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System test

Frontrunner

Stallion
Going to test something for next 30 days, there will be on average 4-5 selections a day, price of selections will vary greatly. I don’t know how it will go, so only watching for the trial period, I won’t be backing these yet.

12:10 Newbury - Overpriced Mixer
12:10 Newbury - Iron Heart
12:20 Ludlow - Osprey Call
2:20 Newbury - Flash Collonges
2:30 Ludlow - Like The Sound
2:55 Newbury - Flaminger
4:15 Dundalk - Hannon
 
12:10 Newbury - Overpriced Mixer - 8/11, 5.46, 2.14
12:10 Newbury - Iron Heart - 5/11, 30.45, 6.42
12:20 Ludlow - Osprey Call - 4/13, 50.46, 5.66
2:20 Newbury - Flash Collonges - 2/7, 1.47, 1.09
2:30 Ludlow - Like The Sound - P/9, 21.90, 5.48
2:55 Newbury - Flaminger - P/7, 5.94, 2.97
4:15 Dundalk - Hannon - 1/14, 4.88, 2.13
All prices are betfairSP minus 5%

Total selections = 7

Win (LSP = -2.12, A/E = 0.75, SR = 14%, median price = 5.94)
Place (LSP = -3.78, A/E = 0.74, SR = 29%, median price = 2.97)
 
Day 2

2:20 Down Royal - Peterstown
2:50 Southwell - Momentum Swing
3:30 Down Royal - Enniskerry
4:20 Chelmsford - K Rex
5:30 Chelmsford - Real Dude
5:45 Southwell - Pearl Of Qatar
8:30 Chelmsford - Lottie Marie
 
2:20 Down Royal - Peterstown - 2/13, 14.77, 4.47
2:50 Southwell - Momentum Swing - 3/6, 7.65, 1.86
3:30 Down Royal - Enniskerry - 4/13, 3.47, 1.47
4:20 Chelmsford - K Rex - 2/5, 34.25, 5.24
5:30 Chelmsford - Real Dude - 8/13, 5.46, 2.34
5:45 Southwell - Pearl Of Qatar - 4/11, 4.63, 1.64
8:30 Chelmsford - Lottie Marie - 1/13, 25.70, 7.27

Total selections = 14

Win (LSP = +16.58, A/E = 0.87, SR = 14%, median price = 6.80)
Place (LSP = +13.20, A/E = 0.91, SR = 36%, median price = 2.66)
 
Thank you mick mick

Day 3

12:00 Navan - Coeur Joyeux
12:25 Southwell - Sea Of Mystery
12:25 Southwell - Dolphin Village
5:00 Dundalk - Well Suited
5:45 Wolverhampton - The Sedberghian
 
Will update yesterday’s results later.

Day 4

11:50 Haydock - Le Ligerien
1:50 Ascot - Mengli Khan
3:00 Ascot - Beware The Bear
3:35 Ascot - Harambe
5:00 Wolverhampton - Knockabout Queen
 
Day 3

12:00 Navan - Coeur Joyeux - P/18, 32.31, 5.94
12:25 Southwell - Sea Of Mystery - 2/9, 5.94, 2.05
12:25 Southwell - Dolphin Village - 9/9, 21.14, 5.75
5:00 Dundalk - Well Suited - 4/14, 25.72, 7.84
5:45 Wolverhampton - The Sedberghian - 3/11, 36.08, 4.02
Total selections = 19

Win (LSP = +11.58, A/E = 0.77, SR = 11%, median price = 14.77)
Place (LSP = +14.27, A/E = 1.04, SR = 37%, median price = 4.02)
 
Day 4

11:50 Haydock - Le Ligerien - 4/6, 6.15, 2.67
1:50 Ascot - Mengli Khan - 7/12, 9.55, 3.85
3:00 Ascot - Beware The Bear - 7/10, 8.98, 2.94
3:35 Ascot - Harambe - 8/17, 26.32, 5.09
5:00 Wolverhampton - Knockabout Queen - 7/10, 9.47, 2.86
Total selections = 24

Win (LSP = +6.58, A/E = 0.64, SR = 8%, median price = 9.51)
Place (LSP = +9.27, A/E = 0.85, SR = 29%, median price = 3.41)

Despite being in profit, system is not doing very well at the moment as A/E is very low especially for win part, positive LSP is due to one big priced winner. But it’s early days yet, hopefully results will improve.
 
Thanks mick mick, I am looking at the A/E figure which is well below 1, but yes too early to worry about it as one winner could change it, will see how it is after 30 days.

Day 5

2:20 Fakenham - Glimpse Of Gold
3:00 Thurles - Allbarone
3:00 Thurles - Buck Rogers
3:20 Fakenham - Diocletian
 
Day 5

2:20 Fakenham - Glimpse Of Gold - 6/10, 12.88, 3.47
3:00 Thurles - Allbarone - 6/10, 4.26, 1.81
3:00 Thurles - Buck Rogers - 5/10, 10.50, 2.71
3:20 Fakenham - Diocletian - 1/11, 5.25, 1.88

Total selections = 28

Win (LSP = +7.83, A/E = 0.81, SR = 11%, median price = 9.55)
Place (LSP = +7.15, A/E = 0.80, SR = 29%, median price = 3.47)
 
Day 6

12:30 Lingfield - Debs Delight
1:30 Lingfield - Clockers Corner
1:45 Musselburgh - Squires Tale
1:55 Newcastle - Mister Manduro
2:15 Musselburgh - Keep The River
3:35 Lingfield - Jersey Grey
3:55 Newcastle - Baronial Pride
4:25 Newcastle - Gloves Lynch
 
Day 6

12:30 Lingfield - Debs Delight - 5/11, 9.45, 2.87
1:30 Lingfield - Clockers Corner - 9/9, 309.89, 36.44
1:45 Musselburgh - Squires Tale - 14/15, 148.54, 26.28
1:55 Newcastle - Mister Manduro - 6/6, 73.68, 19.61
2:15 Musselburgh - Keep The River - 5/15, 10.25, 3.28
3:35 Lingfield - Jersey Grey - 6/11, 14.30, 3.30
3:55 Newcastle - Baronial Pride - 6/9, 6.87, 2.25
4:25 Newcastle - Gloves Lynch - 9/12, 3.07, 1.61
Bit of a disaster today, not even a place from 8 qualifiers.

Total selections = 36

Win (LSP = -0.17, A/E = 0.67, SR = 8%, median price = 9.90)
Place (LSP = -0.85, A/E = 0.66, SR = 22%, median price = 3.13)
 
Day 8

1:34 Wincanton - Barbrook Star
1:45 Wolverhampton - Kingson
2:05 Wetherby - The Dutchman
2:50 Leopardstown - Quamino
2:55 Wolverhampton - Inn The Bull
3:19 Wincanton - Midnight Midge
3:35 Kempton - Who’s My Jockey
4:05 Wolverhampton - Fizzy Feet
 
Day 8

1:34 Wincanton - Barbrook Star - 5/8, 12.94, 3.38
1:45 Wolverhampton - Kingson - 10/12, 16.07, 4.14
2:05 Wetherby - The Dutchman - F/8, 11.45, 3.00
2:50 Leopardstown - Quamino - 13/17, 21.69, 3.95
2:55 Wolverhampton - Inn The Bull - 6/11, 11.01, 3.47
3:19 Wincanton - Midnight Midge - P/11, 10.50, 3.42
3:35 Kempton - Who’s My Jockey - non runner
4:05 Wolverhampton - Fizzy Feet - 6/6, 14.92, 4.49
Total selections = 45

Win (LSP = -9.17, A/E = 0.58, SR = 7%, median price = 11.01)
Place (LSP = -9.85, A/E = 0.55, SR = 18%, median price = 3.38)

Not going so well now, a non runner was the best result on Saturday. Will keep testing it for the 30 day period.
 
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