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Cheltenham 25

Champion hdl

I've yet to be convinced CONSTITUTIONAL HILL is the same horse as the one that beat everything on offer easily a few years ago, certainly his win lto told us nothing.
Prior to that he beat LOSSIEMOUTH about 3L with BURDETT ROAD about 8L back in 3rd, my view is LOSSIE didn't run to her best, perhaps the 2m and the ground a little too quick but at the very least i think you could argue with no STATE MAN , SIR GINO or any other serious contender in there the race didn't necessarily tell us CH was back to his best, wouldn't want to discount him by any means just questioning the form.

BRIGHTERDAYSAHEAD was sensational last time out where she had STATE MAN over 30Ls behind in 3rd, question here is did STATE MAN run his race and because he couldn't even beat WINTER FOG there's a reasonable chance he didn't but my theory here is elliot used a pacemaker that shattered all but the mare.


Those sectionals confirm i believe she was the only horse that could cope and despite keeping tabs with her stablemate KING OF KINGSFIELD was faster in all of the last 3f to win in a time of 3m.45.20s.
Will she take her chance ?
Well i've no idea but do note that her pacemaker is entered in the race .
The outcome of the STATE MAN v LOSSIEMOUTH might shed more light on the race today and if STATE MAN at the very least holds his own against her then surely that would be a boost for BRIGHTERDAYSAHEAD.

ps... Many times in the past the champion hurdle has thrown up some memorable races but this mares race has undermined it in recent years, even SIR GINO might have had a go if he was with a different trainer but it's not to be.
 
I think they are doing everything in their power to hide the fact he’s as good as ever and I’m expecting a special performance.
 
Champion hdl

I've yet to be convinced CONSTITUTIONAL HILL is the same horse as the one that beat everything on offer easily a few years ago, certainly his win lto told us nothing.
Prior to that he beat LOSSIEMOUTH about 3L with BURDETT ROAD about 8L back in 3rd, my view is LOSSIE didn't run to her best, perhaps the 2m and the ground a little too quick but at the very least i think you could argue with no STATE MAN , SIR GINO or any other serious contender in there the race didn't necessarily tell us CH was back to his best, wouldn't want to discount him by any means just questioning the form.

BRIGHTERDAYSAHEAD was sensational last time out where she had STATE MAN over 30Ls behind in 3rd, question here is did STATE MAN run his race and because he couldn't even beat WINTER FOG there's a reasonable chance he didn't but my theory here is elliot used a pacemaker that shattered all but the mare.


Those sectionals confirm i believe she was the only horse that could cope and despite keeping tabs with her stablemate KING OF KINGSFIELD was faster in all of the last 3f to win in a time of 3m.45.20s.
Will she take her chance ?
Well i've no idea but do note that her pacemaker is entered in the race .
The outcome of the STATE MAN v LOSSIEMOUTH might shed more light on the race today and if STATE MAN at the very least holds his own against her then surely that would be a boost for BRIGHTERDAYSAHEAD.

ps... Many times in the past the champion hurdle has thrown up some memorable races but this mares race has undermined it in recent years, even SIR GINO might have had a go if he was with a different trainer but it's not to be.
The way I see the National Hunt / Champion Hurdle scene.
Willie decides there is no point in running Lossiemouth against Constitution Hill after the thrashing last time so takes the easier option of the Mares Hurdle.
Willie also decided a while State Man wont beat Constitution Hill so is now actively bringing down his handicap mark for a tilt at the County Hurdle.
After spending a couple of months scouring the Festival races for a race Brighterdaysahead would start 1/5 favourite, Gordon finally admits defeat and realises he has to take on Lossiemouth in the Mares as the lesser of two evils.
On the day the Champion Hurdle cuts up to a 2 runner match Constitution Hill v Brentford Hope.
On the morning of the race the odds are CH 1/33, BH 12/1
Nicky Henderson releases a statement that Constitution Hill is a non runner as he’s been offered a part as Megan Fox’s mount in a new blockbuster Hollywood western and needed to fly over to LA that morning.
Unibets book looked very healthy on a Brentford Hope victory.
Brentford Hope completes the walkover despite a scare when he looked like he was going to jink through the temporary tape at the intersection.
Placepot on the first day pays £1.30
Ante Post advice get your maximum allowed stake each way 1/5th 1,2,3 @50/1 BRENTFORD HOPE.
So that a full £0.42 ew for me , Good Luck
 
O Outlander i'm sensing some frustration from you with nh racing but as Captain mainwaring use to say to corporal Jones " I feel you're drifting into the realms of fantasy", next you'll be saying the bookies are all cowboys and the trainers are all scaredy cats.
 
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I'm not doing any antepost bets this year, far too many have gone down in previous years, I've just ended up wasting stake money, and most of them have Non Runner No Bet now, I'm just going to wait until a few days before it starts.

I have got one bet on, Slade Steel to PLACE in ANY race @ 9/4, I thought that wasn't a bad offer from SkyBet so I took it, but better off waiting for the declarations.
 
IMG_2776.jpeg
TF Report after Race
Yet more evidence of the Mullins domination at this meeting and in general as, just 24 hours after Final Demand had posted a novice hurdle performance that ought to have been insurmountable, Kopek des Bordes created an even bigger impression as he obliterated a good-quality bunch in even more dominant fashion, with a group of 2-milers broken apart by the straight and returning all the more strung out.

KOPEK DES BORDES (FR) cut the same figure so many Mullins-trained Supreme winners have down the years in dominating the race almost always used as the pre-Festival stepping stone, turning what had looked an open division into something potentially much less so with a striking display at odds with his cumbersome winning start over hurdles, towering above most in terms of physique and all in terms of performance; never far away, he jumped much better and was still moving very powerfully as he led soon after 3 out before opening right up in the straight, looking cut from an entirely different cloth to the usual novice.
 
Mullens did say at end of day that you only get a horse like that every 5 to 10 years so he obviously thinks its a bit special.
 
View attachment 153806
TF Report after Race
Yet more evidence of the Mullins domination at this meeting and in general as, just 24 hours after Final Demand had posted a novice hurdle performance that ought to have been insurmountable, Kopek des Bordes created an even bigger impression as he obliterated a good-quality bunch in even more dominant fashion, with a group of 2-milers broken apart by the straight and returning all the more strung out.

KOPEK DES BORDES (FR) cut the same figure so many Mullins-trained Supreme winners have down the years in dominating the race almost always used as the pre-Festival stepping stone, turning what had looked an open division into something potentially much less so with a striking display at odds with his cumbersome winning start over hurdles, towering above most in terms of physique and all in terms of performance; never far away, he jumped much better and was still moving very powerfully as he led soon after 3 out before opening right up in the straight, looking cut from an entirely different cloth to the usual novice.
Cracking horse this Chesham Chesham they can’t go fast enough for him, only worry jumping is not bombproof.
 
Improved Jump Index Score . Was 5.6 /10 0n Boxing Day and the above performance Jump Index was 8/10
I agree improved, wasn’t totally convinced by jumping even on Sunday though, probably a factor of pulling and might continue improving jumping in better races, just a small concern but we are talking about a horse that will be very short prices for the foreseeable.
 
I agree improved, wasn’t totally convinced by jumping even on Sunday though, probably a factor of pulling and might continue improving jumping in better races, just a small concern but we are talking about a horse that will be very short prices for the foreseeable.
I have been finding when available the RaceIQ Jump Index a useful guide . For instance Handstands had a Jump Index of 8.5 at Sandown in December and gained 15 lengths on the runner up.
 
I agree improved, wasn’t totally convinced by jumping even on Sunday though, probably a factor of pulling and might continue improving jumping in better races, just a small concern but we are talking about a horse that will be very short prices for the foreseeable.
I felt his jumping was fine and he looked mightily impressive but you have to ask what did he beat ?
2nd KARNIQUET was btn 50L the time before in a race that was run in about a 9s faster time and the 3rd GOOD AND CLEVER hadn't really done enough to warrant a trip to ireland as far as i can see.
The race is 5 weeks today i believe and a cursory glance at the form tells us you can't get away from willie who once again dominates everything.
 
Already paid out for me on Sunday

Past winners have a good record in the Supreme Hurdle

IMG_2783.jpeg

KDB OR =157

IMG_2784.jpeg
 
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Salvator Mundi is my only Cheltenham bet and Mullins seems to be struggling to get a race into him and sounds like he could miss the race.

The half sisters of SM and KDB take on each other in the mares novice tomorrow. The ground should help Karoline Bamboo tomorrow but is a daft price at the moment .
 
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