AustinDillon75
Yearling
I've posted in this sub-forum before so if its in the wrong place please do move.
What I've got is two set of predictions. They all relate to AW Handicaps at Wolverhampton, run between 2016 and 2018.
I've got HRB rankings, which are customised and levelled, to say this:
So the top ranked win 20.9% of the time and return a loss of -6.4%.
For the same set of races, I've taken the SPs, which are completely independent of the HRB data, and it comes out with this:

So the top rated horse wins 30.4% of the time and returns a loss of 1.6%.
Given both predictions are completely independent of one another, I'm convinced I can improve on this. I'll return later with ideas on how, but if anyone else has thoughts I'd welcome them.
What I've got is two set of predictions. They all relate to AW Handicaps at Wolverhampton, run between 2016 and 2018.
I've got HRB rankings, which are customised and levelled, to say this:

So the top ranked win 20.9% of the time and return a loss of -6.4%.
For the same set of races, I've taken the SPs, which are completely independent of the HRB data, and it comes out with this:

So the top rated horse wins 30.4% of the time and returns a loss of 1.6%.
Given both predictions are completely independent of one another, I'm convinced I can improve on this. I'll return later with ideas on how, but if anyone else has thoughts I'd welcome them.