's a good cause..... I'm now trying to figure out what I'll do with it as I last kept a diary as a teacher, recording info about lessons, and swore to put all that behind me on retirement. I use a calendar as a timepiece these days. Diaries are for people who have appointments and stuff.

Oh well....

Dave
 

Attachments

davejb

Mare
yesterday:
Report for : 04/12/2019
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/9 Odds: 4.0 (Return: 5.0)
Mkt filter 1/2 Odds: 4.0 (Return: 5.0)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/6 Odds: 22.0 4.5 (Return: 28.5)
Mkt filter 0/0 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 1/3 Odds: 14.0 (Return: 15.0)
Mkt filter 0/0 Odds: (Return: 0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/4 Odds: 1.5 0.91 (Return: 4.41)
Mkt filter 1/1 Odds: 0.91 (Return: 1.91)

Total Out = 22 Total return (raw) = 52.91
Total wins: 6 / 22

Rather better.

today:
3 runners, a winner at evens, a second at 9/1, and a 4th.

tomorrow:

Sandown 12:45:00 [NH H] Class 2 [16f] Stks [[9] run]
78 * 9801111 Goshen (FR) (Bf 2.63) Drawn 0/9 Gelding
Moore G L 1-33(3) Moore Jamie 0-24(4) Days : 19
GNG JCK OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 4/5 1Fav
WR% = 21.0

Sandown 13:55:00 [NH C] Class 3 [20f] Hcap [[10] run]
111 * 2251413 Canelo (IRE) (Bf 8) Drawn 0/10 Gelding
King A 2-30(8) Bellamy Mr T 2-17(2) Days : 26
GNG DST OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 7/2 1Fav
WR% = 12.0

Exeter 14:05:00 [NH H] Class 4 [23.5f] Hcap [[7] run]
83 * 198021 Those Tiger Feet (IRE) (Bf 3) Drawn 0/7 Gelding
Bailey K C 2-20(6) Curtis Ned 1-5(2) Days : 31
GNG OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 13/8 1Fav
WR% = 8.0

Dave
 

Attachments

davejb

Mare
yesterday:
Report for : 05/12/2019
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 0/5 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/3 Odds: (Return: 0)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 4/8 Odds: 0.25 2.75 1.38 3.5 (Return: 11.88)
Mkt filter 2/3 Odds: 0.25 1.38 (Return: 3.63)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 2/17 Odds: 3.0 7.0 (Return: 12.0)
Mkt filter 2/11 Odds: 3.0 7.0 (Return: 12.0)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/13 Odds: 3.33 1.0 (Return: 6.33)
Mkt filter 0/2 Odds: (Return: 0)

Total Out = 43 Total return (raw) = 30.21
Total wins: 8 / 43

2 steps forward, one step back....

today:
The long odds on 'no bet' cantered in, the other two 'bets' are still running I think.

tomorrow:

Wetherby 12:40:00 [NH C] Class 4 [20f] Hcap [[14] run]
72 * 3559443 Warendorf (FR) (Bf 4.5) Drawn 0/14 Gelding
Coltherd W S 1-4(1) Day Mr R D 0-11(0) Days : 17
dst or
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 4/1 2Fav
WR% = 12.0

Aintree 14:05:00 [NH H] Listed Race [17.5f] Stks [[14] run]
78 * 32141 Midnights Gift (Bf 3.25) Drawn 0/14 Filly
King A 3-32(11) Cannon Mr T J 1-23(8) Days : 38
JCK OR
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 11/4 1Fav
WR% = 22.0

Chepstow 14:30:00 [NH C] Class 3 [23.5f] Hcap [[10] run]
92 * P035783 Shannon Bridge (IRE) (Bf 7.5) Drawn 0/10 Gelding
Skelton Daniel 8-52(9) Shoemark Mr C P 1-7(2) Days : 41
GNG DST or
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 9/2 2Fav
WR% = 17.0


Dave
 

Attachments

davejb

Mare
Odds on selections don't win anything like as often as they ought to - that's why I classify them as 'no bets' - there's probably the basis for a good lay system in them.
Dave
 

davejb

Mare
yesterday:
Report for : 06/12/2019
Flat Handicaps
Raw ratings: 0/10 Odds: (Return: 0)
Mkt filter 0/3 Odds: (Return: 0)

Flat Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 1/6 Odds: 2.25 (Return: 3.25)
Mkt filter 1/2 Odds: 2.25 (Return: 3.25)

NH Handicaps
Raw ratings: 2/12 Odds: 2.25 1.25 (Return: 5.5)
Mkt filter 2/8 Odds: 2.25 1.25 (Return: 5.5)

NH Non - Handicaps
Raw ratings 2/8 Odds: 0.33 0.25 (Return: 2.58)
Mkt filter 2/4 Odds: 0.33 0.25 (Return: 2.58)

Total Out = 36 Total return (raw) = 11.33
Total wins: 5 / 36

Oops.

today:
Three bets, 2 winners - one at 5/2 and one at 15/8 (which I got 5/2 on, making the maths rather simple for the day.
Overall the bank went up and down and ended up 1pt down on the week - which is rather a lot of effort for not much at the end of it, isn't it?

tomorrow:

Kelso 12:15:00 [NH H] Class 4 [16f] Stks [[13] run]
95 * 2422 Ask Himself (IRE) (Bf 2.88) Drawn 0/13 Gelding
Scudamore M J 3-9(0) Powell Brendan 1-5(2) Days : 26
gng dst jck
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 5/4 1Fav
WR% = 31.0

Kelso 12:45:00 [NH C] Class 3 [23.5f] Stks [[6] run]
107 * 6141141 Two For Gold (IRE) (Bf 2.88) Drawn 0/6 Gelding
Bailey K C 1-16(5) Bass Mr D R 0-21(9) Days : 35
GNG DST JCK
Passes: Form Stable Odds
Fails:
NH non-handicap - passes ODDS - BET 5/4 1Fav
WR% = 31.0

Kelso 15:15:00 [NH H] Class 4 [22.5f] Hcap [[14] run]
80 * 665P92 Chosen Flame (IRE) (Bf 11) Drawn 0/14 Gelding
Dobbin Mrs R 0-3(1) Nichol Craig 2-15(3) Days : 25
jck or
Passes: Form Odds
Fails: Stable
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 5/1 2Fav
WR% = 18.0

Huntingdon 15:30:00 [NH C] Class 4 [23.5f] Hcap [[13] run]
70 * 5043312 Oscar Ceremony (IRE) (Bf 5) Drawn 0/13 Gelding
Keniry Stef 0-4(1) Johnson Richard 2-40(9) Days : 29
GNG DST OR
Passes: Form Odds
Fails: Stable
NH Handicap - passes ODDS - BET 11/2 3Fav
WR% = 12.0


Dave
 

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