Some good thoughts above with the worthy objective of seeking to make best use of what we have. Even when the ratings used are of our own creation we will still be on a learning curve Re why they are working, when and where.That's a nice thought, but over any length of time the ratings will show a level stakes loss - like most things you get good days and bad. The point isn't to hope that the good days (and winners) will become more frequent but to figure out why the ratings work out when they do - find the common factors amongst the winners, and look to see if those winning pointers are absent when the ratings get it wrong, and we might then start finding ways to identify the races to follow the ratings in.
Never got the early lead and was picked off easy enough, but did look handy 1f out.Hard luck @pete - you must have thought you were on a winner 1f out.
Your ratings are a fantastic guide imo, just today last 3 races at Kempton 25/1 top rated 45/1 on betfair , then 8/1 2nd top rated wins then another 2nd top horse wins at 20/1, I’ve managed to royally mess up today and missed them all , but just a few days ago you had Roller 33/1 winner at Wolves and did had a small bet on that at huge odds on betdaq, your ratings give me a lot of pleasure in since I started following them , honestly I only showing modest profit but that’s much better than I was doing pre-race before I stated using the ratings, I tend to just pick and choose a few big prices in flat handicaps but and I found your ratings the best way to occasionally land on one.Today though I concentrated on Chelmsford for my bets so kicking myself. Well done again.Hi @hedgehog
There have been some good days recently, but over the whole 2 years or so of doing the ratings I know they are a little bit down - not a huge amount, but definitely not in profit. Like (I suspect) most ratings systems there are periods of going through the doldrums, I tend to notice this most when the going turns heavy although I suspect any period of going change probably kicks in a spell of poor returns .... a wet spring going into a nice June would probably see lots of soft going runners suddenly being trounced by those preferring firmer.
It's not something I worry about though, as I figure that the profits will come from cherry picking the top rated runners to find the few that win each day. Yesterday for example there were three winners, one odds on but two at 4/1 and 9/2 - all I need is a crystal ball to spot those two in amongst the rest!
And Wimpole Hall in the last at Chelmsford just another 20/1 winner to round off the day in style for your ratings, superb stuff DaveHi @Outlander
As ever I am pleased to hear that somebody is making good use of the work, and you epitomise my point about what I consider to be the purpose of the ratings - nobody will get rich from backing every top rated runner (I am quite surprised to see that going broke would be a fairly slow process) but if you choose a bit of an angle to follow then you can do quite well with them. Each individual is free to choose the best way to make use of them, and it's good to see people doing that.