Balnaslow – Was a tremendous servant last season and gave his 90yo owner Peggy Hagan some great days out. Having met her and her family at Stratford last year I was told that she was pretty much housebound, but she had made it to Cheltenham, Aintree, Punchestown and then Stratford to see her horse run. Sadly Peggy passed away in November, but it would be a great story if he could win this in her memory. I thought his run in this race last season was a superb effort and he was only beaten 3L having made the running. He was then 2nd at Aintree where he jumped terribly and Derek O’Connor did amazingly well to get him to finish as close to Dineur as he did. He then beat Mendip Express by a neck at Punchestown before finishing 2nd to Young Hurricane at Stratford. I think he underperformed that day which is no surprise as to have run in all 4 big hunter chases is always going to have left a mark. We have only seen him once this season when he pulled up behind Morning Assembly at Kirkistown last month. It is fair to say he didn’t show a lot as he was always near the back and then pulled up before the last. I would imagine he will come on a lot for that effort and he will surely be fully fit for this. I can see him running a big race once again.
Barel Of Laughs – Was a shock 3rd in this last year at 100/1 and it was by far the best race he has run. He then won the Lady Dudley Cup (one of the big races in points) before going on to win on hunter chase night at Cheltenham. I suspect he wasn’t quite at his best that night as he only just held on from The Wealerdealer. He started off this season by finishing 2nd at Barbury to Saddlers Encore, but I think he should have won given he started racing along way out with Colorado Doc and that meant he didn’t quite have enough left to see off the winners challenge. He won his other start this season at Bangor’s point-to-point track and although the margin was small he was value for a much bigger margin. If he can repeat last year’s run then he obviously has to be a player, but I will be a bit surprised if he is able to hit the frame again especially on testing ground which looks far from ideal.
Burning Ambition – The big talking horse of the race and looks set to go off favourite. I would say there is even scope for him going off at pretty short odds come race time. He has run just 7 times in his life and only made his debut 13 months ago when he finished 2nd. He won his other two starts this season and returned in November to win again and followed that up with another point win the following month. He made his hunter chase/rules debut at Limerick over Christmas where he beat an average field pretty easily. Next up was his biggest test to date last month at Punchestown where he faced Gilgamboa. He came there to win the race and was in the lead over the last, but Gilgamboa came back for more and he had no response and was beaten just under 3L at the line. Fans and connections of the horse were happy with that, but coming at it from a neutral point of view I can’t say I was blown away by the effort. He didn’t seem to know what to do once the winner had gone past him which means he might learn from the experience although the other worry is that his stamina ran out. My initial thought at the time was that Cheltenham was going to come a year to soon for him and I still think that. Now it is possible to win this race with little experience. Kingscliff had run just 4 times, Cappa Bleu 6 and Castle Mane 7, but on the whole it is a hard thing to do. He will have faced nothing like the test he will get on Friday and that is a concern for back a horse at such a short price. One original negative I had was the jockey, but the fact they have booked Jamie Codd has turned that into a big plus and I think it was a very good move to book him. People will be on at double figure prices and fair play to them as they have themselves a great value bet. Don’t get me wrong I am far from saying he won’t win this and he could turn out to be a top class horse, but for me he is priced up purely on reputation and I struggle to see how his current is value.
Caid Du Berlais – Won the Paddy Power Gold Cup in 2014 which was the peak of a decent career when trained by Paul Nicholls. He hasn’t gone very far though given Rose Loxton works for Paul. He ended up running twice at the Festival last year as he fell at the first in the Ultima Handicap Chase and then stayed on to be 8th behind Presenting Percy in the Pertemps Final, beaten just over 14L. This year he is 3 from 3 in points. The first two came at Larkhill when ridden by the inexperienced Harriett Tucker which didn’t help his jumping at all. He did win both easily though although the bare form isn’t the strongest. Will Biddick is set to ride him in this and he took the ride at Badbury Rings when he essentially ended up in a very one sided match so we learnt little there. The trip has to be a concern as he is unproven over this far and although he should handle conditions it is going to make it a real test of stamina. The bigger issue for me is the fact he isn’t running in Paul’s name. A few weeks ago Paul was talking about having 5 runners in the race which included Caid Du Berlais, but now he is going to run in Rose’s name. In my view if Paul thought he could actually win then he would have had him running in his name because he won’t want to miss out on a Cheltenham winner and vital prize money for the trainer’s title. Granted he could have got the horse wrong, but I agree with him that a couple of his runners look to have stronger claims as do others in the race.
Cousin Pete – Looked a potential Foxhunter horse when he won at Cheltenham on hunter chase night 2 years ago, but things didn’t go right for him last season. He ran terribly on both runs last term although connections mentioned that a few things were found including the fact he was allergic to the straw they were using. This season he made his return in what looked a pretty competitive Mens Open at Larkhill and he won by a comfortable 5L in a good time. The 2nd horse home was Monsieur Gibraltar who looked very good when he was winning hunter chases last season and there were other winners to come out of the race. He then was just denied by Sir Jack Yeats at Market Rasen and that form was made to look stronger after the 3rd Warden Hill won at Doncaster. That was his first run on soft ground so he seemed to handle it fine, but I don’t think he really wants it testing. He had a comfortable prep win at Barbury at the end of February. I think the longer trip here will suit him more than 3m round Market Rasen and as much as I am not sure he can hit the frame I can see him running a decent race.
Foxrock – Was not eligible for hunter chases in the UK last season, but he probably would have pushed On The Fringe for favouritism had he been able to run as he looked very good in hunter chases in Ireland last year. He beat Balnaslow by 9L at Down Royal and won the main prep at Leopardstown when beating On The Fringe. The Irish National became his main target, but he was never a factor that day and pulled up. This season is obviously geared to this race and he has just been seen once at Thurles in January. He was a 10L 2nd to Gilgamboa that day and he was running a big race until fitness told late on. I certainly think it was a case of the fittest horse won and he should come on a hell of a lot for that effort. I personally think he is Irelands main hope in the race, the only nagging doubt I have is the two times he has run at the Festival he has disappointed, but the first one was in the National Hunt Chase and to me it looked more of a case of him not staying 4m than anything else. One thing we can certainly say is that testing ground is ideal for him whereas it will be against plenty of rivals. He has to go on any shortlist.