@db1 these were my times for the winners on Thursday. On my scale the figures are more generous, its worth adding that unlike others I have more than one going allowance for each meeting, and if any race is an obvious outlier I afford greater weight to the expected time rather than what it actually achieved, which is where my GA1/GA2 columns come into it, so they tell me whether the rating would go up or down if I actually gave greater weight to the going allowance for the track on the day. Again my scale gives a positive rather than negative allowance for slower going, so I'm anticipating a lower GA when I rate yesterday's performances.
This was an astonishingly slow track as I read it, I've found this to be the slowest going at Newcastle since 2 August 2020, and its the slowest by a good 0.25 seconds per furlong. It'd be no surprise when I do my figures to find it rode a bit quicker yesterday.
Like you I've got Confrontational coming out of that meeting very nicely indeed. Not quite the same magnitudes of difference across the board but you've basically confirmed my take on the performances of Shaykhoon and Miss Nay Never.
