Betting formula/strategy!!

[Rifleman]

Hi everyone,
I am new to this but just want to get this out there to gauge people's thoughts for some feedback, please don't be gentle with me
Would anyone believe if I said I had formulated a betting strategy with an affordable staking plan where your selections are dictated purely by their odds?

Put another way, any person with no prior knowledge of betting or sport could follow this plan and would have an extremely high chance of success.
Take a moment to think about this and what this would mean to the betting industry.
I am not selling anything so not BS or trying to suck anyone in I but would love your views, good or bad

 

[Leodis]

Do you have a system that picks likely teams/horses or are you just playing the numbers (odds)? It isn't quite clear from your wording, R Rifleman

 

[Outlander]

Hi everyone,
I am new to this but just want to get this out there to gauge people's thoughts for some feedback, please don't be gentle with me
Would anyone believe if I said I had formulated a betting strategy with an affordable staking plan where your selections are dictated purely by their odds?

Put another way, any person with no prior knowledge of betting or sport could follow this plan and would have an extremely high chance of success.
Take a moment to think about this and what this would mean to the betting industry.
I am not selling anything so not BS or trying to suck anyone in I but would love your views, good or bad

Count me in sounds good

 

[mick]

Hi R Rifleman the odds on offer are an important part of my process but only used as the final straightener Re is there value in backing a horse already identified by other means which in my case is a combo of using ratings and profiling. You mention an " affordable " staking plan is this needed to make or enhance a profit from your strategy ? because if its the former i would feel very leery about risking money in the longer term.

Also it would help encourage the members thoughts you seek if you could elaborate on some of the thinking - theory behind your plan. Whatever welcome to the forum and best of.

 

[OnTheNod]

I believe the odds are a very important factor my be as much as 50%, but the other 50% needs some logic to why we are selecting such a horse, so class, breeding, trainers etc. Maybe in other sports value can be found with certain prices and and a good potential, i use to do ok in sports betting years ago by just following a few folks only.

Best put a few of your bets up so as we can see your idea in action, i believe in keeping things fairly simple could be a good idea.

 

[gerry]

I think everyone doing tests like betting fav at certain prices and second favs and all that doesn't work but can be a slower death as to say.
So i think also you mention staking plan which if is the doubling every time you get beat also doesn't work.
But if you have said you have worked out away it works then it is very clever as it is beating the bookies who have got the odds covered in every way.
I feel your statement of being new to this likely answers.

 

[Nzilyna]

I think everyone doing tests like betting fav at certain prices and second favs and all that doesn't work but can be a slower death as to say.
So i think also you mention staking plan which if is the doubling every time you get beat also doesn't work.
But if you have said you have worked out away it works then it is very clever as it is beating the bookies who have got the odds covered in every way.
I feel your statement of being new to this likely answers.





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You are absolutely correct in your assessment: classic betting strategies, including betting on favorites with low odds and the doubling system (Martingale), mathematically lead to inevitable bankruptcy.