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2YO Rating

The performance up to the end of September - £1 SP level stake. best rating in last 6 runs from 29th April. French ratings not included. Nothing special! Still a small profit backing all top 3 in handicaps, but dwindling recently. Now about -13% on top rated all races.

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Weekend Action attached. Lots of fun with mega runner Auction Race - including highly rated Fearby, the 2 Group 1's at Longchamp on Sunday also attached with limited French form. Ebro River tries to enhance his reputation.
 

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  • SAT & SUN.xlsx
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Today's cards. A decent maiden at Navan leads the way. Also a mega runner one and a decent Nursery at Nottingham.
 

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  • WED.xlsx
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Another weekend of Group action ahead - Friday attached. Surely they could spread these races out a little more?
Inspiral attempts to maintain unbeaten record. Mise En Scene a big danger.
 

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  • FRI.xlsx
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Weekend racing attached. The Dewhirst With Native Truth attempting to maintain Top Juvenile status. I have others rated higher but his second best is the top of that category. Some excellent racing all over.
 

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  • WKND.xlsx
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Hi am I reading you right yesterday

View attachment 106857
Hello Mark
Yes that is correct. It wasn't a great day yesterday - these are the performance of the ratings, using the last 3,4,5 and 6 runs to calculate ratings. So up to Thursday night there have been 1021 races with ratings since 29th April, English and Ireland with at least 1 previous runner in the race.There are very few joint ratings as I have the decimals and the formula gives clear ratings. The ratings on the above sheet you quote are just the top rating in the last 6 runs. As you can see below 3 runs only has a slightly higher success rate of a winner in the Tio 3 rated. THe halves are down to dead heats I believe. The figures for New are the horses that have never run before now around 8% of them are winners at some big prices amongst them. The LS1-3 are the return of £1 at Bookmaker SP's less Rule 4s when I spot them and the NR1-3 are the number of races there wasn't a 2nd or 3rd top rated.

I am hoping to set up anew improved method of rating soon but not much time as messing with Hong Kong, I have used a slightly different method for that now which I will try for the 2yo's.

Hopefully this helps. I can send all the past races and ratings if you wish.

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Weekend races attached, mostly in Ireland it seems as Champions Day avoids the 2 year olds,
 

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  • sat & sun.xlsx
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